To drag this back to the subject matter at hand, I cannot see Labour being in a position to rejoin the EU any time soon, however I can see it being a Lib Dem / Green cause.
What I would not be surprised to see is Labour pivot to an EEA / EFTA type arrangement in place of the rather shoddy deal in place now, which they will sell on the basis of "saving the Good Friday Agreement" and "fixing a disastrous Tory deal". The next election is in 2024, so there's still plenty of time for scales to fall from eyes, and at the rate they're going right now it'll be a much easier sell. This also punts the Tory argument away from the more glib "Brexit got done" stuff into them having to then take the nuanced argument about how they don't believe EEA is "Brexit", which is not only bollocks but also the sort of thing (as has been proven over and over again in the last 5 years) the kind of detail people aren't interested in.
Northern Ireland was always going to be the first problem to manifest, and is now doing so. Tory attempts to rewrite their own "deal" won't play out as well as I think they think it will with the public (especially one which is already starting to mistrust them on the pandemic as recent polling indicates), but it won't be the last. Food chains are likely to be next, and they may well fall as early as this winter. Then next summer all those people who finally get to go to Spain or Italy for their holidays are in for a rather nasty shock at the airport. Labour being in a position to say "we have an alternative which makes these problems go away but we're not reversing Brexit" could be a fairly powerful message by as early as the end of 2022.
Brexit has to be seen to be failing before they can do this, but at the current rate of progress it won't be long. Even the Government wanting to renegotiate the deal it signed is an indication of Brexit failing already, and we're only 7 months in.
What I would not be surprised to see is Labour pivot to an EEA / EFTA type arrangement in place of the rather shoddy deal in place now, which they will sell on the basis of "saving the Good Friday Agreement" and "fixing a disastrous Tory deal". The next election is in 2024, so there's still plenty of time for scales to fall from eyes, and at the rate they're going right now it'll be a much easier sell. This also punts the Tory argument away from the more glib "Brexit got done" stuff into them having to then take the nuanced argument about how they don't believe EEA is "Brexit", which is not only bollocks but also the sort of thing (as has been proven over and over again in the last 5 years) the kind of detail people aren't interested in.
Northern Ireland was always going to be the first problem to manifest, and is now doing so. Tory attempts to rewrite their own "deal" won't play out as well as I think they think it will with the public (especially one which is already starting to mistrust them on the pandemic as recent polling indicates), but it won't be the last. Food chains are likely to be next, and they may well fall as early as this winter. Then next summer all those people who finally get to go to Spain or Italy for their holidays are in for a rather nasty shock at the airport. Labour being in a position to say "we have an alternative which makes these problems go away but we're not reversing Brexit" could be a fairly powerful message by as early as the end of 2022.
Brexit has to be seen to be failing before they can do this, but at the current rate of progress it won't be long. Even the Government wanting to renegotiate the deal it signed is an indication of Brexit failing already, and we're only 7 months in.
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