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[Politics] Brexit

If there was a second Brexit referendum how would you vote?


  • Total voters
    1,083






Baldseagull

Well-known member
Jan 26, 2012
10,966
Crawley
on the EU position, i dont understand why a few weeks ago there were "hints", "overtues", made that minor alteration to the agreement could be made. they could help get the deal over the line, if some fine detail, wording could change. now they state it cannot be changed, when they know the deal was refused. i know its all game theory, just dont get the hardening when its not needed. they set themselve for a climb down, or force no deal, on hope of extension (doesnt resolve the core issue) or abandonment (does anyone seriously see how that will happen?):shrug:

As far as I am aware, all that was talked about was rephrasing it to reassure ERG types that the EU would work seriously to avoid the need for the backstop ever coming into play, and if it did come in to play, to despense with it as soon as possible. This is not a change in their position, it could be rephrased, but legally the position would be the same.
 


WATFORD zero

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 10, 2003
25,903
Even MoS has finally realised No deal is entirely possible, shirley it would be easier to admit what is pretty obvious to most people rather than continue with this tedious routine of pretending you know more than people who are clearly better informed :shrug:

Well we'll know soon enough enough. Don't forget - patience is a virtue :)
 


Baldseagull

Well-known member
Jan 26, 2012
10,966
Crawley


cunning fergus

Well-known member
Jan 18, 2009
4,747
Your insistence that I am a Tory only serves to highlight your political ignorance I'm afraid - the same political ignorance that suggests I'm happy to swallow your points when you consistently post links to prove them that end up doing nothing of the sort. Come on, you're better than that - and the same goes for pulling up someone for writing the word "father" and augmenting it with a pathetic and risible "my old man's a dustman" routine. Plenty of people write (or sing) words they might not say - unless you're writing off half of working class South Wales for daring to sing "Land of my fathers"? As for your point here, I accept that it is well made, except to say that it side-steps the point I was making. You say you want Brexit to further socialism, I say that remaining protects workers more than leaving because this country continues to vote the Conservatives into power when faced with a socialist alternative. Hell, even when the Tories are this appalling, socialist-led Labour are still nowhere near them, sadly - and I mean "sadly". I'm not socialist but they would do no worse than this shower. So yes, your lone voice does not make you wrong, but it is devoid of any pragmatism.

For you to say this suggests to me that you fundamentally misunderstand why border controls are ever necessary. In order to have frictionless borders, you need three planks in place:

1) an approximate alignment of tariffs. Where tariffs differ between two neighbouring economic zones, you need checks. In a practical example, tariffs into the EU are the same regardless of where you enter the zone, so currently it makes no difference whether a ship docks into Belfast or Ireland's Bantry Bay. This is what the Customs Union is for. However, if the EU and UK are different zones, that is no longer the case.
2) an alignment of regulations. Currently, member states in the EU economic zone are governed by the same regulations (well, almost but I'll come to that in #3). That means that we all know what sort of chicken we're seeing packed in supermarkets because it has all conformed to the same standards. This bit is otherwise known as the single market. When the UK leaves, we are no longer governed by those regulations and we can start chlorinating it chicken if we like to increase shelf life. The EU considers this quite revolting of course, and will need to check chicken flowing into its member states. (The same could apply the other way round of course)
3) where 2 member states disagree over the implementation of regulations in #2, you need a court to arbitrate and make that decision. By leaving the EU, we're insisting on bailing out of this too.

So where any one of those 3 planks are missing, you need a border. That's just a fact. Wales and England? All 3 boxes ticked, no problem. Netherlands and Belgium? Same again. Now look at an interesting example: Sweden and Norway. Norway is inside the single market, accepts EFTA Court jurisdiction, but is OUTSIDE the common market. Result? There are borders all across Sweden and Norway. Customs on either side will only stop lorries and trade vehicles because Norway is in the single market (accepting freedom of movement) and in Schengen by association, but it is not inside the customs union.

So advanced, closely aligned nations like Norway and Sweden HAVE customs - because they have to. Anyone who thinks there will be no border after Brexit is deluded. Not surprisingly, senior Brexit people continue to spin lies and bullshit about how new technology make it unnecessary. It is simply a lie and it is certainly not "egos and political point scoring" preventing it. That is just meaningless shite designed to make you feel better about hating the EU.


There’s a lot of ground to cover in your post I doubt I can do it justice, so here goes.

1) The EU is an uber capitalist project, always was and always will be, I know you don’t want to accept that fact, but a fact it is. Ergo supporters of the project are either, Tories, crypto Tories or at best neoliberals which are deconstructed Tories. I have been banned from this thread for upsetting some of the shrill sensitive types on here for maintaining that position, but save a continual stream of personal attacks no one has been able to dispel the fact that the EU isn’t a capitalist Tory inspired project.

2) As per 1) you want to remain because you think the EU is less Tory than the EU........and you accuse me of ignorance.

3) what a miserable joyless type you must be, you could come back with something more witty than that can you? Land of my fathers......listen to yourself. Why do you even care about this storm in a teacup.

