who wons the recent elections?

[The Large One]

Agreed , too many DFLers moving down since mid 2010 will shore up the Tory vote.

What on earth makes you think DFLers mostly vote Tory? Many were 'blaming' them for turning Hove to Labour.

 

[Eeyore]

I think there's a chance of a change in Kemptown - I'd suspect a close three horse race. Hove on the other hand will stay Tory in a two horser as the Green candidate is Christopher "mad as a box of frogs" Hawtree.

Chris cannot win in Hove, although he is a tremendous door step campaigner. He may win over a few Lib Dems. His victory in Central Hove was evidence of this. I think a lot of people like his eccentric nature. I've spoken to him on many an occasion, he is quite endearing.

As for Kemptown-no chance for the Greens. It's blue or red, unlike Pavilion.

 

[supaseagull]

Tories won't get overturned in either Kemptown or Hove

They will because of one simple fact.

Those who voted lib dem across the country 4 years agoe will be so disillusioned that in marginal seats they will turn to the next party they believe in.

kemptown and hove are considered to be con/lab marginal seats where many labour voters at the last election voted for the lib dems and so will return to voting labour. The more right wing lib dems will be split between ukip and a Tory vote.

Therefore, whilst there's never been a big libdem vote in B&H the ones who did vote for the will be enough in numbers and will vote for w labour MP.

That's my taken on it anyway.

 

[Vegas Seagull]

They will because of one simple fact.

Those who voted lib dem across the country 4 years agoe will be so disillusioned that in marginal seats they will turn to the next party they believe in.

kemptown and hove are considered to be con/lab marginal seats where many labour voters at the last election voted for the lib dems and so will return to voting labour. The more right wing lib dems will be split between ukip and a Tory vote.

Therefore, whilst there's never been a big libdem vote in B&H the ones who did vote for the will be enough in numbers and will vote for w labour MP.

That's my taken on it anyway.

Can you me evidence for your 'simple fact' that previous LD are more likely to vote Labour than Tory...?

 

[WATFORD zero]

My predictions

Pavilion - Green
Kemp Town - Labour
Hove - Conservative

although i don't think i'll be making a killing at the bookies with that

 

[WATFORD zero]

Can you me evidence for your 'simple fact' that previous LD are more likely to vote Labour than Tory...?

Take a look at the LD manifesto before the last election and they had more traditional 'socialist' policies than labour