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[Football] Promotion Calculator
- Thread starter perseus
- Start date
I hereby declare the 'expected goals model', shit.
Hampster Gull
New member
- Dec 22, 2010
- 13,462
Here here
Dolph Ins
Well-known member
Just looked at whoscored.
When playing 442 p34 w19 d12 l3 f50 a29
When playing 433,4411,451 p4 w0 d2 l2 f2 a6
Please Chris go with the 442 even if it does mean we get stuffed (very) occasionally
When playing 442 p34 w19 d12 l3 f50 a29
When playing 433,4411,451 p4 w0 d2 l2 f2 a6
Please Chris go with the 442 even if it does mean we get stuffed (very) occasionally
I wanted to look at which side out of the top 4 had the easiest run in when looking at the recent league form of all teams(last 6 games). I've given each team a score that I've calculated using the 6 game form league position of the team's various opponents still to play; the highest score being the easiest run in. I've not built in home/away adjustments but it looks like Hull have the easiest run in at present.
Hull 106
Brighton 100
Boro 83
Burnley 80
NOTE: These are not a final points tally but a separate score indicating ease of run-in.
Hull 106
Brighton 100
Boro 83
Burnley 80
NOTE: These are not a final points tally but a separate score indicating ease of run-in.
Last edited:
Napier's Knee
New member
Love to know what Uncle Tony's betting algorithms say!
That's all well and good, but now you've got to explain yourself to TSB.
Burnley are fourth using your calculations, I can't see them throwing this away but let's hope so 
StonehamPark
#Brighton-Nil
After this weekend's results.
No idea if I've put in the predictions as last week.
worthingseagull
Well-known member
- Sep 28, 2011
- 1,482
whoops
That all sounds great, then you show us finishing 4th?
By the time we go to 'boro it might be a meaningless game, but right now it looks like the most important. A big 6 pointer.
Indeed. I'd also love for us to play a relegated Charlton as teams 'already down' have a poor record.
Can't be disappointed then!
Believe me I want to change one of the next three 1's to a 3 but I like the thought of winning the hard way
Nathan
Well-known member
- Jan 8, 2010
- 3,764
That would put us in 2nd place with the Boro game to go. Its going to tight isn't it, win that game and we are up!
- Thread starter
- #219
The Wire
My predictions put Hull as runaway leaders and Boro, Albion and Burnley (one less) all on about or exactly the same number of points going into the final game.
This means that Boro of Albion both need to win the final game and both miss out to Burnley if it is a draw. Last game mysteriously kicks off a few minutes late. So do Burnley at home, not to be robbed in the last seconds of the 46.
Hull have nine games to go, eight against teams in the bottom half of the table.
http://www.statto.com/football/teams/hull-city
Hull 1-8 Top half clubs first
Brighton 5-3
Burnley 6-2
Boro 6-3
Derby 5-3
Wednesday 3-5
My predictions put Hull as runaway leaders and Boro, Albion and Burnley (one less) all on about or exactly the same number of points going into the final game.
This means that Boro of Albion both need to win the final game and both miss out to Burnley if it is a draw. Last game mysteriously kicks off a few minutes late. So do Burnley at home, not to be robbed in the last seconds of the 46.
Hull have nine games to go, eight against teams in the bottom half of the table.
http://www.statto.com/football/teams/hull-city
Hull 1-8 Top half clubs first
Brighton 5-3
Burnley 6-2
Boro 6-3
Derby 5-3
Wednesday 3-5
Yeah, but it would be easier to win the playoff final.