We're 44 points behind Man City with only 13 games to play. We can't win the title now
Champions League still up for grabs though.
Unless I've missed something, we're not playing either at the moment though.
Of the games for 0 points;
H Arsenal
A Everton
A Man City
H Spurs
H Man Utd
A Liverpool
I fancy us to get a couple of draws at least I really do, maybe even a freak win.
Of the games at 1 point;
A Stoke
A Crystal Palace
A Burnley
I fancy we'll get a couple extra, because desperate things happen in football.
It's all fine, could everyone just stop panicking!
I've had major brain freeze (or maybe some early form of dementia). I've been thinking the total might be just (like 1 or 2 points total) under a 1 point per game average, but then somehow, for a brief minute (the important one where I was working out the target) I thought there were 40 games in the seasonI'm convinced 36 will be enough, perhaps even 35.
That's not making sense to me - surely if the points are spread quite evenly between the bottom 12 clubs, the teams in 17th / 18th will have more points than if the points are spread less evenly?the other key reason is that there are so many more teams than usual fighting for survival which will inevitably lower the required total
I've had major brain freeze (or maybe some early form of dementia). I've been thinking the total might be just (like 1 or 2 points total) under a 1 point per game average, but then somehow, for a brief minute (the important one where I was working out the target) I thought there were 40 games in the season
So I'm thinking 36 or 37 points required.
That's not making sense to me - surely if the points are spread quite evenly between the bottom 12 clubs, the teams in 17th / 18th will have more points than if the points are spread less evenly?
I doesn't, it means the points are spread evenly, with no teams getting lots, and no teams getting just a few. Spread less evenly the mid table teams would end up with a good number of points more than the bottom teams, and we'd need less to survive.There are more teams taking points off each other, which drags the totals down.
I doesn't, it means the points are spread evenly, with no teams getting lots, and no teams getting just a few. Spread less evenly the mid table teams would end up with a good number of points more than the bottom teams, and we'd need less to survive.
Yes you are.I disagree, but am not going to get into an extended argument about it.
Indeed. Feel free to check how many draws there have been this season compared to others (probably ignore the top 6 teams).In the mathematics of it all, there is the added aspect that in a drawn match one point of the entire season goes missing forever.
40 is more of a general target, rather than a norm. Teams don't normally need that many.This should logically mean fewer points are required for safety than the accepted norm of 40