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[Football] Relegation



Eeyore

Colonel Hee-Haw of Queen's Park
NSC Patron
Apr 5, 2014
23,768
Looks already like it'll be 3 from the promoted sides + Bournemouth. Who do you think is going? I wonder if any teams above these 4 will be sucked in? Wolves, Everton, Fulham or Forest?

Luton staying up would be impressive from them. I dislike Luton (and their crap ground) but can't help admiring the squad they've built on limited funds.
I like Luton because of their ground. Liverpool didn't know what had hit them yesterday.
 




kevo

Well-known member
Mar 8, 2008
9,127
I think it will be the three promoted teams - but it will be a travesty if Bmuff carry on with current form but somehow survive.
 




Greg Bobkin

Silver Seagull
May 22, 2012
15,012
Extrapolate 3 points from last 5 games (which is the worst possible sample size) and we finish on 34 points, which would probably still be enough this season!
??? Hmmmm.
Mate, we're bloody good.
Last 5 games? We lost by the odd goal to City, drew with Liverpool, had 80% possession at Goodison and drew there with a highly contentious dissallowal. Fulham skanked a draw again in a game in which we were by miles the better team. All this is going on whilst we've got a pain in the arse injury list and are trying to juggle Europa League games as well

We aint going down any more than Man U or Villa aren't
I know all that and I almost wholeheartedly agree. But I'm still Mr 'One Game At A Time' and when I turn up to a game I expect a defeat, so anything else is a bonus. I'm not naturally a negative person – cynical, yes, but not a doom-monger – but I find it helps limit the disappointment if we DO lose!

Of course, I'm not saying we WILL go down, nor that I think the chance of it it more than one or two percent. However, I'm also wary of how ANYTHING can happen in football. Absolutely anything. And in my head, the first target at the beginning of any season – especially one where key players have been sold, the team is playing in Europe for the first time and new/young players are still playing the deZerbi way – is to avoid relegation. Life is full of examples of people getting too complacent and it's not a trap I'm keen to fall into.
 


pb21

Well-known member
Apr 23, 2010
6,350
I still think they'll be ok. The promoted clubs are all awful and they are decent under Dyche. Not back to European qualification standards but much better than many around them.

And, I'll be honest, I don't want them to go down anywhere near as much as I used to. Their fans were really friendly on Saturday and a knowledgable bunch and that new ground's going to be MINT (and hopefully quicker back to town). Not an away day I want to lose. I'll happily NEVER go to Luton or Burnley TBH.
They probably will be, as someone else said on here recently, they are the unflushables after all.

They're on my list though, along with Palace and Burnley.
 




Durlston

"Garlic bread!?"
NSC Patron
Jul 15, 2009
9,765
Haywards Heath
I just don't get why Burnley were tipped by so many to stay up comfortably before the season even started. :shrug:

They've got some dreadful defensive players, no creativity and strikers who are like a fish out of water (with that dick Rodriguez past his best). Vincent Kompany has no experience of managing in the Premier League and I can see him being sacked by Christmas.

I'd be very worried if I was a Burnley fan. Wonder what @dsr-burnley makes of it all?
 


Jim in the West

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 13, 2003
4,605
Way out West
I still think they'll be ok. The promoted clubs are all awful and they are decent under Dyche. Not back to European qualification standards but much better than many around them.

And, I'll be honest, I don't want them to go down anywhere near as much as I used to. Their fans were really friendly on Saturday and a knowledgable bunch and that new ground's going to be MINT (and hopefully quicker back to town). Not an away day I want to lose. I'll happily NEVER go to Luton or Burnley TBH.
Liverpool is a great city to visit - I must admit I've only been to Anfield twice, and Goodison once, and we've lost each time - but I've still enjoyed my trips. There are lots of reasons NOT to want Everton to go down. However, their twisting of FFP rules recently is an absolute scandal, and if a points deduction results in their relegation I won't shed any tears. Having said that, even a 12 point deduction would probably be insufficient to send them down this year...the bottom 4 are too crap!
 


Swimboy64

Well-known member
Oct 19, 2022
390
Not just saying this because of well you know......but I think Palace could get dragged into it. They don't look much cop what I've seen of them this season.

But they've probably got more about them than all of the current bottom 4.
They are only 3 points behind us so not doing too bad….unfortunately
 




Weststander

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Aug 25, 2011
64,401
Withdean area
Liverpool is a great city to visit - I must admit I've only been to Anfield twice, and Goodison once, and we've lost each time - but I've still enjoyed my trips. There are lots of reasons NOT to want Everton to go down. However, their twisting of FFP rules recently is an absolute scandal, and if a points deduction results in their relegation I won't shed any tears. Having said that, even a 12 point deduction would probably be insufficient to send them down this year...the bottom 4 are too crap!

Their illegal spending to the tune of £100m’s gave them more match winners such Richarlison. They stayed up by the skin of their teeth and sent a club down who met the strict rules.
 


