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Advice needed from those with proper experience in gambling.



HovaGirl

I'll try a breakfast pie
Jul 16, 2009
3,139
West Hove
My grandfather inherited a fortune and was a professional gambler. He possessed nothing when he died.
 




New Carpet?

New member
Aug 23, 2009
797
See out your course, that's a must.

But then after that, have you thought about actually going into work for a Trading department of a bookmaker?

That way, you could then earn a decent salary and if your trading stances come good, win your company money (and potentially earn a bonus). You could also back your own fancies with other firms on the side.

Most of the big boys are based in Gibraltar these days, but I know people who have worked out there and have loved it. Just an idea, like.
 


Brovion

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 6, 2003
19,489
My grandfather inherited a fortune and was a professional gambler. He possessed nothing when he died.
No offence, but 'professional loser' may have been nearer the mark in his case!

As the old joke says: How do you make a small fortune gambling? Start with a large one.
 


Durlston

"Southgate, you're the one!"
NSC Patron
Jul 15, 2009
9,820
It's possible but just breaking even some weeks can be extremely difficult. Betting for a living can be more stressful than a normal job.

HseagullsH, you need to go for longer priced things to bet on and whatever you do GET top price because after many (painful) years of betting, you can tell when the bookies have made a rick in compiling their odds. Focus on 8/1 to 12/1 selections. Evaluate their real chances rather than the favourites or shorter priced ones because bookies have spent more time studying them.

Good luck mate. :thumbsup:
 


Commander

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Apr 28, 2004
13,162
London
You've made £2300 over the Summer? In what, 3 months? So that's less than a minimum wage job. I'd keep it as a hobby if I were you.
 




HovaGirl

I'll try a breakfast pie
Jul 16, 2009
3,139
West Hove
My grandfather inherited a fortune and was a professional gambler. He possessed nothing when he died.

No offence, but 'professional loser' may have been nearer the mark in his case!

As the old joke says: How do you make a small fortune gambling? Start with a large one.


I'm not telling the whole story. Was just being short and sharp to warn this little boy off what is a loser's game.
 


southern_sid

Banned
Aug 5, 2011
986
I'm studying maths at uni, perhaps I should keep it up, focussing on statistics!


This thread has made me re-think it then. I was sure more people made a living out of professional gambling. If it is as hard as those on here say then perhaps I have been getting a tad lucky.

I'm certain I could profit from gambling, but to profit the amounts I hoped for may be a bit out of my reach.

you sound a bit wet behind the ears,

do what you like, and like what you do.
 


Vegas Seagull

New member
Jul 10, 2009
7,782
HseagullH: I used to know a man (a friend of my Dad's) who was a professional gambler. He used to work on a 2% margin, e.g. if he bet £100 he'd expect a return of £102 (i.e. win £2). Obvously not a single bet, that would be his expected return on a series of linked bets. It was all on horse racing (this was back in the 1970s) and he did it by studying a mixture of form and prices. He had his good streaks and bad streaks, some days, or even weeks, his return would be higher than 2% but sometimes he'd have a month where he'd be down overall. However over the course of a year he reckoned on a 2% overall return.

You say you've won £2300. Working on this man's principle that means your total stakes for that period should have been around £100,000. If they have been, then fair enough, give it a few more months and if you can keep it up then it maybe a decent 'career choice'. If on the other hand you've only staked about £20,000 (or less) then all you are is a lucky punter. You may THINK you're clever and that you've devised a foolproof system - but you're not and you haven't.

One other thing - this man never bet for fun and he had no interest in horses outside of a racecourse. You must take your football losses into account otherwise you're just fooling yourself, a bit like someone who says they 'won' £20 from a pub fruit machine and it turns out they put £25 in the previous night!

In the 70's tax was 8%, it is zero now therefore 'easier'
 












I played poker professionally for 4 years between 2004 and 2008. For me it worked. I was not that great at poker, but the others were very bad. I had a great life. I was paying my mortgage off fast, having 4 or 5 good holidays a year and myself, wife and kids went without nothing. I stopped as quite simply, the standard of my opponents improved.

Before I played poker I used to love to gamble, be it the horses, football, casino or even bingo, I would do it.

What playing professionally taught me was that it's only ever worth playing if you have an edge. The edge I am referring to is have you managed to beat the odds?

At poker this was fairly easy to determine. I might work out that my hand has a 1 in 3 chance of winning, but if I get paid off I am going to win 5 times my bet. Simply really, and any mug can see that this would be a good bet.

However, where this works in poker is that I am playing against other players and not the house. The other players make mistakes or don't calculate their odds (most don't even bother to calculate at all)

It's the same as a bookies. Take Ladbrokes for example. They might offer you 3-1 on a horse, but the chances of that horse actually winning are 4-1. If you bet at 3-1 you might get lucky, but if you have enough of these bets, you will lose. Where as in poker, as long as you have the right odds (and enough of a margin to overcome the house rake) you will win.

It is for this reason alone that Ladbrokes make a profit and most of Ladbrokes punters lose!

I get the feeling that you have already made up your mind that you are going to give it a go, and that you are looking for someone to agree with you here!

If you have found a way of beating the bookies, then good luck to you. Even on betfair, it's never a true market (notice the 99% or 100% at the top of each market, sometimes 90% or 100%!) and even after overcoming the warped market, you still have to pay a commission on your winnings so all this needs to be calculated.

Finally, I don't need to tell you that if you go for it, you will have bad days, bad weeks, and even bad months. Even if you have found a way of beating the bookies (getting 4-1 on a horse that has a genuine 3-1 shot at winning) you might still lose and lose and lose.

For this reason (as you will have no other income) you will need to make sure that on top of your bankroll (your betting money) you also have enough money to live for 6 months.

If you are single with no kids, this might not be a fortune, but when I began poker professionally, I did not give up my day job until I had £25k squirelled away. It was actually 4 years after I started when I realised I was dipping into this that I no longer had the game beat.

I would say good luck, but luck is not what is needed. Those who rely on luck with lose.

Play well!
 


HovaGirl

I'll try a breakfast pie
Jul 16, 2009
3,139
West Hove
'Short & sharp' more like misleading, he didn't make his living I.e. Professional...he was a losing gambler, simple

He did not go out to work. He spent all day, every day, playing bridge for money with his aristocratic and genteel friends in the gambling houses off Hove seafront. Often, he won, but, as is usual in these cases, overall, he lost. All gamblers lose in the end. And that is my point.
 


Pat McCrotch

Lurker
Oct 25, 2005
1,559
Shoreham-by-the-sea
Wait for your student loan to come in at least, then you can use those funds for gambling. You should definately quit uni though. The time you spend studying there is time you can spend making money on horses.

100% agreed. Draw down as much as possible from your student loan, put the whole lot on the 4 dog in the 17.04 at Monmore. You are clearly a natural in this game so simply cannot lose.
 




Commander

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Apr 28, 2004
13,162
London




Lush

Mods' Pet
If you were offered a job where you were told that some months you would get paid, some months you would get nothing at all, and some months you would actually owe the company money, would you take it?
 


HovaGirl

I'll try a breakfast pie
Jul 16, 2009
3,139
West Hove
Not true at all I'm afraid! For every gambler who loses, another gambler wins.

Gambling is designed to look that way but gambling is also designed to part you with your money in a false belief that you will win it back.
 








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