Tummy Burger
New member
I thought I would get back into my betting ( Mainly for fun ), and have noticed from my records that I am :
A) Far more successful at betting on the footy
B ) More successful betting on Albion matches.
My conclusion is that "possibly", being an Albion fan and thus knowing a bit more about Albion than any other team leads me to being able to successfully predict and beat the odds available. Either that or of course it's just blind luck.
For any like minded individuals here are a few stats from last year.
They are not rocket science and 1 season tells you . . . not a great deal but feel free to add any betting related statistics you may have.
Please note Odds all from B365. Therefore prices with other bookies / Betfair could be improved upon.
Amex Home games £10 stake
Back all 23 for Albion win - £230 Staked - Return £237.70 Woo Hoo LOL
Back all to draw - £230 Staked - Return £270 - £40 profit
Back all to away team £ 230 staked - result lose £96
Away games would have resulted in Losing by backing albion to win and also by backing against us. Backing the draw would result in a poor £5 profit. Nothing particularly exciting about any of that, except maybe laying the away team at the Amex.
Half time Bets
Away from home last season, when we were losing at Half time, WE LOST. Will it continue like this ?, May be worth keeping an eye on at least.
At the Amex, in 23 games if it was a draw at HT we ended up drawing or winning, we never lost. Possibly lay the Away team whilst queuing for your pint if it's 0 - 0 at HT ? In addition to this of the 8 times it was a draw at HT we only won 50 percent of those and drew the other 4. Maybe backing the draw ?, or will the new signings ensure more turn to wins ?
We were losing 7 games last season at HT at HOME. we only turned 1 around into victory. We did however draw 3 and lost 3. Read into that what you like.
If you are not bored yet and are still reading . . . .
Scoreline :
Most common scoreline at the Amex was 2 - 0, 5 out of 23 games. Fair odds would have been 4.6 Guaranteed to get much higher than that. 1 seasons worth of stats is not enough for that sort of thing so unlikely that we are a 2 - 0 type of team, if there is such a thing.
I tend to try and compare how we do when the bookmakers have us at particular odds and the following stands out.
At the AMEX, when the odds on us winning with B365 are between 2.01 - 2.50.
This would have been 9 matches last season we drew 5 of those games
Backing the draw in each game for £10 stake would result in a profit of £78, so creeping up towards 100% profit. Compared to all championship matches between these odds where backing the draw would result in a loss of £80 from 1760 staked. That in itself is not too bad when you consider you can get better odds in most cases than the ones I am using.
Anyway, plenty more where they came from, just thought I would share and hope some equally sad folk has some similar statistical nonsense.
I would just reiterate 1 season is not enough, but using stats from Withdean is equally useless now that we are a totally different outfit playing in a higher division in front of 20,000. Hopefully in 5 years we will have more concrete data to work with. HA
A) Far more successful at betting on the footy
B ) More successful betting on Albion matches.
My conclusion is that "possibly", being an Albion fan and thus knowing a bit more about Albion than any other team leads me to being able to successfully predict and beat the odds available. Either that or of course it's just blind luck.
For any like minded individuals here are a few stats from last year.
They are not rocket science and 1 season tells you . . . not a great deal but feel free to add any betting related statistics you may have.
Please note Odds all from B365. Therefore prices with other bookies / Betfair could be improved upon.
Amex Home games £10 stake
Back all 23 for Albion win - £230 Staked - Return £237.70 Woo Hoo LOL
Back all to draw - £230 Staked - Return £270 - £40 profit
Back all to away team £ 230 staked - result lose £96
Away games would have resulted in Losing by backing albion to win and also by backing against us. Backing the draw would result in a poor £5 profit. Nothing particularly exciting about any of that, except maybe laying the away team at the Amex.
Half time Bets
Away from home last season, when we were losing at Half time, WE LOST. Will it continue like this ?, May be worth keeping an eye on at least.
At the Amex, in 23 games if it was a draw at HT we ended up drawing or winning, we never lost. Possibly lay the Away team whilst queuing for your pint if it's 0 - 0 at HT ? In addition to this of the 8 times it was a draw at HT we only won 50 percent of those and drew the other 4. Maybe backing the draw ?, or will the new signings ensure more turn to wins ?
We were losing 7 games last season at HT at HOME. we only turned 1 around into victory. We did however draw 3 and lost 3. Read into that what you like.
If you are not bored yet and are still reading . . . .
Scoreline :
Most common scoreline at the Amex was 2 - 0, 5 out of 23 games. Fair odds would have been 4.6 Guaranteed to get much higher than that. 1 seasons worth of stats is not enough for that sort of thing so unlikely that we are a 2 - 0 type of team, if there is such a thing.
I tend to try and compare how we do when the bookmakers have us at particular odds and the following stands out.
At the AMEX, when the odds on us winning with B365 are between 2.01 - 2.50.
This would have been 9 matches last season we drew 5 of those games
Backing the draw in each game for £10 stake would result in a profit of £78, so creeping up towards 100% profit. Compared to all championship matches between these odds where backing the draw would result in a loss of £80 from 1760 staked. That in itself is not too bad when you consider you can get better odds in most cases than the ones I am using.
Anyway, plenty more where they came from, just thought I would share and hope some equally sad folk has some similar statistical nonsense.
I would just reiterate 1 season is not enough, but using stats from Withdean is equally useless now that we are a totally different outfit playing in a higher division in front of 20,000. Hopefully in 5 years we will have more concrete data to work with. HA
