Jimmy Grimble
Well-known member
That’s why it’ll likely be dependent on where we pick up the points.
4 from Ajax would probably rule them out and then 3 from Marseille or AEK.
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[Albion] Ajax Amsterdam
- Thread starter Krafty
- Start date
4 from Ajax would probably rule them out and then 3 from Marseille or AEK.
Their run is terrible in the league. However they've done better than us in the Europa.
Psychobilly freakout
HellBilly
We’re a busted flush and with the injuries ripe for Ajax to come and spoil the day.
seagullsausage3
Member
- Sep 2, 2023
- 38
Is only really estupinan that really hurts us. He is probably the only one that is difficult to replace with like for like. I have been watching Ajax fan channel which is here for anyone interested https://www.youtube.com/@weTalkAjax and they do look in one hell of a state. Fans chucking things on the pitch, game being stopped, players giving interviews saying they have given up on the season so despite a few injuries probably the best time to play them maybe ever.
6/1 lump on
Easy 10
Brain dead MUG SHEEP
schmunk
"Members"
Only just!
AEK had 23 shots against them and Marseille 25, but they somehow fluked draws in each.
Nobby Cybergoat
Well-known member
- Jul 19, 2021
- 7,116
Anything less than P4 W2 D1 L1, from here on, I reckon we're out.
Cowfold Seagull
Fan of the 17 bus
First things first, Thursday is defo a must win game. I'm under no illusions though it will be mighty difficult, especially with the ever growing injury list.
Nobby Cybergoat
Well-known member
- Jul 19, 2021
- 7,116
It would be good if we win it, but it won't send us through if we do and we're not out if we lose
Maybe but xg was close in both games. If we have our shooting boots on we really should be looking at scoring at least 3.
Sure, we're not out if we lose but for a good finish you're then looking at 3 successive wins, including 2 away games. If we lose at home again and our record becomes 1 point from a possible 9, there'd be nothing to suggest we'd suddenly pull that out of the bag.
Nobby Cybergoat
Well-known member
- Jul 19, 2021
- 7,116
Or 2 wins and a draw gives us a decent chance
We're probably better away than at home
Our xg was almost exact the same as City on Saturday (0.75 to 0.71 in one analysis I saw)…..
Yer that was silly . How could the first goal not have been an xg of one?!? Also haaland had an easy one on one which he screwed up
Ok. Seven points still wouldn't look easy having previously taken 1 from a possible 9.
If we went through on 8 points, that's not going to win the group so we'd then face a Champions League drop-out after Xmas. If we can only manage 8 points in this group, you might then even argue we'd be better off finishing 3rd as it would look like the Conference would be a more suitable standard.
Massive must-win game on Thursday in my opinion if we are serious about going a decent distance in the Europa League.
Jimmy Grimble
Well-known member
Ask Alvarez, he completely shanked the shot from one boot onto the other - he got very lucky. It was probably a 1 in 3 go in type goal I’d say.
Even a penalty is only 0.75 or so usually. 1.0 would have to be a tap-in to an open goal from a yard out
Haaland’s goal would have been quite low……Mitoma’s miss probably higher
Have you emailed the bookies to explain that you meant to put the bet on so they should honour it?
No we are definitely better at home. Under potter for a time we may have been better away I think.