SeagullinExile
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The last 5 games prediction
- Thread starter OSRGull
- Start date
We've had our bad blip. We cannot afford for it to continue. Realistically we will need to win 4 out of 5 to be sure of the playoffs. We have to hope that the attacking 11 that started against Leicester becomes our template for the run in.
Personally, I can't see it happening. Unless we go all Bournemouth and become invincible we will probably drop a point or two too many. Hope I'm wrong and the good news for all of you is that I often am.
Personally, I can't see it happening. Unless we go all Bournemouth and become invincible we will probably drop a point or two too many. Hope I'm wrong and the good news for all of you is that I often am.
Last edited:
The Terminator
New member
- Aug 7, 2010
- 1,419
Looking at those fixtures individually I honestly think 15/15 but realistically we will drop points. I'll go for an optimistic 11/15
I can't work out whether I want Wigan to get to the FA Cup Final (massive distraction), or get beaten by Arsenal (big let down, depression sets in). Either way, they could still slip up in the run-in.
We may have to win them all !
Reading expected to beat Leicester.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/teams/reading/fixtures
Reading to get 10 pts = 73
Wigan and Reading might play out a draw so that would be 11 pts = 74
That means Albion need four wins and a draw. Three home wins, and a win at Huddersfield and then a visit to Forest for the last game of the regular season. It might have to be five consecutive wins. The games could not be any easier though.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/teams/brighton-and-hove-albion/fixtures
Bournemouth and Ipswich might need the same sort of results. Basically four wins and leave to the last game.
But they can't do it because they are playing each other.
Ipswich have to visit Watford and Burnley so they have a tougher task.
Bournemouth have only two home games but they are as easy as you get except for the Ipswich game:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/teams/afc-bournemouth/fixtures
Three clubs could reach the final game of the season on the same number of points. Brighton need to exceed a five goal difference if level on points. We have Charlton, Blackpool and Yeovil at home.
Say Reading get a GD of 15, this means three 2-0 would not be enough. We would need an extra goal or two. I don't think we will beat Charlton by more than one goal. I would be pleased if we beat them at all.
Reading must be clear favourites, but they have to beat Leicester. I can't see them failing as complacency has already set in at the Champions.
Reading expected to beat Leicester.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/teams/reading/fixtures
Reading to get 10 pts = 73
Wigan and Reading might play out a draw so that would be 11 pts = 74
That means Albion need four wins and a draw. Three home wins, and a win at Huddersfield and then a visit to Forest for the last game of the regular season. It might have to be five consecutive wins. The games could not be any easier though.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/teams/brighton-and-hove-albion/fixtures
Bournemouth and Ipswich might need the same sort of results. Basically four wins and leave to the last game.
But they can't do it because they are playing each other.
Ipswich have to visit Watford and Burnley so they have a tougher task.
Bournemouth have only two home games but they are as easy as you get except for the Ipswich game:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/teams/afc-bournemouth/fixtures
Three clubs could reach the final game of the season on the same number of points. Brighton need to exceed a five goal difference if level on points. We have Charlton, Blackpool and Yeovil at home.
Say Reading get a GD of 15, this means three 2-0 would not be enough. We would need an extra goal or two. I don't think we will beat Charlton by more than one goal. I would be pleased if we beat them at all.
Reading must be clear favourites, but they have to beat Leicester. I can't see them failing as complacency has already set in at the Champions.
The Sock of Poskett
The best is yet to come (spoiler alert)
- Jun 12, 2009
- 2,813
I still think three wins and two draws could do it - provided our wins enable us to build up a healthy GD.
Machiavelli
Well-known member
Really? The bookies don't think so:
http://www.statto.com/football/odds/england/league-championship/reading-v-leicester-city/match-odds
I don't bet much -- although I did have the winner both on the nose and each way in the National -- but I'm tempted by those odds on Leicester.