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[Politics] Brexit

If there was a second Brexit referendum how would you vote?


  • Total voters
    1,081








midnight_rendezvous

Well-known member
Aug 10, 2012
3,737
The Black Country
And now read the rest of the sentence - the bit about semantics.

To me, claiming that Brexit is the 'will of the people' implies that the majority of the people, and by that I mean the overall population and not just those who voted, wanted to leave the EU. This is simply untrue. At best you can claim that Brexit is the will of some of the people. Roughly 46 million people could vote to leave or remain the EU. However, only around 17 and a half million people voted to leave (roughly 37% of the electorate) leaving around 30mil not voting for that particular outcome. I take issue with a mere 37% (of the electorate not even the total population) being declared the 'will of the people'. It was the will of the voters sure, but I disagree with the terminology. Also worth pointing out that a) I am no contesting the result and b) I would also disagree with the phrase being used if the outcome was different.
 


Buzzer

Languidly Clinical
Oct 1, 2006
26,121
To me, claiming that Brexit is the 'will of the people' implies that the majority of the people, and by that I mean the overall population and not just those who voted, wanted to leave the EU. This is simply untrue. At best you can claim that Brexit is the will of some of the people. Roughly 46 million people could vote to leave or remain the EU. However, only around 17 and a half million people voted to leave (roughly 37% of the electorate) leaving around 30mil not voting for that particular outcome. I take issue with a mere 37% (of the electorate not even the total population) being declared the 'will of the people'. It was the will of the voters sure, but I disagree with the terminology. Also worth pointing out that a) I am no contesting the result and b) I would also disagree with the phrase being used if the outcome was different.

I think we're going round in circles now. I'm well aware of your reasons for disputing the phrase, I don't agree but that's life. What I do take issue with is you labelling it as semantics when you are one of the few people to take issue with a universally understood phrase on a point of pedantry. It's you that is quite literally playing semantics here.
 






midnight_rendezvous

Well-known member
Aug 10, 2012
3,737
The Black Country
I think we're going round in circles now. I'm well aware of your reasons for disputing the phrase, I don't agree but that's life. What I do take issue with is you labelling it as semantics when you are one of the few people to take issue with a very commonly understood phrase on a point of pedantry. It's you that is quite literally playing semantics here.

You're right. It is a point of pendantry that has been prolonged because I said I take issue with it being used to shut down any debate by Brexiters. I don't have anything against the phrase if used appropriately or if it is remotely true. However in this context I dispute it's appropriateness and its validity.
 


mikeyjh

Well-known member
Dec 17, 2008
4,493
Llanymawddwy
Er, no. Wrong again. Spain will block any application from Scotland because of the issue with Catalan wanting independence. If you're going to quote things, at least have a basis for your opinions.

I'm telling you what I think, and I gave you the basis for my thinking but if you want me to elaborate - The Spanish would object to automatic or fast tracked accession for Scotland, that's the issue that vexes them concerning their own domestic issues. Scotland would, given time, gain EU membership, that's not up for argument.
 


Buzzer

Languidly Clinical
Oct 1, 2006
26,121
You're right. It is a point of pendantry that has been prolonged because I said I take issue with it being used to shut down any debate by Brexiters. I don't have anything against the phrase if used appropriately or if it is remotely true. However in this context I dispute it's appropriateness and its validity.

Fair enough. :thumbsup:
 












The Rivet

Well-known member
Aug 9, 2011
4,512
If Emily Thornberry is the best Labour have got (for a newsnight guest) I think Labour overall is sunk. She is useless to the 'nth degree.
 




cunning fergus

Well-known member
Jan 18, 2009
4,747
To me, claiming that Brexit is the 'will of the people' implies that the majority of the people, and by that I mean the overall population and not just those who voted, wanted to leave the EU. This is simply untrue. At best you can claim that Brexit is the will of some of the people. Roughly 46 million people could vote to leave or remain the EU. However, only around 17 and a half million people voted to leave (roughly 37% of the electorate) leaving around 30mil not voting for that particular outcome. I take issue with a mere 37% (of the electorate not even the total population) being declared the 'will of the people'. It was the will of the voters sure, but I disagree with the terminology. Also worth pointing out that a) I am no contesting the result and b) I would also disagree with the phrase being used if the outcome was different.


So, ignoring babies, toddlers, adolescents and the disenfranchised you are essentially left with the active electorate.

Accordingly then Brexit is the will of the electorate.

Presumably you would be happy with that?
 




