Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Here i am
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[Misc] The Award-winning official "More Snow Tomorrow?" Thread [2023-24 Season]
- Thread starter Giraffe
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Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
From what i've seen on the GFS, UKMO and ECMWF models you are pretty much spot on. With a few minor differences all models show a continuation of the current setup, with a semi permanent Euro high and a mobile (zonal) flow riding over the top. Therefore, unless you live in Scotland and at altitude there's really nothing to get excited about . What we desperately need is this high to move allowing low pressure to drive into central Europe, create a more buckled jet stream pattern (known as meridional flow) which then favours blocking synotics and a better chance of snow.
With the current setup and that forecast for the next 14 days any coldness will be fleeting as cold fronts pass by and will both be short lived and not likely to produce any snow this far south.
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
For the US id probably stick with accuweather really they use the GFS data but they are ok at the reliable end of the forecast.
Going to any American football games while in the area?
jevs
Well-known member
But the sun "news"paper told me that we were going to be plunged into arctic conditions in December. They're never wrong.
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
No sign of snow down here in this morning 's model output.
Mellor 3 Ward 4
Well-known member
Yes, Packers v Detroit at Green Bay on New Year's Day
Good good! I was close to getting tickets for that game as well but just not in the budget as heading to England in April. Was at a game in Green Bay last December and it was a fantastic day out!
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Just in case you're interested the model output still shows pretty dire weather for snow lovers away from the Scottish mountains
Agreed some quite nice model consistency across Metra, ENS 32 day model although I think the 32 model has signalled cooling slightly earlier although not as cold as originally suggested
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Yep. definitely a cooling trend towards average for the time of year, which will defo feel cold, but no signal for anything cold. as i said before we need pressure rises towards Scandinavia or Greenland for any prolonged cold, and that just isn't happening :-(
RexCathedra
Aurea Mediocritas
Had 11" here in southern Maine on Tuesday night/Wednesday morning. Had to retrieve the daughter from uni for Thanksgiving a day early. Mostly gone now, and back up over 50 tomorrow.
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
There is a hint of something down.the line in the model output this morning with GFS and ECMWF going for the high pressure cell to move west wards ( termed retrogress) away from europe . This doesn't guarantee cold synoptics but it does allow a greater opportunity later on.
NMH
Banned
Sweden is still quite warm and even sunny, albeit with some ice in the puddles first thing.
Some cold spells predicted, but inordinately mild especially for this time of year.
They had the last two as extremely cold winters - so far this isn't looking like happening this year so far, though we are bound to get snow at some point.
Some cold spells predicted, but inordinately mild especially for this time of year.
They had the last two as extremely cold winters - so far this isn't looking like happening this year so far, though we are bound to get snow at some point.
BBC Weather : Brighton
By Friday temperatures will hit single figures, for once this winter we really will start to feeling cold, then hopefully we will see some snow
By Friday temperatures will hit single figures, for once this winter we really will start to feeling cold, then hopefully we will see some snow
Seagulls4life
New member
Really want some snow! I'm missing it
supaseagull
Well-known member
BBC Weather : Brighton
By Friday temperatures will hit single figures, for once this winter we really will start to feeling cold, then hopefully we will see some snow
Unfortunately it jumps back upto double figures on Saturday and heavy rain and wind is forecast at the moment
Sent from my iPhone using a goat
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Despite my guarded hint at something 'better' a couple of days ago, it's as you were across the major forecast models... little sign of things changing. Perhaps we might get some high pressure over the UKI (I'd say about 25% likelihood) but generally it's as we are.