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[Albion] 7 wins .... more or less.... possible/probable??



Simster

"the man's an arse"
Jul 7, 2003
54,246
Surrey
Completely agree, it’s clear that those muppets don’t understand football or take football seriously. They are an embarrassment to our fan base. It’s the same for the jokers who are still backing Potter. Clueless springs to mind.

Wait a minute - you're sure that the two thirds of us who aren't quite ready to throw in the towel on Potter are "clueless"? Personally, I don't think I'm clueless at all and I've given multiple reasons why. I'm not going to happy-clappily back Potter all the way to relegation, but we're not half way through the season yet and I still maintain he is being let down by some senior pros making basic mistakes and needing 3 times more chances to score than is reasonable. Most importantly, it doesn't look to me as if he's lost the dressing room.
 




dazzer6666

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Mar 27, 2013
52,715
Burgess Hill
We don’t need 7 wins - just as well because difficult to see where we’ll get them at the moment. Realistically we need something like 5 wins and 9/10 draws.....it should be easily doable and the Wolves comeback and City performance were at least a bit encouraging in that we haven’t given up, but we desperately need a win very soon - at least one of the next two games really - otherwise you can see all confidence draining away and trouble in the camp brewing.

Being comfortably mid table would be boring, wouldn’t it ? [emoji23][emoji23]
 


Dorset Seagull

Once Dolphin, Now Seagull
We have been unfortunate in the first half of the season on many occasions eg Man Utd. I cant see that being repeated in the 2 half of the season so we should do better and will hopefully get enough to survive. I think a bit of a confidence boost would make all the difference and 3 pts at Leeds may be the catalyst for an upturn in form
 


Blue Valkyrie

Not seen such Bravery!
Sep 1, 2012
32,165
Valhalla
5 wins and 5 draws should do it.


Beating Leeds then beating Fulham would change the NSC mood somewhat.

Especially if Fulham also lose their next 2 vs Chelsea and Man Utd.
 






SAC

Well-known member
May 21, 2014
2,552
These two games feel massive. The fact they sit at the mid-way point. Fulham's resurgence. Leeds inconsistency. A little bit of confidence from the last 2 league games. Season defining I suspect.

Fulham haven't won a league game since November. They are getting better results (5 points from a possible 15 in their last 5 games) but I', not sure it's a resurgence.

I agree that these two games feel massive but suspect they wont define the season. Not unless it's two big losses, which I can't see happening.
 


Hugo Rune

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Feb 23, 2012
21,706
Brighton
On current points gathering form, we’re on course for about 28 points. I do believe that will be good enough to finish above Sheff Utd and probably West Brom but no one else.

We’ll win two more games for sure, if we can then turn half of the 8 draws (I’m predicting) into wins, we’ll be safe.

Winnable fixtures are:

Leeds H&A
Fulham H
Burnley A
Newcastle H
West Brom A
Sheff Utd A
Wolves A
Palace H

If we start taking our big chances, we’ve got a chance in all of these. 27 realistic points still on the table.
 
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Simster

"the man's an arse"
Jul 7, 2003
54,246
Surrey
Fulham were very decent at Spurs midweek. Then again, I thought we played just as well there and got unlucky. More importantly, I thought we looked good against Man City and Wolves, so I'm not sure Fulham's form is any better than ours.

The truth is, there is likely to be little to choose from between Fulham, Brighton, Burnley and Newcastle this season, and if we assume Sheff Utd and West Brom are as good as gone, those 4 clubs are playing to avoid one spot. Personally, I think we'll end up finishing above both Newcastle and Fulham.
 








Tom Hark Preston Park

Will Post For Cash
Jul 6, 2003
70,386
Fulham haven't won a league game since November. They are getting better results (5 points from a possible 15 in their last 5 games) but I', not sure it's a resurgence.

I agree that these two games feel massive but suspect they wont define the season. Not unless it's two big losses, which I can't see happening.

Fulham have now drawn their last FIVE league matches. Almost as much the draw specialists as we are :lol:
 




dazzer6666

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Mar 27, 2013
52,715
Burgess Hill
Fulham were very decent at Spurs midweek. Then again, I thought we played just as well there and got unlucky. More importantly, I thought we looked good against Man City and Wolves, so I'm not sure Fulham's form is any better than ours.

The truth is, there is likely to be little to choose from between Fulham, Brighton, Burnley and Newcastle this season, and if we assume Sheff Utd and West Brom are as good as gone, those 4 clubs are playing to avoid one spot. Personally, I think we'll end up finishing above both Newcastle and Fulham.

Agreed. Newcastle have somehow spawned some decent results so far but they’re descending into a pit I reckon - they look awful. If we end up below them we’ll deserve to go down.
 


elwheelio

Amateur Sleuth
Jan 24, 2006
1,892
Brighton
We've gone backwards this season. People can complain about little money being spent but adding Lamptey, Lallana, White and Welbeck to the squad should result in improvement not regression. If those players don't improve us why would a new striker improve us? White and Lamptey are two of the most highly rated defenders in the league yet our defence has got worse this season. Our points total and record is embarrassing given the squad we have.
 


A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
18,013
Deepest, darkest Sussex
Purely out of interest, I decided to go back and find our 7th win ago. This was achieved at the Emirates last season.

Villa 1 - 2 Brighton
Newcastle 0 - 3 Brighton
Burnley 1 - 2 Brighton
Norwich 0 - 1 Brighton
Brighton 2 - 1 Arsenal
Brighton 2 - 0 Bournemouth
Arsenal 1 - 2 Brighton

That was secured on the 5th December last year. 41 games have come and gone in the Premier League since then for us. 407 days ago.
 




Thunder Bolt

Silly old bat
Fulham haven't won a league game since November. They are getting better results (5 points from a possible 15 in their last 5 games) but I', not sure it's a resurgence.

I agree that these two games feel massive but suspect they wont define the season. Not unless it's two big losses, which I can't see happening.

Fulham still have two games in hand on us. Two draws and we’re relying on goal difference.
 


Hugo Rune

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Feb 23, 2012
21,706
Brighton
Fulham still have two games in hand on us. Two draws and we’re relying on goal difference.

Whilst Fulham are getting draws, they are doing so with a big slice of luck. Their woodwork is really helping them out, we hit the bar against them and Spurs hit the inside of the post when Son was through to make it 2-0; the ball then gently rolled straight into their keepers arms after that bit of fortune.

Our woodwork has done sweet FA for us this season.

With our current injuries, I just can’t see our luck getting any worse, we are still playing well and getting draws. A downturn in Fulham’s fortunes will see them lose most matches.
 


Uh_huh_him

Well-known member
Sep 28, 2011
10,754
Leeds away is the 19th game, mid point in the season. If ,as is likely we draw it then we would have 15 points . If we continue as we have done our season would end with 30 points.
Who has ever stayed up with 30 points?

That really isn't how it works.
Check the tracker thread.
 


Feb 23, 2009
23,108
Brighton factually.....
As many have alluded to the next two fixtures are massive, with Percy and possibly Lampty back we must push on, and if we can come away with six points things suddenly look better. I feel obviously confidence will increase and more victories will inevitably follow, and we will claim a big scalp along the road to safety.
 




vagabond

Well-known member
May 17, 2019
9,804
Brighton
Survival is the name of the game,... I think we need seven wins, do you think we have enough of an edge to achieve that? Personally I can only see about 4 or 5... leaving us to snatch some surprise draws to survive.

Sent from my SM-G950F using Tapatalk

Why do we need 7 wins?

It’s shaping up to be a record low points total to survive. We just need to get more points than Brom and Fulham.
 




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