How many wins we really need

[Beeneys gloves]

Gills form means we still need 15 wins from 17 games to be assured of safety!

1 Ipswich 109
2 Wigan 107
--------------------
3 Sunderland 104
4 Reading 100
5 Sheff Utd 99
6 Burnley 97
------------------
7 Millwall 96
8 West Ham 96
9 Preston 94
10 Derby 93
11 Crewe 93
12 QPR 91
13 Leicester 90
14 Stoke 89
15 Leeds 88
16 Watford 87
17 Wolves 86
18 Plymouth 84
19 Coventry 83
20 Cardiff 82
21 Gillingham 80
-------------------------
22 Forest 75
23 Rotherham 70
24 ALBION 36 (poss 87)

 

[Beeneys gloves]

After the good weekend results we now need just 41 more points to be sure of safety which is down to 13 wins from 16 games, its dropping every week!

1 Ipswich 107
2 Wigan 105
------------------
3 Sunderland 104
4 Reading 98
5 Sheff Utd 96
6 Preston 94
----------------
7 Burnley 94
8 Millwall 93
9 Derby 93
10 West Ham 93
11 QPR 91
12 Crewe 91
13 Leicester 90
14 Leeds 88
15 Wolves 86
16 Stoke 86
17 Watford 85
18 Cardiff 82
19 Plymouth 81
20 Coventry 80
21 Gillingham 77
-------------------------
22 Nottm Forest 73
23 Rotherham 68
24 ALBION 37 (poss 85)

 

[Beeneys gloves]

OK the maths for our last 14 games are:

We now need 12 wins to avoid relegation

9 wins to be above Rotherham

and 11 wins to see off Forest

easy

1 Ipswich 107
2 Wigan 102
----------------------
3 Sunderland 102
4 Reading 96
5 Preston 94
6 Derby 93
-------------------
7 West Ham 93
8 Sheff Utd 93
9 Millwall 91
10 Burnley 91
11 QPR 89
12 Crewe 89
13 Leicester 88
14 Stoke 86
15 Watford 85
16 Wolves 84
17 Leeds 83
18 Cardiff 79
19 Plymouth 79
20 Coventry 77
21 Gillingham 74
-----------------------
22 Nottm Forest 71
23 Rotherham 66
24 Brighton 38 (poss 80)

 

[Beeneys gloves]

Not great results the last two games means the gap hasnt closed much.

Still need 12 wins from 13 games to be sure of safety

11 wins to be see off Forest

and 9 wins to be above Rotherham

1 Ipswich 107
2 Wigan 102
3 Sunderland 102
4 Preston 94
5 Reading 93
6 Derby 93
7 West Ham 93
8 Sheff Utd 93
9 Burnley 91
10 Millwall 89
11 QPR 86
12 Crewe 86
13 Stoke 86
14 Leicester 85
15 Wolves 84
16 Leeds 83
17 Watford 82
18 Cardiff 79
19 Plymouth 77
20 Coventry 74
21 Gillingham 72
------------------------
22 Nottm Forest 71
23 Rotherham 64
24 ALBION 38 (poss) 77

 

[Kaney]

You're forgetting the SIX Pointers, we only need 6 of those from 13

 

[The Bandit]

As an outsider I sorry to criticise but is the most pointless thread ever??

 

[Beeneys gloves]

Some good results mean that we now need 10 wins from 12 games to be assured of safety.
9 wins will be enough to prevent Gills catching us and we just need 6 victories to ensure one of the spaces is taken by Rothers!


1 Wigan 102
2 Ipswich 102
3 Sunderland 99
4 West Ham 93
5 Preston 92
6 Derby 91
7 Sheff Utd 90
8 Reading 88
9 Burnley 87
10 Millwall 86
11 Stoke 86
12 QPR 84
13 Watford 82
14 Crewe 82
15 Leicester 82
16 Leeds 80
17 Wolves 80
18 Cardiff 76
19 Plymouth 74
20 Coventry 71
21 Forest 71
------------------------
22 Gillingham 67
23 Rotherham 58
24 ALBION 41 (poss) 77

 

[Dick Knights Mumm]

As an outsider I sorry to criticise but is the most pointless thread ever??

.................... not by a long chalk I'm afraid.

 

[Wilka]

Out of the bottom 3 I only think Forrest have a chance of staying up. Hopefully at Plymouth or Coventry's expence.

 

[Robot Chicken]

!

 

[Biscuit]

Not great results the last two games means the gap hasnt closed much.

Still need 12 wins from 13 games to be sure of safety

11 wins to be see off Forest

and 9 wins to be above Rotherham

Yes but we are PLAYING Forest, and we can't both win that game!

