Alternatively the Tories have no chance of forming a majority government with those ratings
UKIP/CON Coalition is what I see coming down the tracks.
Can you imagine Nigel Farage being given the job of Foreign secretary in Macaroons newly formed govt .. Carnage !!
Should've happened last time...There is a big possibility of a total f**k up with no party gaining a majority and unable to secure a coalition thus going down the minority rule and calling a second election later next year, get on big at your local bookies
The Tories will win unfortunately. They'll bring out the "economy is doing well, let us finish the job" card, and they'll take some UKIP voters away with that message.
Some interesting scenarios presenting themselves here:
1. Tory / UKIP coalition, UK has EU referendum and decide to stay in - then what?
2. Lib Dem and UKIP get similar number of seats, Tories need one partner to form a coalition - who do they choose?
UKIP is taking Labour votes, of that there is no doubt. They seem to be able to pull numbers from the three 'main' parties. However if UKIP did not exist (or they were polling at the same percentage as a fringe party such as the Greens, then I am sure the Conservatives would win the next election.
As it is - I still do think Cameron will be PM after the GE, but I think this is down to the disaster of Ed Milliband as well.
UKIP/CON Coalition is what I see coming down the tracks.
Like they won the last election, they haven't won one since 1992 and are unelectable as a national party anymore
Like they won the last election, they haven't won one since 1992 and are unelectable as a national party anymore