Soulman

New member
Oct 22, 2012
10,966
Sompting
This in my opinion is a good article. Spot on.

The angrier, snootier sections of the Remain camp have done many bad things since 23 June. Some have suggested Brexit should be overthrown. Others have issued terrible libels against Leave voters, branding them ‘low information’ and xenophobic. Witness Nick Clegg in this Guardian video published this week having a good old laugh at Sheffield people who voted for Brexit after apparently falling for the ‘emotionally pungent’ claims of Leave leaders.

But worst of all has been their sly rewriting of history. They’re engaged in a campaign to misremember the referendum, to depict it as a time of lies and idiocy, of racism unleashed. They’ve cranked up the memory holes, sharpened their redacting pens, and set about imposing a kind of collective amnesia, using the tactics of Soviet ‘forgetters’ to rustle up a narrative that says the referendum moment was a mad one. But it wasn’t.

Consider the irate response to Theresa May’s speech. Remainers’ loudest cry is that people didn’t vote to leave the single market, as May now says we will. ‘A reckless exit from the single market was not on the ballot paper,’ says Tim Farron. The public didn’t know that legging it from the single market was a possibility, observers insist.

This is untrue; political amnesia. That Leave could, and very likely would, lead to withdrawal from the single market was a central talking point of the referendum. Michael Gove, one of the most senior figures on the Leave side, said it. Out loud. In May. Voting Leave would ideally mean Britain being ‘outside the single market but [having] access to it,’ he said. Other Leavers regularly slammed the single market. David Davis laid into the ‘burdens of the single market regulations’. Vote Leave’s campaign bumf was packed with criticisms. ‘[T]he single market does more harm than good,’ it said.

AdTech Ad
Leading Remainers also made it clear that voting Leave would likely entail pulling Britain out of the single market. David Cameron said: ‘What the British public will be voting for is to leave the EU and leave the single market.’ George Osborne echoed him: ‘We would be out of the single market.’ There you go: the two then most powerful men in Britain saying Leave would mean leaving the single market.

Were there disagreements in the Leave camp over the single market? Of course. It was a big, mixed coalition. But Leave was shot through either with doubt or outright hostility towards the single market. It is a myth — dare I say a lie — to say people didn’t know single-market membership would be thrown into question by their voting Leave. They knew this very well. We can deduce that they voted Leave either because they also wanted to leave the single market or because they believed the risk of leaving the single market was a price worth paying for getting out of the EU oligarchy. In fact, a YouGov poll this week shows that 74 percent of Leave voters want a hard Brexit. Among the population more broadly, 39 percent want a hard Brexit and 25 percent a soft Brexit. People didn’t know single-market membership was at risk? An insulting lie.

This is only one of the ways in which the referendum months are misremembered. What is fast becoming the established narrative also tells us people were hoodwinked by loudmouth politicians. Nope. Polls before the referendum showed that a paltry 8 percent of those intending to vote Leave trusted politicians on the issue of the EU, while more than 60 percent said it would be ‘better to rely on ordinary people’ when making up one’s mind. Led astray by demagogic leaders? More mythmaking.

The narrative says Brexit is Farage’s victory. It’s his Britain now, apparently. At the level of basic numbers this doesn’t add up. Ukip got 3.9 million votes at the 2015 General Election; Leave got 17.4 million votes. Those 13.5 million people who oppose the EU but have not voted for Ukip are casually airbrushed away. We’re told newspapers like the Daily Mail warped the masses’ minds with Europhobic nonsense. The Mail has a circulation of just 2.2 million. And 34 percent of its readers voted Remain. There are millions who don’t read these papers and yet who voted Leave. Perhaps — and I know this might sound shocking — they thought for themselves?

The narrative says the referendum was a swirl of racial fears. It wasn’t. Aside from one dodgy Ukip poster, swiftly taken down, the debate was principled, not prejudiced. Lord Ashcroft’s post-referendum poll found only 33 percent of Leave voters gave immigration as their ‘main reason’ for voting out. Subsequent polls show big majorities of Brits, including Leaver Brits, want EU migrants to stay here. A majority of Leave voters, just shy of 50 percent, said they voted on the principle that ‘decisions about the UK should be taken in the UK’. They acted from democratic conviction, not racial panic.