4) as per 1) the EU is all about the money, and the EU Parliament et al is merely the gossamer thin veil that conceals it’s black foul Tory monetarist heart. No deal will create problems all over the EU and UK but specifically in Ireland, so the EU is only as strong as its weakest point. If Ireland is subjected to deprivation as a consequence of political intransigence by the EU then the whole project could be dead in the water. This is epoch changing moment for the EU and would propel Brexit to the front of the EUs problems.

Brexit and the Irish birder is not yet it’s biggest problem, an economic crisis is, and holding the back stop line could create the conditions for that.

The EU Parliament elections happen in May, a continuing crisis in Ireland, coupled with economic damage compounded by the ongoing problems in France, Germany and Italy will not bode well for pro EU parties.

So, in my opinion, the EU has more to lose in playing fast and lose with Brexit, so I think there will be a deal as oppose to no deal. You may of course end up being right, but you can’t say (yet) that I’m wrong.
 






cunning fergus

Well-known member
Jan 18, 2009
4,747
A comment like that says a great deal about yours and others attitude to Ireland on Brexit. An ignorant, or in your case deliberate because you're sad enough to find it amusing, reference to the Irish, food and poverty, despite the historical connotations to it. Very reminiscent of your like-minded Brexiteer Priti Patel's comments prior to Christmas that went down like a stone in Ireland. The general condescending attitude to Ireland on Brexit by English Brexiteers like you is revealing - basically they should know their place. Typical English arrogant, faux omnipotence at it's worst.

I appreciate you're stuck in a 1970's time-warp, but I also wonder if you're the sort of person who still finds 'There was an Englishman, an Irishman and a Scotsman' jokes funny? Perhaps you regale middle class friends with those jokes over a fondue set dinner party and a bottle of Blue Nun? (Do they sell Blue Nun in Waitrose or do you go online?)


Give me some credit Tarquin, if I was a kind of neo Black and Tan frothing at the mouth with anti papist bile about the bog trotters I would link Brexit and the consequences for Ireland to their stereotypical love of the humble potato.

https://www.irishexaminer.com/break...cut-off-seed-for-2019-potato-crop-892607.html

Back on project earth though, no deal Brexit will put Ireland properly in the cart, I don’t want that, the ROI Govt don’t want that, the UK Govt don’t want that and no doubt the EU don’t want that.

The ROI is unique in the EU and EZ in light of how much it trades with the U.K. and US, post Brexit it will be trading more with non EU countries than EU countries. A border around the UK will be catastrophic for it’s economy, if the doomsayers on here (you included) are right about the impact of no deal then it’s not unreasonable to suggest the impact will be even worse for Ireland.

That is why there will be a deal........everyone has too much to lose, not least the capitalists behind the EU and UK Govts.
 


ManOfSussex

We wunt be druv
Apr 11, 2016
14,749
Rape of Hastings, Sussex
Even MoS has finally realised No deal is entirely possible

It's entirely possible yet entirely impossible at the same time - Me and Anthony Joshua could agree to fight at Wembley on Saturday March 30th. I could try and get ready and do some training for it I suppose. I could even be mad enough to go ahead with it and get in the ring with him and attempt to give it a go after the bell for the 1st goes. Thing is, if the ref didn't stop it very soon afterwards, or my corner didn't throw in the towel very soon afterwards, I'd have to. It'll be very chastening and futile though and the terms of the fight, purse and any rematch were always down to him and Eddie Hearn anyway as I didn't have much of a say, much of a clue or know what I could get and they'll be quite narked that the ppv sales weren't good and they wasted time and lost money, but they'll more than cope. I hope Eddie and Anthony will be nice to me once I see sense though - I'm sure they will.
 




Baldseagull

Well-known member
Jan 26, 2012
10,966
Crawley
I would at first check out the providence of the man’s conduct.......

https://www.theguardian.com/busines...blocked-eu-curbs-on-tax-avoidance-cables-show

I would promptly conclude he is a lying Tory shit that couldn’t be trusted.

As Luxembourg PM, he wanted to maintain the ability to attract large corporations to Luxembourg through low tax liabilities, because it was good for Luxembourg. Now he is on the other side of the fence and is wanting to reduce the ability of member states to give corporations an easy ride in that way. Poacher turned Gamekeeper, if you like.
There are few saints in politics, Juncker isn't one of them, but he is not half as bad as your bedfellows, Mogg and Johnson.
I worry about you, I understand that to meet your responsibilities, you earn your crust in a way that produces nothing of use, I assume you realise that when you win, someone else loses, and yet you show utter contempt for someone else who acts similarly to meet his responsibilities, in your case to increase the prosperity of yourself and family, and in his, to do likewise for his country.
 


cunning fergus

Well-known member
Jan 18, 2009
4,747
But the question is, what compromise can they make? The Tory party / DUP wont accept other options, therefore whatever the EU suggests won't be satisfactory. Thus, if the backstop suits Ireland and the alternatives wouldn't be accepted in Britain, one can hardly pin this on the EU (which is what the government and papers want to try and do).


