[Politics] General Election 2024 - The Poll

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Where's your vote going ?

  • Conservative

    Votes: 54 10.2%

  • Labour

    Votes: 265 50.0%

  • Lib Dems

    Votes: 69 13.0%

  • Green

    Votes: 49 9.2%

  • Reform UK

    Votes: 31 5.8%

  • Other

    Votes: 16 3.0%

  • Don't know

    Votes: 46 8.7%
  • Total voters
    530


The Clamp

The Clamp

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jan 11, 2016
24,865
West is BEST
IMG_8715.jpeg

IMG_8714.jpeg

www.theguardian.com

Questioners at Sunak warehouse speech turn out to be Tory councillors

First campaign day marked by concerns about ‘plants’ in audience and PM putting Euros foot in mouth in Wales
www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
 




S

sussex_guy2k2

Well-known member
Jun 6, 2014
3,790
I’ll vote Labour. We’re at a stage where I can’t ever justify voting Tory again.

But I suspect there’ll be a lot of people with very short memories who will keep voting for them. And lots of people won’t vote because our system only really cares about some seats and there’s a ton of apathy as a result…

I think it’ll be a lot tighter than people imagine.
 


The Clamp

The Clamp

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jan 11, 2016
24,865
West is BEST
sussex_guy2k2 said:
I’ll vote Labour. We’re at a stage where I can’t ever justify voting Tory again.

But I suspect there’ll be a lot of people with very short memories who will keep voting for them. And lots of people won’t vote because our system only really cares about some seats and there’s a ton of apathy as a result…

I think it’ll be a lot tighter than people imagine.
Click to expand...
Agree. I don’t think this will be an easy win for Labour.
 


A1X

A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
18,616
Deepest, darkest Sussex


The Clamp

The Clamp

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jan 11, 2016
24,865
West is BEST
A1X said:
Day 1’s gone well, then?
Click to expand...
Superbly.

The two plants asked Sunka how he had managed to get inflation down and will the Rwanda scheme stop the boats?

Allowing Sunak to trot out his formulaic nonsense.

Putin style politics.

I thought we would be above that .

Edit; no I didn’t
 
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zefarelly

zefarelly

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 7, 2003
22,066
Sussex, by the sea
Guy Fawkes said:
However by not voting for any of them, I will be expressing my opinion that none are worthy of receiving my vote.

If the voter turn out is low as a result, it shows that what they are offering are not that popular amongst those eligible to vote (another way of demonstrating an opinion about their policies) and it shows that what they are proposing hasn't connected to, or inspired potential voters to get out there and cast their vote for them.

People going out an voting for the sake of voting will make it seem like they, and their ideas are more popular and better supported than they really are, and they'll take that as evidence of it receiving wide spread support.

They could then use that perceived popularity to pursue policy / policies further, making them more extreme even if in reality the policy /policies are hugely unpopular, even amongst those who ended up voting for them into power, simply because they thought it better to vote for someone (as you and others are suggesting) rather than abstain.

By someone voting for the sake of it, it will even appear that they are backing all of their policies, even those policies to which they are 100% opposed to, simply because they endorsed them by voting for them (all parties may have things included in their manifestos which an individual is opposed to, so by voting for any of them, they will be supporting something they disagree with).
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I would like to see the system changed as well. . . . . But letting people ruin the country with a piddling minotity of the populations approval won't help. . . . Vote for a part that supports reform!
 




Fitzcarraldo

Fitzcarraldo

Well-known member
Nov 12, 2010
967
Surrey Phil said:
You miss the point. Some people just don’t trust any of the parties and like me, won’t be voting this time around. I genuinely would rather waste my vote than give it to a party I don’t support or trust.
Click to expand...

When was the last time that you did trust a political party? Was it linked to a particular issue or do you have to trust them on every issue?
 


Seagull

Seagull

Yes I eat anything
Feb 28, 2009
785
On the wing
www.electoral-reform.org.uk

Voters Left Voiceless: The 2019 General Election

The 2019 general election was pitched as a ‘People versus Parliament’ vote. But the so-called deadlock was a crisis of Westminster’s own making.
www.electoral-reform.org.uk www.electoral-reform.org.uk
No point in voting if not in a marginal. 70% of votes in 2019 were wasted or excess. Thinking I’ll creatively spoil the ballot. #notademocracy
 


Randy McNob

Randy McNob

Now go home and get your f#cking Shinebox
Jun 13, 2020
4,540
Bold Seagull said:
New university students won't even have their A-level results or have confirmation of a place in July. Even then, they don't move into halls or digs until September. Not sure what the evidence for that would be?
Click to expand...
 






jimhigham

jimhigham

Je Suis Rhino
Apr 25, 2009
7,843
Woking
I thought it would be interesting to see how this poll compared to the one taken on NSC ahead of the 2019 General Election (but then I am a nerd). However, I can only find this poll using the advanced search, which isn't like for like, as it asks for votes in relation to the previous election. The OP mentions there's another poll floating about but I'm blowed if I can track it down. Anybody with the technical nous and lashings of free time able to track it down at all?

https://www.northstandchat.com/threads/definitive-general-election-poll.376306/
 


pb21

pb21

Well-known member
Apr 23, 2010
6,439
jimhigham said:
I thought it would be interesting to see how this poll compared to the one taken on NSC ahead of the 2019 General Election (but then I am a nerd). However, I can only find this poll using the advanced search, which isn't like for like, as it asks for votes in relation to the previous election. The OP mentions there's another poll floating about but I'm blowed if I can track it down. Anybody with the technical nous and lashings of free time able to track it down at all?

https://www.northstandchat.com/threads/definitive-general-election-poll.376306/
Click to expand...
WATFORD zero said:
https://www.northstandchat.com/threads/the-general-election-thread.376151/

Here you go, I can't imagine anyone not sticking by what they posted on that thread :wink:
Click to expand...
 




jimhigham

jimhigham

Je Suis Rhino
Apr 25, 2009
7,843
Woking
Thanks @pb21 and @WATFORD zero

Here's December 2019...

image001.jpeg


And here’s now…

image004.jpeg


My electoral calculus might well be a little off, as I’m no Professor Curtice, but I make that a swing from the Tories to Labour of 24.8%.

That would do the trick.
 












jakarta

jakarta

Well-known member
May 25, 2007
15,660
Sullington
Personally Andrew Griffith will retain his seat for Arundel and South Downs with ease.

Nationwide the Tories will have their arses kicked, Labour should get at least a 100 seat majority.

I think that this is all I want to say until polling day...
 


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