[Misc] The Award-winning official "More Snow Tomorrow?" Thread [2023-24 Season]

[Papa Lazarou]

following a few hints over the last 24 hours, the recent GFS ensemble is showing the first signs of a potential cold incursion in about a week's time.

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&x=295&y=178

View attachment 50283

Early days still, but 30% snow chances at this range have to be acknowledged

 

[Barrel of Fun]

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-25743806

 

[vegster]

Today finally, after some three months, The Daily Express has acknowledged that we are actually having a mild, wet winter ! They have finally run up the white flag after 3 months of predicting the " Coldest winter for 40 years ", at last someone has actually looked out the window. Rejoice !

 

[Stoichkov]

I'm really tired of this grey, damp, windy stuff. Oh for a spell of clear, cold northerly type weather...

 

[chucky1973]

following a few hints over the last 24 hours, the recent GFS ensemble is showing the first signs of a potential cold incursion in about a week's time.

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&x=295&y=178

View attachment 50283

Early days still, but 30% snow chances at this range have to be acknowledged

what's the outlook Papa. bored of wind and rain

 

[Papa Lazarou]

what's the outlook Papa. bored of wind and rain

To get a proper easterly lots of factors have to fall into place. probably 3/4 of those factors are there, but sadly the Azores High is too close to us, which stops the low pressure systems from sliding to to our SE, so the flodd gates can't open.

 

[Giraffe]

Since this thread started this has to be the worst winter ever. A complete snow no show. Not giving up on it yet, but it does look like there will be no snow giraffe this winter.

 

[casbom]

Since this thread started this has to be the worst winter ever. A complete snow no show. Not giving up on it yet, but it does look like there will be no snow giraffe this winter.

I wouldn't give up just yet...look at last March!

 

[Giraffe]

I wouldn't give up just yet...look at last March!

Indeed, I have high hopes for Feb too.

 

[kevo]

Since this thread started this has to be the worst winter ever. A complete snow no show. Not giving up on it yet, but it does look like there will be no snow giraffe this winter.

Saw this thread had bounced to the top and thought you were gonna say there was some on the way!

 

[HawkTheSeagull]

Meant to be FREEZING towards the end of the week/weekend with rain on the way too - we also play up North on Saturday.....surely not ?

 

[LamieRobertson]

Today finally, after some three months, The Daily Express has acknowledged that we are actually having a mild, wet winter ! They have finally run up the white flag after 3 months of predicting the " Coldest winter for 40 years ", at last someone has actually looked out the window. Rejoice !

now they've admitted it...snow will be on the way

 

[LamieRobertson]

Indeed, I have high hopes for Feb too.

Please no..i'm due for a holiday next month

 

[Papa Lazarou]

The GFS ensemble is much more hopeful this morning
http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&x=297&y=178

View attachment 50378

 

[casbom]

What's ECM like this morning? Also is that cold air from east or north west? Sorry on phone, cheers Papa.

 

[Papa Lazarou]

What's ECM like this morning? Also is that cold air from east or north west? Sorry on phone, cheers Papa.

Funny you should ask, the ECM has an Easterly at a week out also. As Sherlock would say, the game is on.

 

[Uncle Spielberg]

According to the BBC, back to 10C and sw's end of week. Still westerly and 8C until then. I can't remember in 40 years of following the weather by late jan the lowest daytime max was 8C.

 

[Papa Lazarou]

According to the BBC, back to 10C and sw's end of week. Still westerly and 8C until then. I can't remember in 40 years of following the weather by late jan the lowest daytime max was 8C.

Many of the winters between 1991 and about 2007 followed this path, with persistent W / SW / NW winds.

 

[Uncle Spielberg]

Many of the winters between 1991 and about 2007 followed this path, with persistent W / SW / NW winds.

never with a daytime max of 8C or over by late jan.

 

[Papa Lazarou]

never with a daytime max of 8C or over by late jan.

It doesn't sound too far from the average to be honest (average daytime max for Brighton in Jan is quoted as 8C here)

http://www.myweather2.com/Holiday-Destinations/United-Kingdom/Brighton/climate-profile.aspx