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This run is worse than any under Hyypia .......









Uncle Spielberg

Well-known member
Jul 6, 2003
43,555
Lancing
Millwall have a GD of -30; ours is -8. That's a 22 relative goal difference that they'd have to overturn in 2 games. Even if Midds and Watford each beat us 5-0, Millwall would have to win by 6-0 and 7-0. As such, even if Millwall had a remarkable 3 wins (against decent sides), we're still safe if we win 1 of our remaining 2 games; hence, safety is in our hands.
Lastly, we have not bombed like a lead balloon: we've barely been out of the bottom 6 since Autumn; this is a where we are now QUOTE

If Millwall win tomorrow our superior GD will mean diddly squat. as 2 more wins for them will keep them up. We need a minimum of 1 point realistically to have any chance of staying up possibly even a win will be needed.

If we end up with 46 points we will deserve to be relegated regardless of other teams and it will have been largely self inflicted. However there is very little chance of Millwall getting more than 4 points from the next 3 games
 


dangull

Well-known member
Feb 24, 2013
5,219
Millwall have a GD of -30; ours is -8. That's a 22 relative goal difference that they'd have to overturn in 2 games. Even if Midds and Watford each beat us 5-0, Millwall would have to win by 6-0 and 7-0. As such, even if Millwall had a remarkable 3 wins (against decent sides), we're still safe if we win 1 of our remaining 2 games; hence, safety is in our hands.
Lastly, we have not bombed like a lead balloon: we've barely been out of the bottom 6 since Autumn; this is a where we are now QUOTE

If Millwall win tomorrow our superior GD will mean diddly squat. as 2 more wins for them will keep them up. We need a minimum of 1 point realistically to have any chance of staying up possibly even a win will be needed.
It's not just about Millwall though, Rotheram are likely to be deducted 3 points, so they would be more likely to go down than us if Millwall produce a miraculous finish to the season.
 


GT49er

Well-known member
Feb 1, 2009
51,515
Gloucester
If Millwall win tomorrow our superior GD will mean diddly squat. as 2 more wins for them will keep them up. We need a minimum of 1 point realistically to have any chance of staying up possibly even a win will be needed.
We do have 'any chance' of staying up at the moment - realistically probably a better chance than Millwall have of getting seven points from three games.
However, a month or so ago we had 40 points from 36 games, and getting a point a game, or fractionally better, for the rest of the season to guarantee safety seemed to be quite a relaxing prospect. Don't feel that relaxed now! Although I still think we'll stay up - just wish we could crawl over that bl**dy line! Come on Blackburn!
 




Bold Seagull

strong and stable with me, or...
Mar 18, 2010
31,038
Hove
We do have 'any chance' of staying up at the moment - realistically probably a better chance than Millwall have of getting seven points from three games.
However, a month or so ago we had 40 points from 36 games, and getting a point a game, or fractionally better, for the rest of the season to guarantee safety seemed to be quite a relaxing prospect. Don't feel that relaxed now! Although I still think we'll stay up - just wish we could crawl over that bl**dy line! Come on Blackburn!

What, you expected more than a single point from Norwich H, Rotherham A, Bournemouth H, Huddersfield H, Wigan A....

You must want the moon on a stick.
 




Easy 10

Brain dead MUG SHEEP
Jul 5, 2003
62,795
Location Location
How many points did Nathan Jones get when he was in charge, just can't remember whether he had two, three or four games, but I do remember us winning under him. The fact is that if we scrape survival this year it will be down to the points we got under him and not under the present manager. Its not a bitch at Hughton its just how I see it.

Jones was in charge for the Boxing Day draw with Reading (from 0-2 down) and the win at Fulham, so 4 points. But those 4 points are no more or less valuable than the points we've picked up since under Hughton, so to isolate those 4 points under Jones and say "that's why we're staying up" is a bit daft.

Hughton won his first League game at Charlton and we put together a mini-revival (of sorts) which pulled us away from immediate danger, and since then we've done *just about* enough to stay out of trouble. Would we have been any higher up the table if Jones had been given the job ? I have absolutely no idea. But 2 games is certainly not enough to proclaim Jones as the saviour of our Championship status, nor is it proof that he'd have done any better had he been given the job for the rest of the season.
 




