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[Albion] Apparently 8th place "still gets Europe", if...









Bold Seagull

strong and stable with me, or...
Mar 18, 2010
30,995
Hove
Not happening



And also *definitely* not happening, this season anyway.

We had an incredible chance of achieving European football, in a season where two of the ‘Big Six’ were unbelievably bad, something very unlikely to happen again, and we completely and utterly blew it.

That’s where drawing 1-1 at home to the second worst team in Premier League history, and blowing TWO two goal leads after the 85th minute, gets you.
This whole two of the big six thing - it’s been a very high quality PL season, it’s rare to have such competitive teams right down the league; last season only 9 teams broke 50pts, season before that 10, this season is likely 12 - I’m not even sure it’s happened before, certainly not in the last decade.

We’re on 55, our second highest with 2 to play in a league that half the table will finish on 55+ points - incredible.
 




Google says yes🤣
Screenshot_20250517_215339_Google.jpg
 








Eeyore

Munching grass in Queen's Park
NSC Patron
Apr 5, 2014
28,326
My head is ready to explode with all the different scenarios various sites are putting forward.

However I believe that should Chelsea win the Conference League and finish outside of the Champions League places we’d have three teams in the Europa League (6th, 7th and FA Cup winners) and none in the conference.

If Chelsea finish in the Champions League spots (or don’t win the conference) then 6th and FA Cup winners get Europa League and 7th gets Conference.

This post earlier in the thread shows the specific UEFA rule that says we’d lost our Conference League spot.


I cannot see a scenario where 8th would get Conference League, despite what other sites have claimed, unless City get a points deduction and I’m not holding my breath for that one.
My original thinking was that any team who won a European competition gets a place in the next league up the following season and an extra seasonal place cannot be awarded to another club because of their victory. Thus we have 8 places (5+2+1) and any other places won by teams who haven't already qualified. With Spurs or United winning the Europa League and Chelsea (already in a European place) but not making the ECL, that would become (6+3+0)

I've given up now
 
















Paris

Well-known member
Jul 17, 2010
4,137
13th district
We need Nottingham Forest to beat West Ham tomorrow for starters. At the same time, Fulham to take a point or three away from their short journey to Brentford.
 




SouthSaxon

Stand or fall
NSC Patron
Jan 25, 2025
992
Nope thats as clear as mud.

Would Newcastle winning Carabao and qualifying in a higher competition not cause their UECL place to go to next in league?
There are two scenarios to consider.

1) If Chelsea loses to Betis OR finishes top 5, yes - 7th place team will be in the Conference League.

6+2+1 with Spurs/United and Palace, leaving 7 qualifying by league position.

2) If Chelsea beat Betis AND finish 6th or 7th, no - Chelsea take an EL slot along with the other team in those places. England’s Conference League allocation is reduced by one, to zero.

6+3+0, also including Spurs/United and Palace.

The key thing is that reduction clause, meaning only the top 7 can now qualify for Europe in either scenario. Media reporting that 8th can still qualify are missing the significance of that clause, understandable given the complexity.
 


peterward

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Nov 11, 2009
13,149
There are two scenarios to consider.

1) If Chelsea loses to Betis OR finishes top 5, yes - 7th place team will be in the Conference League.

6+2+1 with Spurs/United and Palace, leaving 7 qualifying by league position.

2) If Chelsea beat Betis AND finish 6th or 7th, no - Chelsea take an EL slot along with the other team in those places. England’s Conference League allocation is reduced by one, to zero.

6+3+0, also including Spurs/United and Palace.

The key thing is that reduction clause, meaning only the top 7 can now qualify for Europe in either scenario. Media reporting that 8th can still qualify are missing the significance of that clause, understandable given the complexity.
Thanks for trying to explain. Its still a bit complicated tbh. I have twice read there are some scenarios where 10 English clubs could qualify? tbough all the caveats are confusing.

Just in your point 2 about UECL allocation being reduced by 1 to zero?

Newcastle won it by winning Carabao, and because they'll definitely finish in a higher completion league place, that went to next in league. Still don't quite get how that can just vanish as it was Newcastles and then next in league as Newcastle are going to be CL or UEL?

We probably won't finish 8th anyway so academic!

Published by the PL 50 minutes ago as I write.

If Chelsea win UECL and finish 7th in PL it goes to 8th.

Chelsea last game of season is away at Forest. If Forest don't beat West Ham tomorrow and lose or even draw (with their inferior GD v Chelsea) it can't happen.

Forest must win later today at West Ham and then beat Chelsea in last game at home. If Forest win both games, then higher liklihood Chelsea may finish 7th. Villa would need a win or draw at Old Trafford and City 1 point from 2 games.

Forest winning twice is key.
 
Last edited:


Feb 23, 2009
18,008
Marlborough
We do not deserve to be playing in Europe after the season we have had. Just take the points we dropped at home to Southampton, Ipswich and Wolves, plus the FOUR we dropped to Leicester. If we'd have seen those out (2-0 up in stoppage time in two of them), we would be level with Man City and in a good spot to qualify for the Champions League. That's without even mentioning the home shitshows against Palace and Everton, and the capitulations at Brentford, Fulham and Forest.

The fanbases sense of 'oh, at least we aren't still at Priestfield/Withdean' is one we really need to collectively get over if we are ever to achieve anything of note IMO. If f***ing Palace can win silverware, it isn't beyond our reach.
 






Uh_huh_him

Well-known member
Sep 28, 2011
14,221
I wouldn't mind betting that City already know what the punishment will be but have threatened the Premier League with expensive litigation if it's announced before the end or season or they have negotiated the punishment down.
This.

City's lawyers have been making it very clear exactly how long they will be dragging this out, should the EPL grow a pair and issue the appropriate sanctions.


Ultimately the legal fees will have to be paid by the other 19 clubs,
Eventually the EPL will get the clubs to vote on whether this is pursued any further.

It will be intersting to see which clubs vote to let them off the hook.
 


Bold Seagull

strong and stable with me, or...
Mar 18, 2010
30,995
Hove
We do not deserve to be playing in Europe after the season we have had. Just take the points we dropped at home to Southampton, Ipswich and Wolves, plus the FOUR we dropped to Leicester. If we'd have seen those out (2-0 up in stoppage time in two of them), we would be level with Man City and in a good spot to qualify for the Champions League. That's without even mentioning the home shitshows against Palace and Everton, and the capitulations at Brentford, Fulham and Forest.

The fanbases sense of 'oh, at least we aren't still at Priestfield/Withdean' is one we really need to collectively get over if we are ever to achieve anything of note IMO. If f***ing Palace can win silverware, it isn't beyond our reach.
Sense of Withdean - remind everyone how many times this football club has finished on 55pts or more in the top flight of English football?

It isn’t getting over Priestfield/Withdean we need to worry about, it’s the loss of any sense of perspective that we’re in a golden period of this football club’s history, and yet NSC resembles an episode of Harry Enfield and Paul Whitehouse’s Old Gits.
 


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