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TL/DR - women are coming out in higher numbers.

Late to proceedings but, stream anyone please?

I almost don’t want to say it out loud, but yes, when you look at the two campaigns and all the early signifiers, I think she probably wins fairly comfortably.

If you read that article from The Nation above, it seems pretty clear that its Plan A. And that he’s very confident it’s going to work, hence “you don’t even need to vote, we’re going to win anyway”. It’s so beyond the pale that anyone could see this and STILL think “yeah, I want the guy...

Looks like Trump is panicking about Pennsylvania, given his latest tweets.

Pennsylvania seems to be the ball game. If Harris wins PA it’s game over. Do we know what comparative position was at this point 4 years ago?

Probably not.

Interesting article but it makes no mention whatsoever of the potentially significant reason why there is a lot of betting being dumped onto Trump atm, arguably missing possibly the most crucial reason for the disconnect between technical and fundamental.

Was important he was caught and jailed quickly, to stop more people thinking it's a good idea. Actual scum. Enemy of democracy.

Despite what I said above - that a Harris win is nowhere near guaranteed - I am genuinely tempted to put a bet on. The betting markets are at odds with the polling and the early turnout.

I know it's not the same but if you're heading out, alcohol-free lager has come on a long long way in the last few years IMO, and I don't think the stigma surrounding is anything like it used to be. Anyone genuinely taking the piss out of you for drinking alcohol-free beer is being a bit of a...

No because a Harris win certainly isn't guaranteed. But a 66% likelihood of Trump winning is utter nonsense and has no basis in reality or any quantifiable metrics whatsoever.

Depressing. Genuinely insane it's this close.

Understandable in that case as there was unquestionably fuckery afoot. With Trump it's a little different isn't it, given his pathological lying and desperation to gain and cling to power at any cost? Not exactly the same as Al Gore :lol:

Then it's utterly meaningless, or at least a very poor indicator compared to actual turnout, and poll of polls.

Whatever happens, I would bet a HUGE amount of money he will attempt to claim victory on the night.

This. There does not appear to be another logical reason why Trump has suddenly swung in the polls recently - there was no event causing it? There's definitely a lot of fuckery afoot.