- Oct 20, 2022
- 7,032
- Thread starter
- #7,981
Remember 2016?I think the media will be very wary of 'calling' the states as they normally do, for fear of retribution if they are wrong, so we might all have to wait until the official results.
They got it very wrong - we went to bed in our house expecting to wake up to a Hilary win and it was the orange man who won!
Polls tend to overstate Democratic support
Confronting 2016 and 2020 Polling Limitations
Looking at final estimates of the outcome of the 2020 U.S. presidential race, 93% of national polls overstated the Democratic candidate’s support among voters, while nearly as many (88%) did so in 2016.
www.pewresearch.org
“Looking at final estimates of the outcome of the 2020 U.S. presidential race, 93% of national polls overstated the Democratic candidate’s support among voters, while nearly as many (88%) did so in 2016.”
“Donald Trump is polling better than in 2016 and 2020, either because the pollsters are compensating for past errors or because he’s emerged as a stronger candidate than expected.”
Who will win the US election? Our experts’ final predictions
With just one week until the election, Trump’s campaign has hit its stride. But do our experts think this is enough to clinch the race?
www.telegraph.co.uk