Its Us or Carlisle

[BRIGHT ON Q]

Basically,looking at the table and the fact Northampton have 2 games left and the goal differences,It is a 2 way shoot out.
They have Millwall at home which i think they can win.
I think we must win next week.

 

[The Large One]

Hartlepool aren't safe.

 

[Jim in the West]

Carlisle have only won twice in their last 20 games - against Crewe and us. In other words, they have only beaten shit teams (we were playing ultra shit when they played us). That gives me a little bit of confidence, as long as Millwall are bothered.

 

[Goring Gull]

Carlilse will beat Millwall they will be saving themselves for the playoffs.

 

[BRIGHT ON Q]

Hartlepool aren't safe.

Yes they are realistically with goal difference.

 

[Ninja Elephant]

It's Carlisle, I don't know how they've managed it, but they're going down!!! :yahoo:

 

[siclean]

Carlisle have only won twice in their last 20 games - against Crewe and us. In other words, they have only beaten shit teams (we were playing ultra shit when they played us). That gives me a little bit of confidence, as long as Millwall are bothered.

if i remember ..wernt they top of table very early in season

 

[BRIGHT ON Q]

if i remember ..wernt they top of table very early in season

Amazing to think they were all but promoted last season and fell away right at the end and lost in the playoffs.

 

[Wardy]

Plus Carlisle had 2 sent off today. Not sure who they were but will be missing next week for sure.

 

[lighthouse]

Carlisle do have a bit of history with last day escapes. We need to make sure that we look after ourselves.

 

[vulture]

Plus Carlisle had 2 sent off today. Not sure who they were but will be missing next week for sure.

one was their best player Bridges

 

[Goldstone Rapper]

If Harlepool lose 3-0 next week, and Carlisle win 3-0 and Brighton win too and Northampton get at least one draw, Hartlepool would go down

 

[The Large One]

Yes they are realistically with goal difference.

I disagree.

Next week, if for the sake of argument Northampton and Brighton win and Carlisle win 3-0, and Hartlepool lose 3-0, Hartlepool go down.

Unlikely, but not impossible.

 

[Herbie 53]

Northampton can lose both games and providing we draw with Stockport we are safe whatever carlisle do! If Carlisle win with that scenario, then it would be Northampton that go down!!

 

[BRIGHT ON Q]

I disagree.

Next week, if for the sake of argument Northampton and Brighton win and Carlisle win 3-0, and Hartlepool lose 3-0, Hartlepool go down.

Unlikely, but not impossible.

Thats what i am saying.Very unlikely.

 

[GT49er]

gainst Millwall that is unlikely, but we can't afford to rely on that. My big worry is that Withdean will be full to bursting, full of expectation..........and on past experience, what usually happens next?

 

[GT49er]

gainst Millwall that is unlikely, but we can't afford to rely on that. My big worry is that Withdean will be full to bursting, full of expectation..........and on past experience, what usually happens next?

Don't know what happened there - should have read "Carlisle have to win against Millwall that is unlikely, but we can't afford to rely on that. My big worry is that Withdean will be full to bursting, full of expectation..........and on past experience, what usually happens next?"

 

[Rookie]

Can't worry about other teams get the win and its all good, thats what we have to go for

 

[Cadiz Seagull]

Carlisle do have a bit of history with last day escapes. We need to make sure that we look after ourselves.

what odds on their keeper scoring in the last minute again?

 

[Goldstone Rapper]

So, after Saturday 25 April's results, the situation is:

If Brighton win v Stockport
We stay up

If Brighton draw v Stockport
We need Carlisle to draw or lose at Millwall

But if Carlisle win at Millwall, we need Northampton to lose both remaining games to MK Dons (h) and Leeds (a) - both opponents with nothing to play for.

If Brighton lose v Stockport
We need Carlisle to draw or lose at Millwall, and the total goal difference of our defeat together with an unwanted Crewe victory to not be more than four goals (otherwise Crewe would send Brighton and Carlisle down).
But if Carlisle win at Millwall, we need Northampton to lose both games by massive margins - such as 9-0 and 9-0 (and even then if might not be enough)!

(Stockport have no chance of relegation - even if they got deducted 10 points this season)