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The Maharajah of Sydney

Well-known member
Jul 7, 2003
1,399
Sydney .
Betting Market still has us to finish at least 6pts above Huddersfield ( was an 8pt margin 3 games ago ).


Sporting Index - 2.PNG
 








Moshe Gariani

Well-known member
Mar 10, 2005
12,180
On the contrary, all of that has been 'priced in'.
Not according to the sages of NSC.

The only reason the mighty Huddersfield aren't long odds on for the title is the weight of money backing Newcastle and Brighton...
 


















hans kraay fan club

The voice of reason.
Helpful Moderator
Mar 16, 2005
62,661
Chandlers Ford
Toon 4/11
Us 2/1

100/1 bar

And for a top 2 finish...

Toon 1/100
Us 1/33

Those odds surprise me.

IF you agree with their top 2 odds, then they've are effectively assuming that us and Newcastle are guaranteed to be the top two. If that is the case, and looking at the respective run-ins, then 2/1 on the Albion nicking top spot is very generous.
 




Those odds surprise me.

IF you agree with their top 2 odds, then they've are effectively assuming that us and Newcastle are guaranteed to be the top two. If that is the case, and looking at the respective run-ins, then 2/1 on the Albion nicking top spot is very generous.

I think 2-1 is about right. Those odds dictate a 1 in 3 chance. We are only a point behind with a favourble run in
 


Simster

"the man's an arse"
Jul 7, 2003
54,915
Surrey
I tend not to bet on the Albion, but if I did, those odds would look tasty to me:

Matching the games in pairs:


BHA v Brum
NU v Burton
(IMO) Easiest fixture on paper: NU

QPR v BHA
:lolol: v NU
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA

Wolves v BHA
NU v Leeds
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA

BHA v Wigan
Ipswich v NU
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA

Norwich v BHA
PNE v NU
Easiest fixture on paper: NU

Cardiff v NU
BHA v Bristol C
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA

Villa v BHA
NU v Barnsley
Easiest fixture on paper: NU


Therefore, I think we edge it in terms of the fixture list, but need 2 points to overhaul them. I think we might come up just short but surely 2/1 grossly underestimates our chance of the title?
 






knocky1

Well-known member
Jan 20, 2010
13,089
I tend not to bet on the Albion, but if I did, those odds would look tasty to me:

Matching the games in pairs:


BHA v Brum
NU v Burton
(IMO) Easiest fixture on paper: NU

QPR v BHA
:lolol: v NU
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA

Wolves v BHA
NU v Leeds
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA

BHA v Wigan
Ipswich v NU
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA

Norwich v BHA
PNE v NU
Easiest fixture on paper: NU

Cardiff v NU
BHA v Bristol C
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA

Villa v BHA
NU v Barnsley
Easiest fixture on paper: NU


Therefore, I think we edge it in terms of the fixture list, but need 2 points to overhaul them. I think we might come up just short but surely 2/1 grossly underestimates our chance of the title?

Good logic. A mouthwatering 12/5 with PP and 9/4 with a few others. I'm in.
 


Gwylan

Well-known member
Jul 5, 2003
31,801
Uffern
Norwich v BHA
PNE v NU
Easiest fixture on paper: NU

Not convinced about that: PNE are not only a point ahead of Norwich but are much more consistent. Norwich had a storming start and fell away, the exact opposite of Preston
 


Simster

"the man's an arse"
Jul 7, 2003
54,915
Surrey
Not convinced about that: PNE are not only a point ahead of Norwich but are much more consistent. Norwich had a storming start and fell away, the exact opposite of Preston
Preston drew at home to Forest on Saturday. Head to head, I'd take their game against Preston rather than ours away to Norwich all day long.
 


MattBackHome

Well-known member
Jul 7, 2003
11,859
I tend not to bet on the Albion, but if I did, those odds would look tasty to me:

Matching the games in pairs:


BHA v Brum
NU v Burton
(IMO) Easiest fixture on paper: NU

QPR v BHA
:lolol: v NU
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA

Wolves v BHA
NU v Leeds
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA

BHA v Wigan
Ipswich v NU
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA

Norwich v BHA
PNE v NU
Easiest fixture on paper: NU

Cardiff v NU
BHA v Bristol C
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA

Villa v BHA
NU v Barnsley
Easiest fixture on paper: NU


Therefore, I think we edge it in terms of the fixture list, but need 2 points to overhaul them. I think we might come up just short but surely 2/1 grossly underestimates our chance of the title?

I've just done the same thing on a fag packet but arbitrarily assigned an extra point or two where the expected difference in difficulty is greater, and I've got us coming out level on points, but only after Newcastle extend their lead to being 4 points clear of us after the next three games. So I DO fancy a nibble on us to win now, but I'm going to wait until after Wolves I think.
 




knocky1

Well-known member
Jan 20, 2010
13,089
I've just done the same thing on a fag packet but arbitrarily assigned an extra point or two where the expected difference in difficulty is greater, and I've got us coming out level on points, but only after Newcastle extend their lead to being 4 points clear of us after the next three games. So I DO fancy a nibble on us to win now, but I'm going to wait until after Wolves I think.

Put 50% of your stake on now and 50% in 3 games time.
 




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