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Tom Hark Preston Park
Will Post For Cash
- Jul 6, 2003
- 70,151
Our turn tonight SHIRLEY
Is it PotG?
Thrifty non-licker
Most predictions I can see still say tomorrow.
What do they know, eh?
Hot and sticky all day today
What do they know, eh?
Hot and sticky all day today
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
I think so... French imports
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Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Have you got any projections, is possible to say where and when
The different models have quite different projections of where / when. Some have the best / worst slipping to our West, from say, Chichester westwards, whereas others have the storms Brighton eastwards. This sort of situation will require some 'nowcasting' I think.
Tomorrow aftternoon also looks interesting, as another organised area of storms will come up from NE France and we may get some of those.
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jakarta
Well-known member
Likely to get up as far as the Thames Estuary? I have a silica dust survey tomorrow on a Quay (Marine dredged aggregates) and it would be pointless going if it going to hiss down with rain...
Some starting to kick off in West London & Surrey at the mo...................quite a rapid onset over a wide area
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
So are you saying Brighton to Chichester could miss the lot?
Even the pro forecasters struggle to get the location / timing of thunderstorms accurately. The issue those of us within 20 miles of the coast have in this setup, is that despite surface winds, the over flow here is roughly South to North, so yesterday, today and tomorrow, any local storms will develop just to our north and tend to slowly drift away from us. This leaves us reliant upon storms powerful enough to make it across the channel from France.
Tonight, some will make it, but where they 'hit' will be driven by where is France they arise from. Currently there is a lot of activity over France, but this is not moving towards us. The storms inland are also moving away NW.
Tomorrow looks similar, so storms could appear anywhere north of us.
So we need to see some development somewhere on the line between Rouen and Amiens under the current setup?
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
grubbyhands
Well-known member
Heavy,bouncing rain and grumbles in the 'ming now. Feeling slightly less close thankfully.
AmexRuislip
Trainee Spy 🕵️♂️
Thunderbolt and lightening very very frightening.
With plenty of thunderstorms due to kick off over the coming days, are there any going on in your neck of the woods
Second downpour in 24 hrs here in HA4.
As soon as it hits ground, it's virtually drying instantly.
Gabbafella
Well-known member
- Aug 22, 2012
- 4,683
One brewing over Belgium, any chance that could be our lucky storm?
AmexRuislip
Trainee Spy 🕵️♂️
Yes, one going off here. Cat is trying to decide whether he's hungry or scared
It's on its way here.
https://www.lightningmaps.org/?lang....00;ts=0;z=7;y=48.5852;x=1.269;d=2;dl=2;dc=0;
https://www.lightningmaps.org/?lang....00;ts=0;z=7;y=48.5852;x=1.269;d=2;dl=2;dc=0;
Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
I've been down the beach for the past couple of hours for a swim. Lovely. I noticed darkening skies to the south.
I get home to see that there is a lot going on not far away.
I get home to see that there is a lot going on not far away.