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Nowhere in Russia is now safe.

I have no doubt that Trump deliberately used the little used legal term 'outcome determinative', to keep all options open. To be vague and ambiguous. Trying to find a definition that is not impenetrable was not a rewarding experience. Here's just one (of several) definitions: 'Outcome...

A long time ago, I wrote on here that it was going to be difficult to win the peace. With the benefit of hindsight, 'difficult' was the wrong adjective. 'Impossible' would have been a more suitable choice. Russians just don't get that the reason that Nato exists, and the reason for Nato...

There it is again. Nato. Specifically, Nato expansion. 'I think it's a fair concern'. Jesus. He is voicing empathy for Russia. That's surrender. For Kellogg to raise this, seemingly unprompted, I'm guessing that there have been discussions going on in private between Russia and the US.

And now the American perspective.

The Ukrainian perspective.

Looking at the Easyjet price charts, it would seem that their volatility would fit the requirements of the OP. @Mustafa II, what do you think?

I think many have misunderestimated* the production capacity of Germany. Rheinmettal is insanely large. *If it was good enough for George W. Bush, it is good enough for this forum.

It could become like a western liberal democracy at some distant point in the future, but before then, I think Russia will collapse into a dangerous, febrile place. The following is a 'best guess' so please indulge me, but really, a thousand different things could happen. Think of a power...

I have often thought exactly the same !

Russia has made so many enemies. Both in Ukraine, and other countries. And also inside Russia, where ethnic Russians have repressed everyone else for generations. I'm guessing that the Chechens, Georgians, Dagestanis, Tatars, Bashkirs et al are not peace loving liberal democrats....

Ukraine has obviously got a kill list of war criminals. They know where they are. I wonder if these revenge killings will continue after the war is over?

I agree with all of that, apart from the first half of the your last line. You think that the existence of Nato, is a threat to Russian fantasies of empire. I agree. But my assertion, is that a byproduct of that Nato existence, is that Russia is threatened, because the very future of Russia is...

Good news on the economic front:

The one that got away. Johnny is holding his own against the Chelsea midfield.

Russian arrogance means that they don't listen and they don't learn. So they are also unaware of how ignorant they are. In particular, they would not have watched Peter Zeihan's sobering take on 'Russia after Russia' he made back in February. TLDR: fast forward past the agricultural and...

Yes, a slightly different line. It would appear that the goalposts are at last on the move. Thank you for spotting that. Russia is not now - officially - demanding the former Soviet Baltic states give up NATO. This is another departure from a previous Russian position. Note that Russia is...

I actually wrote something along those lines a few weeks ago. Russia wants to remove the barriers (NATO) to its further expansion west. So, while I agree with you, look at what it is asking for, however pie in the sky it is. There is more to this.... It is asking for a pledge, for Ukraine...