The worst part of the misremembering is its wiping of key players from the historical record. The depiction of Leave as the victory of ‘demagogues’ like Farage scrubs out Gisela Stuart, the coolest voice of Leave, who spoke to millions via TV debates. And Dreda Say Mitchell, the south London novelist who braved Question Time and live debates with Will Self to put the left-wing case for Leave. And Trade Unionists Against the EU, which met and debated with workers and convinced many the EU is a bad thing. These people, good, serious people, muddy the narrative about Brexit being a victory of hard-right blowhards and so they must be forgotten, written out, historically destroyed. The misremembering is as nasty as it is cavalier.

The rash media response to May’s speech is important for what it tells us about how the Brexit Revolt is being recorded. What was a stirring moment of deep reasoning, with vast swathes of the public turning away from politicians and the media to talk to each other, as a good demos does, is being duplicitously recorded as a hysterical episode, a lie-ridden, prejudice-packed pock on British history. This mustn’t stand. The referendum was one of the sanest political moments I can remember, in which citizens took their electoral responsibilities incredibly seriously, vast swathes of them voting from a love of democratic law-making. Don’t let bitter losers bury this brilliant historic moment with lies.
 


melias shoes

Well-known member
Oct 14, 2010
4,830
So the will of the people who actually bothered voting in Scotland means more than the will of the people who actually bothered voting in Great Britain?
Exactly. I'm getting fed up people saying Scotland voted to remain. The Scottish vote was part of the UK as a whole SO the vote is combined with the rest of the UK. So the total vote was leave. The same with Brighton majority voted remain but that doesn't mean Brighton can remain.
 


Baldseagull

Well-known member
Jan 26, 2012
10,959
Crawley
This in my opinion is a good article. Spot on.

The angrier, snootier sections of the Remain camp have done many bad things since 23 June. Some have suggested Brexit should be overthrown. Others have issued terrible libels against Leave voters, branding them ‘low information’ and xenophobic. Witness Nick Clegg in this Guardian video published this week having a good old laugh at Sheffield people who voted for Brexit after apparently falling for the ‘emotionally pungent’ claims of Leave leaders.

But worst of all has been their sly rewriting of history. They’re engaged in a campaign to misremember the referendum, to depict it as a time of lies and idiocy, of racism unleashed. They’ve cranked up the memory holes, sharpened their redacting pens, and set about imposing a kind of collective amnesia, using the tactics of Soviet ‘forgetters’ to rustle up a narrative that says the referendum moment was a mad one. But it wasn’t.

Consider the irate response to Theresa May’s speech. Remainers’ loudest cry is that people didn’t vote to leave the single market, as May now says we will. ‘A reckless exit from the single market was not on the ballot paper,’ says Tim Farron. The public didn’t know that legging it from the single market was a possibility, observers insist.

This is untrue; political amnesia. That Leave could, and very likely would, lead to withdrawal from the single market was a central talking point of the referendum. Michael Gove, one of the most senior figures on the Leave side, said it. Out loud. In May. Voting Leave would ideally mean Britain being ‘outside the single market but [having] access to it,’ he said. Other Leavers regularly slammed the single market. David Davis laid into the ‘burdens of the single market regulations’. Vote Leave’s campaign bumf was packed with criticisms. ‘[T]he single market does more harm than good,’ it said.

AdTech Ad
Leading Remainers also made it clear that voting Leave would likely entail pulling Britain out of the single market. David Cameron said: ‘What the British public will be voting for is to leave the EU and leave the single market.’ George Osborne echoed him: ‘We would be out of the single market.’ There you go: the two then most powerful men in Britain saying Leave would mean leaving the single market.

Were there disagreements in the Leave camp over the single market? Of course. It was a big, mixed coalition. But Leave was shot through either with doubt or outright hostility towards the single market. It is a myth — dare I say a lie — to say people didn’t know single-market membership would be thrown into question by their voting Leave. They knew this very well. We can deduce that they voted Leave either because they also wanted to leave the single market or because they believed the risk of leaving the single market was a price worth paying for getting out of the EU oligarchy. In fact, a YouGov poll this week shows that 74 percent of Leave voters want a hard Brexit. Among the population more broadly, 39 percent want a hard Brexit and 25 percent a soft Brexit. People didn’t know single-market membership was at risk? An insulting lie.

This is only one of the ways in which the referendum months are misremembered. What is fast becoming the established narrative also tells us people were hoodwinked by loudmouth politicians. Nope. Polls before the referendum showed that a paltry 8 percent of those intending to vote Leave trusted politicians on the issue of the EU, while more than 60 percent said it would be ‘better to rely on ordinary people’ when making up one’s mind. Led astray by demagogic leaders? More mythmaking.

