How many wins we really need

[Beeneys gloves]

If every other team won their games, (impossible I know) but for the sake of this thread lets just imagine they do, they how many wins do we need to stay up, McGhee reckons its 9.

But, we currently need 22 wins from 24 games to be assured of safety, easy!

1 Wigan 116
2 Ipswich 115
---------------------
3 Sunderland 112
4 Reading 110
5 West Ham 109
6 QPR 108
-----------------------
7 Sheff Utd 107
8 Millwall 104
9 Leicester 103
10 Stoke 103
11 Derby 102
12 Burnley 102
13 Wolves 102
14 Plymouth 101
15 Crewe 101
16 Preston 101
17 Watford 100
18 Coventry 98
19 Leeds 97
20 Cardiff 94
21 Forest 92
-----------------
22 Gills 90
23 Rothers 83
24 Albion 25 - poss 97.

 

[Kev the Ape]

We need to get to 51, but 40 points would be good.

 

[itszamora]

That is utterly ridiculous and totally pointless I'm afraid.

 

[Marshy]

 

[Scarface]

We need to get to 51, but 40 points would be good.

40 will not be good enough. Two years ago we got relegated with 45 points, 5 points from safety.

 

[Cian]

40 will not be good enough. Two years ago we got relegated with 45 points, 5 points from safety.

I think/hope he means 40 more than we have now.

 

[Kryten]

I think/hope he means 40 more than we have now.

yeah, but this is kev. I very much doubt it

 

[Kinky Gerbil]

i think it wont need as many points as last year to stay up

 

[Beeneys gloves]

Still need 22 wins from 23 games to be assured of safety!


1 Wigan 116
2 Ipswich 115
---------------------
3 Sunderland 112
4 Reading 110
5 West Ham 107
6 Sheff Utd 105
-----------------------
7 QPR 105
8 Millwall 104
9 Stoke 103
10 Derby 102
11 Burnley 102
12 Crewe 101
13 Leicester 100
14 Watford 98
15 Plymouth 98
16 Preston 98
17 Wolves 97
18 Leeds 95
19 Coventry 95
20 Cardiff 91
21 Forest 89
---------------------
22 Gills 87
23 Rotherham 81
24 Albion 25 poss 94

 

[Lord Bracknell]

If every other team won their games...

... then we'd lose all ours.

I blame Dick Knight.

 

[Brighton Jock]

9 wins out of 23 games would be great, but all would probably have to be 1-0 with our scoring record at the moment, so i can look forward to even more grey hair then ........

 

[Jesus Gul]

six wins, six draws and 11 defeats should just do it

 

[Blackadder]

If every other team won their games, (impossible I know)

You are right! It is impossible. The teams have to play each other!

 

[Beeneys gloves]

After a superb xmas period we now only need 16 wins from 18 games to be assured safety!

1 Ipswich 109
2 Wigan 107
-------------------
3 Sunderland 104
4 Reading 102
5 Sheff Utd 102
6 West Ham 99
--------------------
7 Burnley 99
8 Millwall 96
9 Derby 96
10 Preston 96
11 Crewe 96
12 Stoke 92
13 Leicester 92
14 QPR 91
15 Leeds 90
16 Wolves 89
17 Watford 87
18 Plymouth 87
19 Coventry 86
20 Cardiff 84
21 Gillingham 80
-------------------------
22 Nottm Forest 78
23 Rotherham 73
24 Albion 33 poss 87

 

[Gully]

I am now totally confused, shurely if we won all our remaining games we would be certain of avoiding relegation, we would also be looking at making the play-offs!

 

[Beeneys gloves]

It really doesnt make that much sense Gully I know, but if every team wins their games we still need 16 wins to be assured of safety, of course it cant happen but at least it should countdown to the points needed to stay in the division as the season progresses.

 

[Dave the OAP]

I recon winning 6 games and drawing 5 will do us

Where the 6 wins will come from I have no idea as we have had some very random results this term.....Winning at Leicester and losing at home to Stoke...Bizzare

 

[mejonaNO12 aka riskit]

i dont think beeney quite understands

 

[Albion Rob]

Isn't this BG'S classic "Teams that can't catch us thread"? When we're in the lower divisions, most of the sides can't catch us by about March - however I fear this year it could drag on until the last week of the season or even be renamed "Teams that we can't catch".

Now all we need is Grimsby's relegation calculator!

 

[bhafc99]

I'd say we need to win 5 or 6 games, plus pick up some draws, to be safe.

Beating Notts Forest is going to be critical – winning that game takes us 12 points ahead of them, and starting to get beyond catching; losing it narrows the gap to 6.