General Election 2015

[beorhthelm]

Interesting that the YouGov exit poll puts the result as Tories 284, Labour 263 which seems more believable

Indeed... although IPSOS Mori polled 22000+ people across the country at polling stations today... and are standing by their figures.

the YouGov seems more consistant with what we've been given over the past few weeks. i understand this is a telephone poll, as many have been. the IPSOS is a different creature, with people at polling stations interviewed. so any bias in a telephone polling is removed and you have a much cleaner cross section of the voters. and no undecided throwing it off balance either.

 

[penny's harmonica]

I think the exit poll is wrong. I can't be right, surely?

I think it will prove accurate in Scotland but surely local preferences will factor for the rest of the UK.

Very worrying for the union if correct.

 

[dazzer6666]

Whats so special about St Ives? A constituency of just under 67,000. Why does it take them until tomorrow lunchtime to return the result?

Constituency includes the Isles of Scilly and they ship their boxes over.

 

[Vegas Seagull]

In fairness, how can two exit polls be so far apart?

You gov usually poll 1,000 of a group that has opted in to their site...ie not Tory pensioners...and they are babies at exit polls..,bbc was 22,000 & they have strong exit form

 

[pb21]

In fairness, how can two exit polls be so far apart?

They are based, to a certain extent on previous voting behaviour, and this election hasn't been similar to past elections, therefore it is more likely to have some variation.

 

[Vegas Seagull]

I think the SNP numbers on the exit poll will be fairly accurate.

That is a far bigger story than Tory vs Labour. The third largest party in the UK will be Scottish.

Mainstream parties won't get back in north of the border. Ever.

Ladbrokes had 53 SNP favourites today, so rings true

 

[Ernest]

the YouGov seems more consistant with what we've been given over the past few weeks. i understand this is a telephone poll, as many have been. the IPSOS is a different creature, with people at polling stations interviewed. so any bias in a telephone polling is removed and you have a much cleaner cross section of the voters. and no undecided throwing it off balance either.

Seems strange with every poll not just YouGov saying the same thing for the last 6 weeks and suddenly the BBC exit poll is all over the place

 

[portslade seagull]

Hopefully the exit poll is fairly accurate and the numbskull milliband falls on his sword afterwards

 

[BadFish]

And it's all gone quiet over there,
And it's all gone quiet over there,
And it's all gone quiet,
All gone quiet,
All gone quiet over there.

<Points left>

Stay classy Bozza....... Or just embrace the Binfest

 

[alfredmizen]

Has the baldy c*nt f*cked it up again [/QUOTE]
Herr Tubthumper ?? Obviously yes if the exit polls are accurate

 

[Bozza]

If the loonies are still fancying it, they can now get rich...

 

[portslade seagull]

Seems strange with every poll not just YouGov saying the same thing for the last 6 weeks and suddenly the BBC exit poll is all over the place

Yes very strange seeing as they have been very left wing bias throughout the campaign ... must be rubbing against the grain for them to publish that !!

 

[dazzer6666]

Stay classy Bozza....... Or just embrace the Binfest

This Is the equivalent of shouting 'ole' at every pass at 1-0 up after 15 minutes. A tad early to celebrate, methinks.

 

[Simster]

Questions I have been asked in the last 5 minutes

1. What's an exit poll?
2. Is Andrew Neill Conservative or Labour?

FFS

Why is Neill wearing an MCC tie? Not very egalitarian on election night.

 

[Titanic]

I didn't realise Ed Balls was on such a wafer thin majority... oh that would be sweet!

 

[Vegas Seagull]

If it is true it is prob because that there were 100 new Tories voted in at the last election for the first time since 97 & once in place they have done a good job and together with the 1st time incumbency effect has kicked in big time

 

[swindonseagull]

This Is the equivalent of shouting 'ole' at every pass at 1-0 up after 15 minutes. A tad early to celebrate, methinks.

I like OLE

OLE
OLE
OLE

 

[BrickTamland]

Sad times if the exit polls are true - although hopefully because of the nature of this election they won't be. Say good bye to the NHS.

 

[Bozza]

I didn't realise Ed Balls was on such a wafer thin majority... oh that would be sweet!

Maybe that was why Labour kept him out of the spotlight. That, or the fact he is a massive liability.

 

[dazzer6666]

Maybe that was why Labour kept him out of the spotlight. That, or the fact he is a massive liability.

Both. I might wait up now just to see his seat declared.