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I’m more interested in the actual turnout than what Joe Bloggs is guessing the turnout might be… :wink:

All noises so far pointing to a “high to very high” turnout.

Yeah I looked through a few of that guy's tweets - he seems no more reliable than "Kamala Wins" on the other side.

You keep ignoring that betting markets in this instance are very very likely to have been intentionally swung to suit a narrative. Why is this?

I would argue turnout levels, turnout demographics (age, sex, previous affiliation etc) and things that are actual cold hard facts are better to be extrapolated from than some of Elon Musk's rich mates chucking £4m on specifically to help push a narrative. To answer the second question, it's...

My quibble was with the fact I think you referred to it as the most reliable indicator of what's going to happen, which I disagree very strongly with, especially when we know there is a group looking to skew it in one direction intentionally.

Because they want it to look like it was rigged. Trump recently said at a rally "I shouldn't tell you this, but I've seen the polling data, I've seen the polling data and it's not even close. We're going to win huge etc" Building the narrative that a Harris win is completely unfathomable, and...

The chicken will not do you any significant harm, and will contain nutritional value (ie it'll do you good in ways you don't probably recognise). EVEN if it is a bit bland and boring, it is LIGHTYEARS ahead of eating shit.

I don't know why, but I've got a feeling this series should probably be done now. And I say that as someone who really enjoyed some of it.

Thank goodness the concept of LYING was never invented, eh?

The way I see it - the choice is like a choice between a plate of bland, unseasoned, overcooked plain chicken, and an ACTUAL BOWL OF SHIT. ACTUAL FAECES. Just eat the f***ing chicken, stop complaining it's not perfect, otherwise you will be eating actual excrement. Just let's all agree to avoid...

:facepalm:

1st November 106.4kgs 5th November 106.4kgs So, needs some tweaks of improvement.

I'm seeing people interpret these numbers in both directions, to suit their inherent biases. Some suggesting that this is most of the rural vote gone and that a lot left is Urban and therefore more likely to support Harris. There's also the unknown of exactly how Independents are going to break...

Oh, yeah. Top 3 then.

I love you

From everything I've seen, it seems Arizona is probably locked in for Trump. but that Michigan and Wisconsin SHOULD land for Harris. But then who the EFF knows.

I get your point but I think this can also vary based on life stage - ie I have 2 small children atm so dinner time is mostly a fairly stressful experience, and often not the culinary delight I would prefer. Therefore, when my wife and I are able to get a babysitter and go out for a meal just...

1st November I was 106.4kgs (16st 7lbs/234lbs) Will update again soon.