The narrative says Brexit is Farage’s victory. It’s his Britain now, apparently. At the level of basic numbers this doesn’t add up. Ukip got 3.9 million votes at the 2015 General Election; Leave got 17.4 million votes. Those 13.5 million people who oppose the EU but have not voted for Ukip are casually airbrushed away. We’re told newspapers like the Daily Mail warped the masses’ minds with Europhobic nonsense. The Mail has a circulation of just 2.2 million. And 34 percent of its readers voted Remain. There are millions who don’t read these papers and yet who voted Leave. Perhaps — and I know this might sound shocking — they thought for themselves?

The narrative says the referendum was a swirl of racial fears. It wasn’t. Aside from one dodgy Ukip poster, swiftly taken down, the debate was principled, not prejudiced. Lord Ashcroft’s post-referendum poll found only 33 percent of Leave voters gave immigration as their ‘main reason’ for voting out. Subsequent polls show big majorities of Brits, including Leaver Brits, want EU migrants to stay here. A majority of Leave voters, just shy of 50 percent, said they voted on the principle that ‘decisions about the UK should be taken in the UK’. They acted from democratic conviction, not racial panic.

The worst part of the misremembering is its wiping of key players from the historical record. The depiction of Leave as the victory of ‘demagogues’ like Farage scrubs out Gisela Stuart, the coolest voice of Leave, who spoke to millions via TV debates. And Dreda Say Mitchell, the south London novelist who braved Question Time and live debates with Will Self to put the left-wing case for Leave. And Trade Unionists Against the EU, which met and debated with workers and convinced many the EU is a bad thing. These people, good, serious people, muddy the narrative about Brexit being a victory of hard-right blowhards and so they must be forgotten, written out, historically destroyed. The misremembering is as nasty as it is cavalier.

The rash media response to May’s speech is important for what it tells us about how the Brexit Revolt is being recorded. What was a stirring moment of deep reasoning, with vast swathes of the public turning away from politicians and the media to talk to each other, as a good demos does, is being duplicitously recorded as a hysterical episode, a lie-ridden, prejudice-packed pock on British history. This mustn’t stand. The referendum was one of the sanest political moments I can remember, in which citizens took their electoral responsibilities incredibly seriously, vast swathes of them voting from a love of democratic law-making. Don’t let bitter losers bury this brilliant historic moment with lies.

'Tis utter bullshit though.
The polls had remain well in front until the immigration angle was pushed, alongside the implication that all of Turkey would soon be moving here and a poster showing Syrian refugees and the words breaking point. I am not misremembering that. A poster that this piece claims was quickly taken down, as if that means it had little to no effect, yet I am sure everyone has seen it and can remember it, and for some, it made their mind up.
The piece claims it was crystal clear that leaving the single market was inevitable, and then says that not all leave campaigners agreed. So which is it, inevitable or debatable?
 


pb21

Well-known member
Apr 23, 2010
6,331
In fact, a YouGov poll this week shows that 74 percent of Leave voters want a hard Brexit. Among the population more broadly, 39 percent want a hard Brexit and 25 percent a soft Brexit.

74% of the 52% who voted to leave want a hard Brexit, i.e. 38% of everyone who voted.

Then it says "39 percent want a hard Brexit and 25 percent a soft Brexit." I presume the other 36% don't want any Brexit?

So what exactly is 'the will of the people', reading that it seems to be for a soft Brexit.

In fact almost 2 to 1 in favour of a soft Brexit!
 
Last edited:




cunning fergus

Well-known member
Jan 18, 2009
4,747
'Tis utter bullshit though.
The polls had remain well in front until the immigration angle was pushed, alongside the implication that all of Turkey would soon be moving here and a poster showing Syrian refugees and the words breaking point. I am not misremembering that. A poster that this piece claims was quickly taken down, as if that means it had little to no effect, yet I am sure everyone has seen it and can remember it, and for some, it made their mind up.
The piece claims it was crystal clear that leaving the single market was inevitable, and then says that not all leave campaigners agreed. So which is it, inevitable or debatable?


I see so you would bestow significant electoral value to that poster, to the extent that it compelled those undecided to lump in to the leave camp.

How many of these previously undecided voters do you think subsequently jumped back out again following the shooting of Jo Cox?

Her constituents voted leave by the way..............I would argue thet the brutal murder of a MP would have more affect on undecided voters than a poster...............that's me though.
 




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