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[Politics] Donald Trump, US President

Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election?

  • President Joe Biden - Democrat

    Votes: 3 0.7%
  • Donald Trump - Republican

    Votes: 175 42.3%
  • Vice President, Kamala Harris - Democrat

    Votes: 216 52.2%
  • Other Democratic candidate tbc

    Votes: 20 4.8%

  • Total voters
    414
  • Poll closed .


Stato

Well-known member
Dec 21, 2011
7,722
Apart from a successful impeachment, would there be any legitimate ways of removing him?
do they do things like “votes of confidence?” Of which he probably wouldn’t take any notice anyway.
Not removing him, but they could stop the tariffs. Congress actually delegated its authority over tariffs to the executive and could revoke this authority. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/why-does-the-executive-branch-have-so-much-power-over-tariffs/

However, this decision would have to be made by a Republican led congress. In other words, it won't be. Similarly, they won't be impeaching him. If the Democrats had any nous, they would be pushing loudly for congress to revoke the authority on the grounds that there are no guard rails to prevent ideologically motivated loons from running roughshod over the country's economic norms. It won't happen, but it would paint Republicans in Congress as culpable for the madness in advance of the mid terms. The Democrats won't do it, because if they subsequently were to win control, they would have painted themselves into a corner where they had to actually do something. Their reluctance to ever do anything is one of the reasons that the voters have elected a president who is obviously determined to destroy government.
 




raymondo

Well-known member
Apr 26, 2017
9,471
Wiltshire
Not removing him, but they could stop the tariffs. Congress actually delegated its authority over tariffs to the executive and could revoke this authority. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/why-does-the-executive-branch-have-so-much-power-over-tariffs/

However, this decision would have to be made by a Republican led congress. In other words, it won't be. Similarly, they won't be impeaching him. If the Democrats had any nous, they would be pushing loudly for congress to revoke the authority on the grounds that there are no guard rails to prevent ideologically motivated loons from running roughshod over the country's economic norms. It won't happen, but it would paint Republicans in Congress as culpable for the madness in advance of the mid terms. The Democrats won't do it, because if they subsequently were to win control, they would have painted themselves into a corner where they had to actually do something. Their reluctance to ever do anything is one of the reasons that the voters have elected a president who is obviously determined to destroy government.
But I think if the Dems win control it'll be because they have a leader/leading group that clearly will do things... hopefully
 




Greg Bobkin

Silver Seagull
May 22, 2012
17,538
Words defy how truly offensive and obnoxious the occupant of the Oval Office is.

At the Republican dinner event @Greg Bobkin mentioned above

He proclaimed: "These countries are calling me up, kissing my ass... they are dying to make a deal..."

Summing up how countries were apparently grovelling, Trump claimed: "'Please, please, sir, make a deal. I'll do anything'."





I'm willing to bet the US' national debt that what he's said there is absolute bollocks.
 






Peteinblack

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jun 3, 2004
4,421
Bath, Somerset.
Dig, baby, dig.
Blow, hurricanes, blow.
Pour, torrential rains, pour.
Burn, forest fires, burn.
Rise, sea levels, rise.
 


A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
22,526
Deepest, darkest Sussex
Apart from a successful impeachment, would there be any legitimate ways of removing him?
do they do things like “votes of confidence?” Of which he probably wouldn’t take any notice anyway.
The Vice President can invoke the 25th Amendment


This assumes the VP is not himself batshit crazy, of course. Although I suppose you could have a situation like that episode of Peep Show where they all keep trying to section each other.
 








beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
36,434
China just announced it’s going to 84% tariffs on the US from tomorrow.
at this point it's effectively a trade embargo each way. companies aren't going to place orders and risk doubling their prices, they'll look elsewhere or just tell customers to come back later. saw a post showing analysis from JPMorgan that at 54%, the earnings for most US retailers is down 100-200% with one down 500%. the margins dont support these price rises on high volume goods. it will be maybe a week or so until the penny drops and Republicans demand the tariff policy is reversed, at the very least down to something sustainable like 10-20%.

from what i see the other countries aren't doing the deal expected. they've read Trump at face value and offered 0 tariffs, then US says do more for non-tariff barriers. they haven't gone back on that, most likely cant, too damaging for them or willing to hold out.
 


SouthSaxon

Stand or fall
NSC Patron
Jan 25, 2025
889
at this point it's effectively a trade embargo each way. companies aren't going to place orders and risk doubling their prices, they'll look elsewhere or just tell customers to come back later. saw a post showing analysis from JPMorgan that at 54%, the earnings for most US retailers is down 100-200% with one down 500%. the margins dont support these price rises on high volume goods. it will be maybe a week or so until the penny drops and Republicans demand the tariff policy is reversed, at the very least down to something sustainable like 10-20%.

from what i see the other countries aren't doing the deal expected. they've read Trump at face value and offered 0 tariffs, then US says do more for non-tariff barriers. they haven't gone back on that, most likely cant, too damaging for them or willing to hold out.
US supply chains are so intertwined with China that it’s a self-embargo, and there’s only going to be one winner.

Even before Trump upped the tariff this week, iPhones were set for a >$300 price increase.

China is far less exposed, having taken steps to reduce its vulnerability since Trump’s 1st term:

 












Bozza

You can change this
Helpful Moderator
Jul 4, 2003
58,712
Back in Sussex
Just catching up with the latest news, and it dawned on me that I am currently #TeamChina, which is just bizarre.

What this thick, narcissistic, evil economic and cultural vandal has achieved in just a few short weeks is astounding.

And I don't use "achieved" and "astounding" in a positive sense.
 


essbee1

Well-known member
Jun 25, 2014
5,191
Just catching up with the latest news, and it dawned on me that I am currently #TeamChina, which is just bizarre.

What this thick, narcissistic, evil economic and cultural vandal has achieved in just a few short weeks is astounding.

And I don't use "achieved" and "astounding" in a positive sense.
Me too. I don't blame China. That **** trump started it.
 










Greg Bobkin

Silver Seagull
May 22, 2012
17,538
US supply chains are so intertwined with China that it’s a self-embargo, and there’s only going to be one winner.

Even before Trump upped the tariff this week, iPhones were set for a >$300 price increase.

China is far less exposed, having taken steps to reduce its vulnerability since Trump’s 1st term:

This is one aspect I don't understand, because the US relies SO much on China (and what it produces) that there is no way that it would be able to replicate the production network – nor produce the amount of stuff that the US needs. Especially not in such a short space of time. Trump keeps banging on about bringing production back and getting factories up and running, but that's a MASSIVE investment for companies – one that there is no guaranteed return.

Also, Trump and his cronies (especially that really patronising commerce/tariffs guy whose name escapes me – Ludnick or something?) regularly talk about how countries aren't taking their beef or chicken or whatever, but why would they? Why would, say, the UK, need another supply chain of meat when what it's got is perfectly fine? It's like the argument with cars. You don't see big Ford or GM trucks over here because a) they aren't fit for purpose and b) they are shitboxes compared to European/Asian models! I remember going to the US years ago and seeing an Audi Q7 and thinking it looked small over there. And it's a HUGE vehicle!
 


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