Taking off my tin-foil hat to go for the more mainstream take here, just telling in case you think I'm writing on behalf of David Icke or Bersant Celina...
For the second day in a row, there's been Chinese intrusions in Taiwan's air space. This is extremely worrying as it might not be empy long-term threats but rather a conflict that could come in the short to mid term.
For those unaware of the old history, in short Taiwan is officially known as the Republic of China whereas China is the People's Republic of China. When the ROC lost the civil war in the late 40s, they escaped to Taiwan while still claiming they were the righteous "owners" of China, while mainland China said "no, we own you".
To get some protection and money and shit, Taiwan became friends with the US. China said "bah". But then Taiwan also became the inofficial friend of Chinese business, taking all their new fancy tech and building large and efficient factories in China while a lot of Chinese people travelled to Taiwan to buy fancy stuff. Everyone was pretty happy with the status quo, especially since China-US relations also improved.
This turned the leading party (and until the 80s only party) Kuomintang to a China-friendly party. But the population of Taiwan enjoyed their superior freedom and quality of life. They no longer considered themselves exile Chinese, but instead Taiwanese. And eventually voted for another party to rule the country, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP).
This annoyed the Chinese. In the election in Taiwan last year, the candidates of pro-China Kuomintang said "vote for us or get destroyed". The people elected DPP.
With Chinese power growing, they no longer want to be friends with anyone really. They want power. There's several leaked memos from the Communist Party saying "we're waiting. Waiting for capitalism to collapse before we take over the world." The possibility of being friends with both China and the US at the same time has disappeared.
With Trump in office, the Chinese government could sit down and roll their thumbs, waiting/hoping for the Taiwanese people to recent that ******* and becoming more China-friendly. With Biden in office this is most likely not happening, and the possibility of Taiwan turning itself Chinese is next to none. If China wants Taiwan to be China, they need to take it by force. And this is why only a few days after the Biden inauguration, China has entered a new phase in their "relations" with Taiwan.
What would a Taiwan vs China war mean? It would most likely mean the US moving in to protect Taiwan. Their non-interfering days are Trump days and they are likely to resume their questionable role as world police. A China vs Taiwan war would probably mean nothing for most of us. A China vs US war is a different thing and likely to escalate into something very big and dirty.
Interesting times.
For the second day in a row, there's been Chinese intrusions in Taiwan's air space. This is extremely worrying as it might not be empy long-term threats but rather a conflict that could come in the short to mid term.
For those unaware of the old history, in short Taiwan is officially known as the Republic of China whereas China is the People's Republic of China. When the ROC lost the civil war in the late 40s, they escaped to Taiwan while still claiming they were the righteous "owners" of China, while mainland China said "no, we own you".
To get some protection and money and shit, Taiwan became friends with the US. China said "bah". But then Taiwan also became the inofficial friend of Chinese business, taking all their new fancy tech and building large and efficient factories in China while a lot of Chinese people travelled to Taiwan to buy fancy stuff. Everyone was pretty happy with the status quo, especially since China-US relations also improved.
This turned the leading party (and until the 80s only party) Kuomintang to a China-friendly party. But the population of Taiwan enjoyed their superior freedom and quality of life. They no longer considered themselves exile Chinese, but instead Taiwanese. And eventually voted for another party to rule the country, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP).
This annoyed the Chinese. In the election in Taiwan last year, the candidates of pro-China Kuomintang said "vote for us or get destroyed". The people elected DPP.
With Chinese power growing, they no longer want to be friends with anyone really. They want power. There's several leaked memos from the Communist Party saying "we're waiting. Waiting for capitalism to collapse before we take over the world." The possibility of being friends with both China and the US at the same time has disappeared.
With Trump in office, the Chinese government could sit down and roll their thumbs, waiting/hoping for the Taiwanese people to recent that ******* and becoming more China-friendly. With Biden in office this is most likely not happening, and the possibility of Taiwan turning itself Chinese is next to none. If China wants Taiwan to be China, they need to take it by force. And this is why only a few days after the Biden inauguration, China has entered a new phase in their "relations" with Taiwan.
What would a Taiwan vs China war mean? It would most likely mean the US moving in to protect Taiwan. Their non-interfering days are Trump days and they are likely to resume their questionable role as world police. A China vs Taiwan war would probably mean nothing for most of us. A China vs US war is a different thing and likely to escalate into something very big and dirty.
Interesting times.
