Championship Odds Tracker

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The Camel

Well-known member
Nov 1, 2010
1,524
Darlington, UK
Squeaky bum time for me.

I've got a pretty big bet on the handicap market.

Hit the front for the first time this weekend.

Current adjusted totals are:

Brighton 101
Huddersfield 100
Reading 97
Leeds 96
Fulham 92
 








Luke93

STAND OR FALL
Jun 23, 2013
5,090
Shoreham
Squeaky bum time for me.

I've got a pretty big bet on the handicap market.

Hit the front for the first time this weekend.

Current adjusted totals are:

Brighton 101
Huddersfield 100
Reading 97
Leeds 96
Fulham 92

What about Newcastle?
 






knocky1

Well-known member
Jan 20, 2010
13,089
Listen to this wise man, [MENTION=278]MattBackHome[/MENTION].

You might be right in that the odds will probably rise in 3 games time, but the reason we are 2/1 now is that this includes time for Newcastle to falter more than ourselves. If Newcastle have matched us (or better) in 3 games, the odds will be better but the margin for error in winning your Albion bet will be non-existent. If we overtake them or find ourselves separated by GD in that time, expect the Albion odds to tumble.

If you think 2/1 is a good price now, personally I'd take a bit of that. I'm sorely tempted myself...

Yeah this does make sense. Seeing as I've got it as nigh on a tossed coin between us, 2/1 is definitely value. Lumping on now, thanks

You didn't listen to the wise man Mattbackhome and failed to lump in. I'm now considering whether to back Newcastle at 11/10 in anticipation of Brighton gaining promotion first and partying so much that that they don't bother going for points they don't need. Or shall I go along for the ride?
£50 Brighton at 12/5 returns £170.
£50 Newcastle at 11/10 returns £105
 




Postman Pat

Well-known member
Jul 24, 2007
6,972
Coldean
2017-04-08-ch-probabilities1.png
 












knocky1

Well-known member
Jan 20, 2010
13,089
Listen to this wise man, [MENTION=278]MattBackHome[/MENTION].

You might be right in that the odds will probably rise in 3 games time, but the reason we are 2/1 now is that this includes time for Newcastle to falter more than ourselves. If Newcastle have matched us (or better) in 3 games, the odds will be better but the margin for error in winning your Albion bet will be non-existent. If we overtake them or find ourselves separated by GD in that time, expect the Albion odds to tumble.

If you think 2/1 is a good price now, personally I'd take a bit of that. I'm sorely tempted myself...

It's from some time on Friday before this weekends games. So most of the little bit of green for huddersfield's bottlers can be taken away....

Why are Newcastle top?
 


Stat Brother

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 11, 2003
73,888
West west west Sussex
Why are Newcastle top?

Despite their defeat at the weekend, Newcastle look narrowly likelier to claim the title than Brighton due to their easier remaining matches.

I'm not sure Leeds and Preston make their run in easy, esp if Fulham do for Norwich next week.
 


knocky1

Well-known member
Jan 20, 2010
13,089
Despite their defeat at the weekend, Newcastle look narrowly likelier to claim the title than Brighton due to their easier remaining matches.

I'm not sure Leeds and Preston make their run in easy, esp if Fulham do for Norwich next week.

We are narrowly edging it. My above post was all screwed up but I tried to say that table is from Friday before the QPR victory and subsequent defeats for Newcastle and The bottlers.https://m.oddschecker.com/t/football/english/championship/winner
 


















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