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General Election 2015









Herr Tubthumper

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 11, 2003
60,087
The Fatherland


JCL666

absurdism
Sep 23, 2011
2,190
Just a reminder ;-)

 


















If the broadcaster poll is right - it's Cameron propped up by Irish homophobes

If the other exit poll is right - it's another general election in a few months
 




Surf's Up

Well-known member
Jul 17, 2011
10,207
Here
But just how accurate is the Sky exit poll likely to be - seems just a bit too contradictory to me
 




beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
35,406
Seems strange with every poll not just YouGov saying the same thing for the last 6 weeks and suddenly the BBC exit poll is all over the place

the point is that the strangness is due to the difference in methodology. we've become so used to a narrow range that we assume they are correct (because those producing them tell us...). however telephone polling and stopping people in the streets are biased towards certain demographics, they pick up lots of undecided too that get blended into the results. we'll see in a few hours, one polling method is going to burn.
 




Bozza

You can change this
Helpful Moderator
Jul 4, 2003
55,907
Back in Sussex
the point is that the strangness is due to the difference in methodology. we've become so used to a narrow range that we assume they are correct (because those producing them tell us...). however telephone polling and stopping people in the streets are biased towards certain demographics, they pick up lots of undecided too that get blended into the results. we'll see in a few hours, one polling method is going to burn.

What if the result falls pretty much in the middle?
 






Mellor 3 Ward 4

Well-known member
Jul 27, 2004
9,860
saaf of the water
If the broadcaster poll is right - it's Cameron propped up by Irish homophobes

If the other exit poll is right - it's another general election in a few months

I think the poll is wrong, there won't be such a wide gap.

Bit Either poll means Labour have lost, and Cameron will still be PM
 








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