I fear it is likely to be a fudge that can give flexibility to both sides, but won’t resolve the essential underlying issues. Everyone claims victory and nothing really changes.

That would be straight out of the Euro crisis playbook, page 1, chapter 1, sub section 1.01.
 


cunning fergus

Well-known member
Jan 18, 2009
4,747
As Luxembourg PM, he wanted to maintain the ability to attract large corporations to Luxembourg through low tax liabilities, because it was good for Luxembourg. Now he is on the other side of the fence and is wanting to reduce the ability of member states to give corporations an easy ride in that way. Poacher turned Gamekeeper, if you like.
There are few saints in politics, Juncker isn't one of them, but he is not half as bad as your bedfellows, Mogg and Johnson.
I worry about you, I understand that to meet your responsibilities, you earn your crust in a way that produces nothing of use, I assume you realise that when you win, someone else loses, and yet you show utter contempt for someone else who acts similarly to meet his responsibilities, in your case to increase the prosperity of yourself and family, and in his, to do likewise for his country.


I worry about you, Juncker was at the epicentre of a global corporatist tax dodge in Luxembourg. If you want to excuse him for facilitating that mechanism so that huge multinationals avoided paying their fair share in the nations that they operated in so that Directors could get even bigger bonuses that’s your lookout.

As I say this board is soaking in Tories.

PS you don’t know what I do for a living, all the innuendo from you and your fellow travellers on this thread about me is flattering but a bit in the style of the classic box room furious masturbator.
 








The Clamp

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jan 11, 2016
24,553
West is BEST
The daft thing is apart from occasionally being worried that Polish people are actually Islamic warlords I sincerely doubt the majority of leave voters thought much about the EU, they won't have noticed the benefits it brings either unfortunately. They'll notice if we do leave though.

They were only really triggered when the Daily Mail ran a story about Latvian pimps on benefits coming here and nicking all the labouring jobs or a lie was painted onto the side of a bus. Little nudge from racism's Nigel Farage and it's off to the races. Or the dole queue for the unlucky ones.

Still, looks like May has got it all sorted out.
 




Baldseagull

Well-known member
Jan 26, 2012
10,966
Crawley
I worry about you, Juncker was at the epicentre of a global corporatist tax dodge in Luxembourg. If you want to excuse him for facilitating that mechanism so that huge multinationals avoided paying their fair share in the nations that they operated in so that Directors could get even bigger bonuses that’s your lookout.

As I say this board is soaking in Tories.

PS you don’t know what I do for a living, all the innuendo from you and your fellow travellers on this thread about me is flattering but a bit in the style of the classic box room furious masturbator.

No innuendo intended, I think it was fairly direct.
I am saying his policies were good for Luxembourg, even if morally and ethically questionable, but his role as Leader of Luxembourg was to ensure prosperity there, and you cannot say he was unsuccessful in that. As a small nation, there are limited ways to do it, he chose a way that was effective for Luxembourg and detrimental to the rest of the EU.
I don't know exactly what you do, but I have an idea, so hand on heart, can you say that when you have your best pay days, it isn't to someone else's detriment?
Do you produce something of use in society, aside from your income taxes?
 


Baldseagull

Well-known member
Jan 26, 2012
10,966
Crawley
No innuendo intended, I think it was fairly direct.
I am saying his policies were good for Luxembourg, even if morally and ethically questionable, but his role as Leader of Luxembourg was to ensure prosperity there, and you cannot say he was unsuccessful in that. As a small nation, there are limited ways to do it, he chose a way that was effective for Luxembourg and detrimental to the rest of the EU.
I don't know exactly what you do, but I have an idea, so hand on heart, can you say that when you have your best pay days, it isn't to someone else's detriment?
Do you produce something of use in society, aside from your income taxes?

P.S. this is one of the areas I am most keen for the EU to have some more power, to prevent the large corporate tax evasion by shifting to the lowest tax base.
 


The Clamp

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jan 11, 2016
24,553
West is BEST
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-47055188


“The SMMT was clear that Brexit presented what it calls "the most significant threat to the competitiveness of the UK automotive sector in a generation"
Car investment HALVES.


Inward investment fell 46.5% to £588.6m last year from £1.1bn in 2017, the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) says.
Production fell 9.1% to 1.52m vehicles, with output for the UK and for export falling 16.3% and 7.3% respectively.
Brexit uncertainty has "done enormous damage", said SMMT chief Mike Hawes

More bad news that will affect industry and the man on the street as car manafacturers sound red alert . Still, on our way, eh.
 
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The Clamp

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jan 11, 2016
24,553
West is BEST
Beat me to it just read the same report this is really getting serious even Brexitees must start to see the damage that voting to leave is doing!!!!!!!

They will find some way to dismiss it. But eventually when it starts affecting them and their families, maybe losing a job, a child not being able to get a foreign uni place, perhaps the treatment on the U.S.N.H.S is too expensive and their granddaughter suffers more than she would have had to.
They may start to realise what they have done then.
 


Mental Lental

Well-known member
Jul 5, 2003
2,274
Shiki-shi, Saitama


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