Lincoln Imp
Well-known member
- Feb 2, 2009
- 5,964
No problem. But you said the public want a second referendum, and they want to remain in the EU, and the link you've given says that people would rather stay in the EU than have a hard Brexit (which is an opinion I've always maintained).
The earlier link suggested a strong preference among the public for a second referendum.
The second link addressed the likely reaction to a second referendum run on the lines suggested by Justine Greening and others - a three-option transferable vote with the least-favoured option dropping out after round one to leave the other two to fight it out. The three options were No Deal, Negotiated Deal (presumably based on Chequers) and Remain. This structure means that there would always be a Brexit option in the second round, although not necessarily a Remain one. It would also avoid the crude binary choice of the first referendum.
The YouGov poll showed the Negotiated Deal option being eliminated after the first round. This surprised me to start with, but of course the soft-Brexit option suffers from being both sides' second best. Few people really like it. Remain decisively beat No Deal in the second round - the implication of this being that the second choice of most people who favour a soft Brexit is Remain rather than hard Brexit.
These are just polls of course. They can be wrong. They can change. And not all polls agree. But they strongly suggest a direction of travel. It seems that hard Brexiteers may now have tens of millions of people to drip their contempt over.
We haven't reached a tipping point. I still feel there will be a fudge and Gove's hope that they can get over the line on March 29 and then launch a coup will prevail. But that tipping point seems to be a little closer.