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To avoid bed wetting - the staying up tracker 36 - level - WE ARE STAYING UP







Bodian

Well-known member
May 3, 2012
11,908
Cumbria
I had a go at using this for the current table - to see if it works out with regard to this year's form so far.

Basically I gave us nothing against the 'Big Six'. Then for the other teams above us, one point if we are playing them at home, nothing from an away game. And for the teams below, 3 points for a home game, and one for an away game.

I came up with 37 points, and only 3 points from the final 10 games.

(edit - I started from our current position - not from the beginning of the season)
 


dazzer6666

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Mar 27, 2013
52,639
Burgess Hill
I had a go at using this for the current table - to see if it works out with regard to this year's form so far.

Basically I gave us nothing against the 'Big Six'. Then for the other teams above us, one point if we are playing them at home, nothing from an away game. And for the teams below, 3 points for a home game, and one for an away game.

I came up with 37 points, and only 3 points from the final 10 games.

Don’t think that will be far off, but if we are on 37 I think it will just be enough (16th or 17th). Going to be a nervous few months.
 


Moshe Gariani

Well-known member
Mar 10, 2005
12,098
I had a go at using this for the current table - to see if it works out with regard to this year's form so far.

Basically I gave us nothing against the 'Big Six'. Then for the other teams above us, one point if we are playing them at home, nothing from an away game. And for the teams below, 3 points for a home game, and one for an away game.

I came up with 37 points, and only 3 points from the final 10 games.
Pretty much bang on for me... think we'll get 36-39pts accumulated roughly as described.

And it will be enough to stay up.

4pts from next 2 games is the happy/less happy threshold.

Sent from my SM-G900F using Tapatalk
 


Giraffe

VERY part time moderator
Helpful Moderator
NSC Patron
Aug 8, 2005
26,596
I had a go at using this for the current table - to see if it works out with regard to this year's form so far.

Basically I gave us nothing against the 'Big Six'. Then for the other teams above us, one point if we are playing them at home, nothing from an away game. And for the teams below, 3 points for a home game, and one for an away game.

I came up with 37 points, and only 3 points from the final 10 games.

(edit - I started from our current position - not from the beginning of the season)

Effectively that is what the tracker is saying now. Currently predicting 38 points.
 




Bodian

Well-known member
May 3, 2012
11,908
Cumbria
Effectively that is what the tracker is saying now. Currently predicting 38 points.

That's right - just arranged in a slightly different order!

And I reckon we've got a good chance of winning on Saturday too - which will put us back on target for the original 40.
 








Giraffe

VERY part time moderator
Helpful Moderator
NSC Patron
Aug 8, 2005
26,596
Updated for the pointless (in so many ways) game at Chelsea. Still 2 points behind.
 

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Bozza

You can change this
Helpful Moderator
Jul 4, 2003
55,825
Back in Sussex
Why does the title of this thread suggest we avoid bed wetting when we are two points behind?

I don’t bed wet but do believe statistically that we are 50:50 to stay up.

You should be getting involved then as, at 4.0 (3/1), the bookies are saying there is only a 25% chance we will be relegated.

Screen Shot 2017-12-27 at 22.00.21.png
 




Mellotron

I've asked for soup
Jul 2, 2008
31,867
Brighton
Next 3 games are;

Toon
Bournemouth
West Brom

Tracker reckons 2 points. I’d be very disappointed with only 2 from those. 4 minimum.
 




Saunders

Well-known member
Oct 1, 2017
2,292
Brighton
Next 3 games are;

Toon
Bournemouth
West Brom

Tracker reckons 2 points. I’d be very disappointed with only 2 from those. 4 minimum.

This is the thing, at the beginning of the season we require 3 points vs Burnley however when we played them they were 4th in the league so maybe a revision is neeeded.
 










Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
50,213
Goldstone
Can you make this thread a sticky please?
I spent ages trying to find it the other day
Can't you just search for threads with 'tracker' in the title?
 


Official Old Man

Uckfield Seagull
Aug 27, 2011
8,570
Brighton
This is the thing, at the beginning of the season we require 3 points vs Burnley however when we played them they were 4th in the league so maybe a revision is neeeded.

In the same way that Everton was a loss because they are a top 7 club but were bottom (4?) when we played them. Point gained but really two points dropped.
 


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