GT49er

Well-known member
Feb 1, 2009
51,515
Gloucester
What, you expected more than a single point from Norwich H, Rotherham A, Bournemouth H, Huddersfield H,
Certainly, based on the way we were performing up to that point.
March - played 5, won 2, drawn 2, lost 1: 8 points from five games;
February - played 6, won 2, drawn 2, lost 2: 8 points from six games.
....and no reason at the time to believe we couldn't continue in that vein. Moon on a stick, my ****!
 




Bold Seagull

strong and stable with me, or...
Mar 18, 2010
31,038
Hove
Certainly, based on the way we were performing up to that point.
March - played 5, won 2, drawn 2, lost 1: 8 points from five games;
February - played 6, won 2, drawn 2, lost 2: 8 points from six games.
....and no reason at the time to believe we couldn't continue in that vein. Moon on a stick, my ****!

:wozza::wozza::wozza::wozza::wozza:
 






nwgull

Well-known member
Jul 25, 2003
14,533
Manchester
Millwall have a GD of -30; ours is -8. That's a 22 relative goal difference that they'd have to overturn in 2 games. Even if Midds and Watford each beat us 5-0, Millwall would have to win by 6-0 and 7-0. As such, even if Millwall had a remarkable 3 wins (against decent sides), we're still safe if we win 1 of our remaining 2 games; hence, safety is in our hands.
Lastly, we have not bombed like a lead balloon: we've barely been out of the bottom 6 since Autumn; this is a where we are now QUOTE

If Millwall win tomorrow our superior GD will mean diddly squat. as 2 more wins for them will keep them up. We need a minimum of 1 point realistically to have any chance of staying up possibly even a win will be needed.
If Millwall win tomorrow, our superior GD will mean that they still have to get 4 points from 2 games, both of which are against good opponents. Effectively, our superior GD means that it Millwall lose one of their remaining 3 games, we're safe. That is far more than diddly squat in my book.

Rotherham's final 3 games isn't easy either.
 


BensGrandad

New member
Jul 13, 2003
72,015
Haywards Heath
If Millwall win tomorrow, our superior GD will mean that they still have to get 4 points from 2 games, both of which are against good opponents. Effectively, our superior GD means that it Millwall lose one of their remaining 3 games, we're safe. That is far more than diddly squat in my book.

Rotherham's final 3 games isn't easy either.

I dont agree of the remaining games I would prefer to have Rotherhams than any others plus Derby are more likely to be in the play offs than us in The Championship so may rest any slightly doubtful players.
 




Bold Seagull

strong and stable with me, or...
Mar 18, 2010
31,038
Hove
Presume you've been in hibernation through the winter months then.

I was being sarcastic man! Crikey, I think after beating Ipswich, Birmingham, Leeds, Derby, Blackburn, plus some hard fought draws, there wasn't anyone who thought we'd only get 1 point from these last 5 games. I haven't been in hibernation, but your sense of humour might have been. :lolol:
 


nwgull

Well-known member
Jul 25, 2003
14,533
Manchester
I dont agree of the remaining games I would prefer to have Rotherhams than any others plus Derby are more likely to be in the play offs than us in The Championship so may rest any slightly doubtful players.
Derby have to get another 3 points to ensure that they're in the play offs. I'm sure that they'd rather do this this weekend than on the final day. And, if they fail to beat Millwall, it leaves the door open for Wolves, who play Millwall at home on the final day. Still think that Millwall getting 7 points is likely?

As for Rotherham, on the assumption that they'll get docked 3 points, they're 5 points (and a large GD) behind us. I know whose position I'd rather be in.
 


perseus

Broad Blue & White stripe
Jul 5, 2003
23,467
Sūþseaxna
67/1 for Albion relegation. Should I put £10 just in case I need my season ticket money back? I don't fancy third tier football ever again.
 


Blue Valkyrie

Not seen such Bravery!
Sep 1, 2012
32,165
Valhalla
67/1 for Albion relegation. Should I put £10 just in case I need my season ticket money back? I don't fancy third tier football ever again.
The odds are falling each match. If you want to bet do it before Millwall beat Blackburn...
 




GT49er

Well-known member
Feb 1, 2009
51,515
Gloucester
I was being sarcastic man! Crikey, I think after beating Ipswich, Birmingham, Leeds, Derby, Blackburn, plus some hard fought draws, there wasn't anyone who thought we'd only get 1 point from these last 5 games. I haven't been in hibernation, but your sense of humour might have been. :lolol:
Didn't come across that way, but OK, Pax!
 


Prince Monolulu

Everything in Moderation
Oct 2, 2013
10,201
The Race Hill
No chance whatsoever of going down

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