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[Politics] By-election in Honiton and Tiverton.













SAC

Well-known member
May 21, 2014
2,555
I think, and hope, the Libs will win but the odds aren't good enough so I would put my mythical £5 on the Tory.
 




Audax

Boing boing boing...
Aug 3, 2015
2,961
Uckfield
I wouldn't be surprised if the Lib Dems win it ... but it's a massive mountain to climb, so if I was a betting man I'd put the fiver on the Conservatives at the best odds I could find. I've then got the following outcomes to look forward to:

1. Lib Dems win. At which point I'll be happy to have lost the fiver.

2. Conservatives win. At which point I'll be happy to pocket my winnings and looking at the probably very small margin of victory and thinking that's still bad news for Boris.
 




Peacehaven Wild Kids

Well-known member
Jan 16, 2022
2,362
The Avenue then Maloncho
A fiver bet?

I’m a Labour man that hates the Tories, but in any event where it’s just a case of a fiver the 5/2 shot is the bet (£17.50 return) 2/7 is too short and the other two “rags” is merely a case of wasting money.
 




WATFORD zero

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 10, 2003
25,975
I was born in Tiverton….:D

Case rests m'lud :wink:

I think Wakefield will go labour, but it wouldn't surprise me if Tiverton remains Tory. The numbers of people who claim they 'obviously don't back Boris' is still remarkably high on the Social Media site I use, whilst their other posts on political subjects tell a completely different story.

Many claim they will abstain, but when it comes to the crunch they probably won't. There is a reason for the well known term 'shy tories' :shrug:
 
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nicko31

Well-known member
Jan 7, 2010
17,656
Gods country fortnightly
Tractor Porn West too close to call

Fence
 


beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
35,339
5/2 looks large price for a 2 horse race. large majority to make up, will come down to the turnout, how many Tories will protest vote or sit at home.

been bit surprised why Liberals are assumed the contender when behind Labour recently in this seat.
 




Lenny Rider

Well-known member
Sep 15, 2010
5,447
Great chance for a protest vote, wonder if Boris will get more trouble if it’s two landslide wins?
 


Blue Valkyrie

Not seen such Bravery!
Sep 1, 2012
32,165
Valhalla
Last chance to see off the Crime Minister for a while.

Get it done, make it untenable, Get Rid.
 






Bold Seagull

strong and stable with me, or...
Mar 18, 2010
29,840
Hove
5/2 looks large price for a 2 horse race. large majority to make up, will come down to the turnout, how many Tories will protest vote or sit at home.

been bit surprised why Liberals are assumed the contender when behind Labour recently in this seat.

For someone who posts a lot on politics, I'm pretty sure you must know why. You and a couple of others are pretty funny the way you try to twist things into your political viewpoints.
 




Brian Fantana

Well-known member
Oct 8, 2006
7,261
In the field
LDs are odds-on with most bookies, I'd think. Labour MASSIVELY odds-on for Wakefield. Let's hope these two results will be a further wake up call for the decent Tories to come together and come up with a scheme to shift Bojo quickly.
 


lawros left foot

Glory hunting since 1969
Jun 11, 2011
13,745
Worthing
LDs are odds-on with most bookies, I'd think. Labour MASSIVELY odds-on for Wakefield. Let's hope these two results will be a further wake up call for the decent Tories to come together and come up with a scheme to shift Bojo quickly.


The trouble with this scenario is that most ‘decent Tories’ are no longer MPs and, due to Tory Party rules, only MPs can put the rubbish out.
 




Giraffe

VERY part time moderator
Helpful Moderator
NSC Patron
Aug 8, 2005
26,612
Mid term by election, government will lose. It is ever thus.
 


Thunder Bolt

Silly old bat
I saw a photo the other day of a LibDem diamond poster on the Honiton Conservative club window. I thought it was someone being mischievous, but it turns out it wasn;t.

[tweet]1539630537668804609[/tweet]
 


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