You're right on a localised scale, I was thinking more globally. The years after 1945 being the time when major superpowers basically accumulated enough weaponry to wipe out humanity dozens of times over.
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[News] The Coronavirus Good News thread
- Thread starter Bozza
- Start date
You're right on a localised scale, I was thinking more globally. The years after 1945 being the time when major superpowers basically accumulated enough weaponry to wipe out humanity dozens of times over.
LamieRobertson
Not awoke
The Wizard
Well-known member
- Jul 2, 2009
- 18,383
highflyer
Well-known member
- Jan 21, 2016
- 2,440
The only factor I can think of that would lengthen that expected timeframe is the question of transmission within households. My assumption would be that at point of lockdown a lot of people would be infected but yet to show symptoms. These could then, initially, still infect several people within their household (in fact the lockdown might make such transmission quicker/more likely). So you would get a slowdown, but not, potentially R<1 initially. That would come a week or so later, when everyone in the households of infected people will be infected (if they are going to be) and then do not pass on to anyone else outside the household. So I can see a more gradually tail off in infection rate in the first week or so post lockdown, which could then be reflected in the subsequent pattern as laid out.
No idea if that logic holds (?). But it means in my mind, a slightly more delayed impact doesn't mean the lockdown isn't working.
ManOfSussex
We wunt be druv
I was just in Morrison's. As I got toward joining the snaking queue round to going through to the checkouts, the shop worker directing people into it started to sing along and dance to 'Celebration' by Kool and The Gang as it came on the in store radio. Everyone who saw him do it smiled. 
Brilliant little things like this do help.
Brilliant little things like this do help.
Psychobilly freakout
HellBilly
I was just in Morrison's. As I got toward joining the snaking queue round to going through to the checkouts, the shop worker directing people into it started to sing along and dance to 'Celebration' by Kool and The Gang as it came on the in store radio. Everyone who saw him do it smiled.
Brilliant little things like this do help.
Considering five weeks ago, they would have tutted quietly to themselves while trying to avoid eye contact with said happy person, all the time thinking this is why they work in a supermarket.
Sad but true.
ManOfSussex
We wunt be druv
Not all, but you're right, however the genuine appreciation of shop staff has gone off the scale now from what I see when I'm shopping. I received and read in CEO Mike Coupe's email to Sainsbury's customers last week, that satisfaction of colleagues in store is now at an all time high.
I smiled and thanked the cashier in Morrison's, wearing a mask and gloves, at the check out as profusely as I could at the end and I wasn't the only one doing it. However long this lasts and whatever the aftermath, I hope the appreciation and respect toward shop workers stays for good.
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Thunder Bolt
Silly old bat
[tweet]1247600781525528577[/tweet]
vegster
Sanity Clause
- May 5, 2008
- 27,922
Bless him, what a fantastic bloke.
Norman Potting
Well-known member
I would normally think "slow news day" but I don't recall one of those for quite a while.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/uk-52216847/dancing-mice-spotte
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/uk-52216847/dancing-mice-spotte
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LamieRobertson
Not awoke
Some positive tweets from Prof Sikora today
Random antibody testing by an Italian lab is apparently indicating 38% of Italians (from across all 9 regions) have been exposed to the virus....if validated this means the virus has spread far more widely and the death/serious infection rate is much lower than thought.
https://www.liberoquotidiano.it/new...italiani_dieci_reale_estensione_epidemia.html
yxee
Well-known member
That's really interesting news. i really hope it's accurate. It's a study done by a manufacturer, so I have some scepticism, but if true that's a huge number and the UK is probably not too far behind
nwgull
Well-known member
I didn't think that the antibody test had been developed yet?
No, the more infectious a disease is the higher proportion of people need to have had it. If that many people have had it then it's very infectious... I think.