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[Politics] Andrew Bailey or Kwasi Kwarteng

Who is doing the most damage to our economy?

  • Kwasi Kwarteng

    Votes: 30 78.9%
  • Andrew Bailey

    Votes: 3 7.9%
  • Both as bad as each other

    Votes: 5 13.2%
  • Neither - just victims of economic circumastance

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    38


Super Steve Earle

Well-known member
Feb 23, 2009
8,374
North of Brighton
Who is doing the most damage to the economy and why are these two seemingly so out of step. Is one not up to the job or both of them. Or neither, just victims of economical circumstance.
 








beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
35,322
obviously Chancellor, though his not-a-budget only amplified other problems, he's not the sole source. Bailey is a passenger, has to raise rates with US or damage the £, but doing so damages domestic market just as we face recession.

and something's afoot, pound soaring, 10yr gilt yield plummeting the past 15 minutes.
 


sparkie

Well-known member
Jul 17, 2003
12,519
Hove
"Both as Bad as each other" means "equally bad" not that "they are both bad to some degree".

So with the very low bar Bailey has set to get over, Kwarteng still manages to fail to clear it by a massive margin.
 






Weststander

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Aug 25, 2011
64,171
Withdean area
The BOE’s work on supporting a few badly run funded pension schemes, is trifling compared to the macro economics of interest rates.

It’s not a personal thing. Bailey is just one member of the MPC which sets rates. They’re following the lead of The Fed in raising interest rates in an attempt to dampen inflation caused by global pandemic/lockdown supply issues and Putin trying to destroy western economies (now aided and abetted by duplicitous Saudi Arabia).

Kwarteng/Truss are a political car crash. The experiment might work, but 27 months is far too short to truly find out and in a media age the markets stampede.
 


beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
35,322
US CPI (inflation) above expectations, £ and gilts improvements wiped out.
 




B-right-on

Living the dream
Apr 23, 2015
6,196
Shoreham Beaaaach
I think that we've been on a slippery slope for years. The recession and economic shitshow that's coming, has been predicted by a lot of very clever economists even back in the zero interest rate days.

No one, not a person, business or country, can borrow to the levels vs their income that we have without some sort of great effect on their ability to operate functionally.


Saying all that, successive Govts have made it worse each time.
 


Tom Hark Preston Park

Will Post For Cash
Jul 6, 2003
70,314
Never ever got that thing whereby a minister could just be drafted into the role of Chancellor. Makes zero sense whatsoever. What if they're no good at sums?

Tories fatally missed a trick by not appointing Sunak as PM, Deputy PM and Chancellor, all rolled into one. All the current appointees are just so much worthless noise :wave:
 


schmunk

"Members"
Jan 19, 2018
9,523
Mid mid mid Sussex
Never ever got that thing whereby a minister could just be drafted into the role of Chancellor. Makes zero sense whatsoever. What if they're no good at sums?

Tories fatally missed a trick by not appointing Sunak as PM, Deputy PM and Chancellor, all rolled into one. All the current appointees are just so much worthless noise :wave:
But Kwasi Kwarteng has a PhD in Econonic...




...History. Oh, he has a History degree, so no numbers then... :cautious:
 


JBizzle

Well-known member
Apr 18, 2010
5,837
Seaford
In all likelihood neither may well be up to the job, but given the hideous international and domestic financial market reaction to Kwarteng's budget, followed by a seeming complete reversal of those plans, I'd say he edges it.
 


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