Kinky Gerbil

Im The Scatman
NSC Patron
Jul 16, 2003
57,967
hassocks
I just don't get why Burnley were tipped by so many to stay up comfortably before the season even started. :shrug:

They've got some dreadful defensive players, no creativity and strikers who are like a fish out of water (with that dick Rodriguez past his best). Vincent Kompany has no experience of managing in the Premier League and I can see him being sacked by Christmas.

I'd be very worried if I was a Burnley fan. Wonder what @dsr-burnley makes of it all?
Over hyped manager with city connections

They spent a small fortune in the championship, easy to play good football b Rotherham etc when you've done that
 


BluesRockDJ

Well-known member
Jan 24, 2020
1,118
Looks already like it'll be 3 from the promoted sides + Bournemouth. Who do you think is going? I wonder if any teams above these 4 will be sucked in? Wolves, Everton, Fulham or Forest?

Luton staying up would be impressive from them. I dislike Luton (and their crap ground) but can't help admiring the squad they've built on limited funds.
Chesterfield might get promoted , given their performance in the Cup !
 




BluesRockDJ

Well-known member
Jan 24, 2020
1,118
Not just saying this because of well you know......but I think Palace could get dragged into it. They don't look much cop what I've seen of them this season.

But they've probably got more about them than all of the current bottom 4.
With Woy, I think they'll be ok
 








Motogull

Todd Warrior
Sep 16, 2005
9,926
Not just saying this because of well you know......but I think Palace could get dragged into it. They don't look much cop what I've seen of them this season.

But they've probably got more about them than all of the current bottom 4.
What would be fun, again, is if just before the January window, skint Beaky announces that their squad is fine so won't spend and they then go on a lovely barren spell.
ManU, Palace and Villa would be my dream trio. I'd pay money for that, a lot.
Not even I can argue there.
I'd be very worried if I was a Burnley fan.
They would have been targeting points last weekend. Being antifootballed to death may have exhausted all their hope.
 


Greg Bobkin

Silver Seagull
May 22, 2012
15,012
Do you think Manchester United or Arsenal could get relegated this season ?
They *could* do, yes.

Do I think they will? Almost certainly not. But there's a chance.
 


Easy 10

Brain dead MUG SHEEP
Jul 5, 2003
61,820
Location Location
They *could* do, yes.

Do I think they will? Almost certainly not. But there's a chance.
No, there's not even a chance.

Unless its via a points deduction or something, none of the 'Big Six' will ever get relegated now. The gap between the biggest clubs and the rest is now a CHASM. Its a canyon. The bottom half will shift around, go down and up, but its now impossible for those six clubs to drop. None of them have been anywhere near it over the last 20 years, and the gap is only going to continue to grow.
 


Seagull58

In the Algarve
Jan 31, 2012
7,416
Vilamoura, Portugal
I'd like Luton to do it, purely as such massive underdogs who've been written off by many.

Muff also falling for the curse of binning off a reasonable manager who had them playing, putting in a so called more glamorous name, and having it blow up in their faces.
But Philip Billings is so special he has Philip on his shirt instead of Billings. Surely they can't go down?
 




Garry Nelson's Left Foot

Well-known member
Jul 7, 2003
13,161
tokyo
I just don't get why Burnley were tipped by so many to stay up comfortably before the season even started. :shrug:

They've got some dreadful defensive players, no creativity and strikers who are like a fish out of water (with that dick Rodriguez past his best). Vincent Kompany has no experience of managing in the Premier League and I can see him being sacked by Christmas.

I'd be very worried if I was a Burnley fan. Wonder what @dsr-burnley makes of it all?
I thought they'd be fine based off of every team that smashes the championship (nearly?) always stays up fairly comfortably. And Burnley absolutely smashed the championship so it stood to reason that they'd be fine. I didn't go into any deeper analysis than that!

The top 10 points scorers in the second tier are(and with their league position in the top tier the following season in brackets):

1 - 05/06 Reading 106 points(8th in prem)
2 - 98/9 Sunderland 105 points (7th in prem)
3 - 09/10 Newcastle 102 points (12th in prem)
4 - 13/14 Leicester 102 points (14th in prem but we all know what happened the season after!)
5 - 00/01 Fulham 101 points (13th in prem)
6 - 22/23 Burnley 101 points (seemingly heading for relegation)
7) 01/02 Man City 99 points (9th in prem)
8) 88'9 Chelsea 99 points (5th in the old first division)
9)17/18 Wolves 99 points (7th in prem)
10) 02/3 Portsmouth 98 points (13th in prem)

So with that in mind I thought Burnley would be fine. They might of course still be - there's plenty of games left to be played but they're certainly making a terrible fist of it so far.
 


Greg Bobkin

Silver Seagull
May 22, 2012
15,012
No, there's not even a chance.

Unless its via a points deduction or something, none of the 'Big Six' will ever get relegated now. The gap between the biggest clubs and the rest is now a CHASM. Its a canyon. The bottom half will shift around, go down and up, but its now impossible for those six clubs to drop. None of them have been anywhere near it over the last 20 years, and the gap is only going to continue to grow.
Er, there is. There was a chance of Leicester winning the league - it was 1,000/1, as I remember.

It might be one in a million, but there is still a chance.
 


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