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[Misc] The Award-winning official "More Snow Tomorrow?" Thread [2023-24 Season]



dazzer6666

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Mar 27, 2013
52,640
Burgess Hill
Went for a run this morning came across a couple getting out of their car that had careered into a hedge (near the Sportsman in Burgess Hill). The road was like a sheet of glass for about 100 yards.
 








Weststander

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Aug 25, 2011
64,296
Withdean area
+2.5c in the Withdean area at the moment, and raining steadily.

Papa - why is it that on other occasions it can be as high as +3c with full blown snow falling? (Is it due to differences in humidity, or in air temperatures higher up in the atmosphere?)
 








Papa Lazarou

Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Jul 7, 2003
18,882
Worthing
+2.5c in the Withdean area at the moment, and raining steadily.

Papa - why is it that on other occasions it can be as high as +3c with full blown snow falling? (Is it due to differences in humidity, or in air temperatures higher up in the atmosphere?)

Upper air temps will be a factor, as will dew point temp. If the dew point is below zero you can get snow quite high. Another factor is precipitation intensity, as in heavy precipitation colder air from aloft can get dragged down, plus you can get evaporative cooling.

At the moment we're the wrong side of marginal on just about everything.
 


Scoffers

Well-known member
Jan 13, 2004
6,844
Burgess Hill




Cheshire Cat

The most curious thing..
Sheet black ice here this morning, but slow thaw now.
 


Papa Lazarou

Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Jul 7, 2003
18,882
Worthing
Sheet black ice here this morning, but slow thaw now.

Depending on where in Cheshire you are, the next couple of days could see snow for you. This is the latest GFS ensemble for your area. High snow percentages.

Screenshot_2015-01-18-12-36-41.png

Note, this is for Cheshire not Sussex
 






Papa Lazarou

Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Jul 7, 2003
18,882
Worthing
whereas for Worthing it's not look anywhere near as good.

Worthing Ensemble 18-01-15 6Z.png
 


Papa Lazarou

Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Jul 7, 2003
18,882
Worthing
So to answer the question earlier - through this reasonably cold spell we never tap into any really cold air, so we're always borderline for snow. Despite 20-30% every now and then I can't say for certain that we WILL see snow down here.
 


Cheshire Cat

The most curious thing..
Depending on where in Cheshire you are, the next couple of days could see snow for you. This is the latest GFS ensemble for your area. High snow percentages.

View attachment 61885

Note, this is for Cheshire not Sussex
A personal weather forecast!!!!!

Where did the thumbs up button go? :thumbsup:

Not happy about potential snow during the week, as I have to drive to Liverpool for work. (its currently raining)
 
















vegster

Sanity Clause
May 5, 2008
27,905
Pretty cold tonight here in Worthing, could be "fun " on the roads in the morning.
 


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