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[Misc] The Award-winning official "More Snow Tomorrow?" Thread [2023-24 Season]
- Thread starter Giraffe
- Start date
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Hard to say. Nothing certain to suggest we will see ANY. Far too soon to think about that sort of detail. In a northerly we need something special to push snow down here. In an Easterly we still need some extra instability to push showers off the North Sea. Either way, the key is to get the conditions / synoptic setup in place and THEN look for the snow.
Flex Your Head
Well-known member
Met Office suggesting it will only be a brief cold snap. Still early days though...
UK Outlook for Sunday 10 Jan 2016 to Tuesday 19 Jan 2016:
... There is now an increased signal for a brief much colder spell around the middle of next week with widespread overnight frosts. There is likely to be a mixture of sunshine and showers, with the showers falling as sleet of snow to low levels in the north, and perhaps also in the south. Towards the end of next week unsettled and sometimes windy weather with mainly westerly winds may become re-established, although there is some uncertainty. Temperatures should return to near normal.
UK Outlook for Sunday 10 Jan 2016 to Tuesday 19 Jan 2016:
... There is now an increased signal for a brief much colder spell around the middle of next week with widespread overnight frosts. There is likely to be a mixture of sunshine and showers, with the showers falling as sleet of snow to low levels in the north, and perhaps also in the south. Towards the end of next week unsettled and sometimes windy weather with mainly westerly winds may become re-established, although there is some uncertainty. Temperatures should return to near normal.
- Aug 8, 2005
- 26,689
- Thread starter
- #9,904
Hmmm, can you please make it for Thursday next week. Tuesday/Weds next week not good for travelling up and back to Rotherham.
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
ryans father
New member
I think that the met office is playing catch up, as with most of the models. The models throughout the day have been hardening up on both the severity and the longevity of the cold snap. Still all top play for but things are moving towards a longer period of cold.
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
The latest GFS is rolling out now - will be telling (along with the 12Z ECM & UKMO)
ryans father
New member
Indeed it will. the UKMO has been strangely fallible recentlyand the GFS always overplays the power of the Atlantic so the ECM is the one that i will be watching closely
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
ryans father
New member
Just imagine if this came off:
Jesus, that would be carnage!
martin tyler
Well-known member
- Jan 25, 2013
- 5,888
Just imagine if this came off:
Is this a possibility? I don t know what it shows but I can see a lot of blue which in my mind is very cold
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
UKMO looks great. with a mid Atlantic ridge all the way to the pole.
GFS gives us the chart I posted earlier, and then 6 days later, we get a repeat
ECM needs to fall in line now.
GFS gives us the chart I posted earlier, and then 6 days later, we get a repeat
ECM needs to fall in line now.
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
ryans father
New member
UKMO looks great. with a mid Atlantic ridge all the way to the pole.
GFS gives us the chart I posted earlier, and then 6 days later, we get a repeat
ECM needs to fall in line now.
Interesting to look at the ensembles tonight and compare them to yesterdays 12Z. things certainly becoming more interesting
casbom
Well-known member
- Jul 24, 2007
- 2,584
A channel low with associated cold air to our north to tap into is the stuff of dreams for those who love snow! The last one we had was March 13, before that I think it was the 80's so they are very rare as the sypnotics have to match up perfectly. If it's too far north then we have rain down here, if it's too far south then we got nowt!
Anyway not even thinking about that at the moment. let's just get the cold in first and then see what happens
Anyway not even thinking about that at the moment. let's just get the cold in first and then see what happens
ryans father
New member
The 12Z GFS model is frankly amazing for cold . The weather forums are going nuts.
The important thing to remember is that we need the cold air first before we worry about where and when snow might fall.
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
The latest Worthingish Ensemble shows the massive potential, and the risk as well.
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
One person's butting in, is another person's contribution.
Feel free to to contribute.
Yes, I am getting conservatively excited.
On the excitement scale I'm at SnowCon 3 (of 5).
I won't get to 4 until we get full cross model agreement, and lose the remaining stragglers on the Ensemble that don't produce the cold snap.