 

[Beeneys gloves]

We now need 70 points to be safe from relegation which is 8 wins from out last 11 games.

But we also need just 4 wins to make sure Rotherham cant catch us!

Also I thought we had played Forest both times now Biscuit?

1 Wigan 99
2 Sunderland 99
3 Ipswich 99
4 West Ham 90
5 Sheff Utd 90
6 Derby 89
7 Preston 89
8 Reading 86
9 Stoke 84
10 QPR 84
11 Burnley 84
12 Millwall 83
13 Leeds 80
14 Watford 80
15 Leicester 80
16 Crewe 79
17 Wolverhampton 78
18 Plymouth 74
19 Cardiff 73
20 Coventry 69
21 Forest 69
-----------------------
22 Gillingham 67
23 Rotherham 55
24 Brighton 44 poss 77

 

[Basil Fawlty]

2 more wins and then 1 draw will be enough to secure safety in this division.

 

[somerset]

2 more wins and then 1 draw will be enough to secure safety in this division.

Agreed, but which games for which results:

I go for....

win - Reading (h)
win - Leicester (h)
Draw - Coventry (a)

The rest are up for grabs too, but may be beyond us to say they are bankers.

 

[Beeneys gloves]

Saturdays bad results means that we are still need 8 wins from 10 games to be certain of safety.

3 wins see of Rotherham though while its also 8 wins to be above Gills.

1 Wigan 99
2 Sunderland 99
3 Ipswich 96
4 Preston 89
5 Derby 87
6 West Ham 87
7 Sheff Utd 87
8 Reading 84
9 Stoke 84
10 QPR 82
11 Millwall 81
12 Burnley 81
13 Leeds 78
14 Watford 77
15 Leicester 77
16 Wolves 76
17 Crewe 76
18 Cardiff 73
19 Plymouth 71
20 Coventry 69
21 Forest 69
----------------------
22 Gillingham 67
23 Rotherham 52
24 ALBION 44 (poss 74)

 

[kalinski]

whi has the link to that Ipswich league calulator that will tell you properly

 

[kalinski]

http://www.ipswichtown.rivals.net/default.asp?sid=911&p=2&stid=8342726

but i think two wins four draws and we will be fine (we can lose 4 times then).

That does mean that we must get a result against all of our rivals

 

[perseus]

Team Pld W D L F A W D L F A Pts GD
Brighton and Hove Albion 46 8 5 10 23 31 6 5 12 13 31 52 -26

Your predictions:

Brighton and Hove Albion 0 3 Ipswich Town
Brighton and Hove Albion 0 2 Leicester City
Brighton and Hove Albion 2 1 Reading
Brighton and Hove Albion 2 2 West Ham United
Brighton and Hove Albion 1 3 Wigan Athletic
Burnley 1 0 Brighton and Hove Albion
Coventry City 2 0 Brighton and Hove Albion
Plymouth Argyle 0 0 Brighton and Hove Albion
Preston North End 2 0 Brighton and Hove Albion
Rotherham United 1 2 Brighton and Hove Albion

The calculator has been used 4192 times

 

[Yorkie]

Team Pld W D L F A W D L F A Pts GD
Brighton and Hove Albion 46 9 4 10 23 26 6 7 10 16 30 56 -17

Your predictions:
Brighton and Hove Albion 0 1 Ipswich Town
Brighton and Hove Albion 1 0 Leicester City
Brighton and Hove Albion 2 1 Reading
Brighton and Hove Albion 1 2 West Ham United
Brighton and Hove Albion 1 2 Wigan Athletic
Burnley 1 1 Brighton and Hove Albion
Coventry City 1 1 Brighton and Hove Albion
Plymouth Argyle 1 1 Brighton and Hove Albion
Preston North End 2 0 Brighton and Hove Albion
Rotherham United 0 2 Brighton and Hove Albion

 

[Beeneys gloves]

We now need 8 wins from 9 games to be clear of Forest and relegation, while 8 wins also sees of Gillingham.

2 wins are enough to be above Rothers still.

1 Wigan 99
2 Sunderland 99
3 Ipswich 96
4 Derby 87
5 Preston 87
6 Reading 84
7 West Ham 84
8 Stoke 84
9 Sheff Utd 84
10 QPR 82
11 Burnley 79
12 Millwall 78
13 Leeds 76
14 Leicester 75
15 Wolverhampton 74
16 Watford 71
17 Plymouth 71
18 Cardiff 71
19 Crewe 70
20 Coventry 67
21 Forest 66
---------------------
22 Gillingham 65
23 Rotherham 49
24 ALBION 44 (poss 71)