A betting dilemna - what would you do ?

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I would

  • Be bold, sit tight and trouser £ 660 profit if England win

    Votes: 11 39.3%
  • I would lay my bet off as suggested to ensure £ 200 ish profit either way

    Votes: 15 53.6%
  • I would lay my bet off but in a different way - explain

    Votes: 2 7.1%

  • Total voters
    28
  • Poll closed .


beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
35,414
Are all those people who are advocating laying off the bet going to put their money where their mouth is and bet on a SA win?

i will still put a small wager on England to win, because the cocky South Africans will think they just need to turn up like the Aussies did. But i would bet £200 on that.
 




Uncle Spielberg

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 6, 2003
42,877
Lancing
England were 80/1 after the S A defeat
 




maffew

Well-known member
Dec 10, 2003
8,887
Worcester England
Just lay some of it. You can guarantee a nice profit still, then enjoy the game. I think you'll get slightly better odds nearer the day though. The bookmakers will need to cover themselves when everyone goes bet crazy on England towards the weekend
 










Silver flying chariot

Active member
Aug 5, 2003
461
England were 80/1 after the S A defeat

They have been matched at 279-1 on betfair for £8!!! They were also 79-1 before the australia game to win the world cup! wished I had got on at that price for a tenner. Anyone who bets on anything apart from betfair is crazy. The prices are ALWAYS better!

someone wanted to risk losing 2232 to win £8!!!!!!!Bet they are starting to get a bit nervous now!
 




Mtoto

Well-known member
Sep 28, 2003
1,848
The odds don't lie. There is no doubt that England could win and land you the big wonga, but the simple truth is that a SA win is about twice as likely, which leaves you with nothing despite you having kept faith with England when hardly anyone else did.

The sensible strategy according to the odds would be to lay off to the extent that you get twice as much for a SA win as you do for an England one. Hard to do when there's emotion involved too though. If it was me, I'd just even things up a little, so there's enough for a few rounds of drinks on England whatever happens in the match.
 


SussexHoop

New member
Dec 7, 2003
887
I'd suggest the absolute minimum is to lay it off so you don't lose anything.
2nd recommendation is to lay it so you guarantee yourself £100 if South Africa win. No matter what happens, £100 in your pocket. If we win, you can spend the extra celebrating.

Good luck.
 






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