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PPG for top 10 and required PPG for rest of season.
- Thread starter larus
- Start date
Blue Valkyrie
Not seen such Bravery!
Derby have Leeds and Reading next up.
Win half the remaining 22 games and draw half of the rest and we'll be on 92 points.
Not saying we will, or it will be easy, but certainly a real possibility.
Not saying we will, or it will be easy, but certainly a real possibility.
Yoda
English & European
After this weekends games, and even a defeat for us still see's us as the team to beat. Both our current form over the last ten games plus our game in hand still has us coming out on top.
That table though shows how many clubs with big aspirations will be dreading the drop. Once in Div.1, as Leeds proved, it can be a long haul back.
Clubs like Blackburn, Cardiff Notts Forest. QPR and Wolves have all known the big time fairly recently. Even Wigan. They'll be desperate - they won't roll over under new managers. Even Ipswich and Brentford aren't really safe.
Clubs like Blackburn, Cardiff Notts Forest. QPR and Wolves have all known the big time fairly recently. Even Wigan. They'll be desperate - they won't roll over under new managers. Even Ipswich and Brentford aren't really safe.
Nixonator
Well-known member
Warnock will see Cardiff safe unfortunately. Blackburn and Forest are very real contenders for the drop though.
Forest with the mess they're in for sure. I think Blackburn with your ex-skipper might dig themselves out though. The grief if they go down, and Burnley stay up...
Ernest
Stupid IDIOT
Realistically unless we really CRUMBLE then only those in the top 6 will challenge us for the top 2 places
Posted elsewhere .... generally too many points due to the unexpected (Reading v QPR) but hopefully impacts all teams equally so deducting 6 points from each looks like a decent spread.
Only team outside top 6 I think might get in here is Fulham ... all subject to change ofc
Only team outside top 6 I think might get in here is Fulham ... all subject to change ofc
GT49er
Well-known member
How can we draw half of eleven?
Yoda
English & European
Correction, only Leeds for the last 6 games. Massive have taken 14, us 15 & Dirty 16.
Leeds have lost twice in 14, against the only two teams above them in table. Would be good for them to hit a banana skin and throw them off track
Friday will be Massive!
Seasider78
Well-known member
- Nov 14, 2004
- 5,939
My general rule of thumb is at the top end (unless someone has an absolute collapse) a team in top form can gain about a point per game.
In your example over 6 games Leeds (who are currently going through a period of amazing form) have clawed back 1 point on us.
For us to stay down they would have to maintain current levels of form for the whole remainder of the season and we would need a monumental collapse. That is a pretty big ask of Leeds and would require us to collapse in the second half of the season. Arguably we are playing our worst football of the season yet are still grinding out results.
Chris has this team well drilled and whilst we will have a few bumps along the way and will find it hard to maintain the current gap we would have to do something ridiculous to throw this away now.
Not impossible but unlikely
larus
Well-known member
- Thread starter
- #56
6 points, a game in hand and better goal difference. That's not too much of a swing over the remaining 20/21 games really.
However, I agree that they have had a really good run, yet have only gained 1 point over 6 games. But over 10 games, they have 22 points and we have 23.
I know it's stating the bloody obvious, but the longer we can keep this gap, the harder it becomes to close. Currently, there needs to be 5 results which go in their favour for them to close the gap (us lose 3 games and them win 2), which, with the number remaining is easily possible. Get to 10 games left and it gets more challenging.
Slightly off topic but looking at the table above , I hadn't notice Bristol City.
What the hell has happened to them. 0.3 PPG average at the moment.
We played them not so long ago and was a clash against a good side with real play off ambitions.
What has gone so wrong since then ?
What the hell has happened to them. 0.3 PPG average at the moment.
We played them not so long ago and was a clash against a good side with real play off ambitions.
What has gone so wrong since then ?
we would have to do something ridiculous to throw this away now
If we lose at Leeds the gap is 3 points.
Over 20 + games , that is absolutely nothing.
We are definite favourites but it wouldn't be ridiculous if didn't do it.
Seasider78
Well-known member
- Nov 14, 2004
- 5,939
That swing assumes we are still only 6 clear of Leeds when we visit Elland Road. If we win Friday and our game in hand and Leeds drop points at the weekend we could be 11-12 points clear by Tuesday night.
This also assumes Leeds and Newcastle go on a ridiculous run of wins whilst we falter. This will be harder for all sides to maintain as we get to the business end but we have more home games which will work to our advantage
Blue Valkyrie
Not seen such Bravery!
I reckon we need to cool the worry boots about Leeds.
Massive on Friday is massive of course. Defeat would be a big blow, but unless that happens we can still chill.
And let's get those 3 points against Cardiff as well.
Massive on Friday is massive of course. Defeat would be a big blow, but unless that happens we can still chill.
And let's get those 3 points against Cardiff as well.