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That's better.

We're now at the bottom left of the cycle - sorry I need to update.

My Irony Detector just exploded.

Agreed on all. I have absolutely no idea how he is able to sleep. Literally has the weight of an entire nation on his shoulders, and for such a long time.

Who knows. All depends on those small margins. Biden won Georgia by 11,000 votes. Harris has had a (likely) much, much bigger turnout in Georgia this time round. I see that as a big positive. If Harris wins Georgia it's looking difficult for Trump. It's not a reduction to 2.4% particularly, as...

Poll of polls don't really agree. As per 538; Sept 11th - Harris 2.4% lead Sept 24th - Harris 2.4% lead Oct 17th - Harris 2.4% lead I'm aware swing states etc but broadly there isn't any big shift towards Trump. A very small one perhaps, but it is also true that Presidential races very...

Confirmed airing on Netflix - January 3rd.

The demographic who are notoriously hardest to poll also.

But 2020 was the highest early voting ever, so to see a number far higher than that seems like it would bode well...?

When turnout was very high and resulted in a Biden win in Georgia, first day early voting; 2020 for Biden - 131,000 - bear in mind this was unusually high. 2024 for Harris - 252,000 at last count. Bodes very well for Georgia.

Fair point - he'd raise the roof off the place.

Africa loads of talent and would be great to watch but the front 3 is a bit one-dimensional - no height or physical presence at all, could struggle against a physically dominant defence.

I would've said the exact opposite re: Harris going on Fox - to me that's a huge sign of confidence and conviction, to be willing to go into the lion's den, so to speak. Meanwhile Trump is the one cancelling interviews, refusing to reveal medical records, refusing to do 60 Minutes which every...

Yeah, the noises I'm hearing are that enthusiasm is far, far higher than it was for the Biden campaign - as indicated by much higher early voting numbers.

Pleasingly, it seems early voter turnout is much, much higher than polling expected.

Most of the signs point to a narrow Harris win to me, but unfortunately it seems that is exactly what Trump and his team are already preparing for.

A very slow shift, given 2.4% was the lead exactly a month ago. It's barely moved at all. What are you seeing that makes you think otherwise? It's very common that polls show races tightening in the final weeks, but he's still behind in pretty much every respectable poll.

Which is obviously an utterly insane view given its well known he is a horrifically bad businessman. That's what I don't get.