[News] The Coronavirus Good News thread

LamieRobertson said:

https://twitter.com/fact_covid/status/1366419147924635659?s=21

“Wow - today’s reported cases figure of 5,455 is 48.7% down on last week’s equivalent. Remember that last Monday’s number was higher than expected - but even so!”

Seven-day averages:

Today: 7,980
Yesterday: 8,721 (-8.5%)
A week ago: 11,187 (-28.7%)
9 Jan peak: 59,660 (-86.6%)

“Today’s reported deaths figure of 104 is a 41.6% down on last Monday and the lowest we’ve seen since Monday 26 October (102). More evidence the fall is accelerating.”

https://twitter.com/fact_covid/status/1366419605921689610?s=21

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dazzer6666 said:

Usual update :

Infections - 5,455, rolling 7 day down 28.7% (interesting how the downward trend has been re-established after a few days of 'stagnation' - proves the point on not getting hung up on the daily numbers, but focus on the trends)
Deaths - 104, rolling 7 day down 34.7% (yet more acceleration downwards)
Admissions - 1,112, rolling 7 day down 22.1%
Vaccinations - 185k first (40k UP on last Monday's number) and 19k second. 20.2m first jabs administered.

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LamieRobertson said:

Is that not what I posted?

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dazzer6666 said:

Similar but not the rolling 7 day averages for each which I'm keeping a daily eye on - still think they're the most useful numbers.............

Well done though, it's usually you repeating earlier posts

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LamieRobertson said:

Lol...so I take it you were still eating cake today

I also kept at eye on the 7 day figure as they allow for the odd day out of trend

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dazzer6666 said:

Haha - I can't escape with just having cake there - you know what mothers are like, I had to bring some home as well........might go hungry apparently.......

It's funny looking at the wailing on social media over the numbers - there will be tweets today about 'awful vaccination numbers' reported today for example (ignoring the fact that they are always low on a Monday). People (including a few on here as you know) jump on single day or short term fluctuations when it's almost the reporting that's irregular, not the actuality. All the main numbers are are trending rapidly in the right direction at the moment and I reckon this will be come even more evident in death and hospitalisation numbers as the vaccinations really take hold.

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The Wizard said:

Sensational.

View attachment 134366

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The Wizard said:

Sensational.

View attachment 134366

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• This is by far the longest period of decline in the virus on record - we've had 48 consecutive days where the infection rate has fallen by at least 10% week-on-week
• It's also the most significant in terms of the rate of decline - 9 out of the 10 biggest daily WoW drops occur in either January or February
• Compare the rate of decline at the beginning of January to the beginning of November - it was much, much steeper in January

Poojah said:

I just wanted to add to those great charts showing the decline in cases, illness and death in the over 80s cohort, so I knocked together this chart in Excel from the government's daily infection rate data. It's looking at the daily change in rolling 7 day average in infection rate - essentially measuring the speed at which the virus is either growing or declining (going back to July last year - data prior to that is not very reliable).

View attachment 134369

A few interesting takeaways:

• This is by far the longest period of decline in the virus on record - we've had 48 consecutive days where the infection rate has fallen by at least 10% week-on-week
• It's also the most significant in terms of the rate of decline - 9 out of the 10 biggest daily WoW drops occur in either January or February
• Compare the rate of decline at the beginning of January to the beginning of November - it was much, much steeper in January

There are some other interesting features - the emergence of the Kent variant in September is clear to see, and it's also clear that only two things keep the virus in recession. One is lockdown. The other, absolutely unequivocally now, is vaccines. There is simply no other explanation for it.

Absolutely remarkable.

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LamieRobertson said:

Edit...sorry was going to challenge something but not in spirit of the thread

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Poojah said:

I just wanted to add to those great charts showing the decline in cases, illness and death in the over 80s cohort, so I knocked together this chart in Excel from the government's daily infection rate data. It's looking at the daily change in rolling 7 day average in infection rate - essentially measuring the speed at which the virus is either growing or declining (going back to July last year - data prior to that is not very reliable).

View attachment 134369

A few interesting takeaways:

• This is by far the longest period of decline in the virus on record - we've had 48 consecutive days where the infection rate has fallen by at least 10% week-on-week
• It's also the most significant in terms of the rate of decline - 9 out of the 10 biggest daily WoW drops occur in either January or February
• Compare the rate of decline at the beginning of January to the beginning of November - it was much, much steeper in January

There are some other interesting features - the emergence of the Kent variant in September is clear to see, and it's also clear that only two things keep the virus in recession. One is lockdown. The other, absolutely unequivocally now, is vaccines. There is simply no other explanation for it.

Absolutely remarkable.

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dazzer6666 said:

The way I see it, the strict lockdown is going to be mostly responsible for getting us to very low infections/admissions/deaths, and the vaccine is going to keep us there. We’re now firmly in the handover period where both are contributing. Looks as though we’re going to heading towards 1 million jabs a day in a couple of weeks time. Mind-blowing.

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LamieRobertson said:

Hmm..opinions on lockdown though should really be discussed on the main forum don’t you think?

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dazzer6666 said:

Yes......that’s not really an opinion though, it’s just a fact of where we are/heading.

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dazzer6666 said:

The way I see it, the strict lockdown is going to be mostly responsible for getting us to very low infections/admissions/deaths, and the vaccine is going to keep us there. We’re now firmly in the handover period where both are contributing. Looks as though we’re going to heading towards 1 million jabs a day in a couple of weeks time. Mind-blowing.

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Weststander said:

1m’s a neat number where half or more could be getting their first dose (still a fantastic daily tally in its own right), whilst 100,000’s a day get their second vax within the 12 weeks.

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dazzer6666 said:

Seems as though the infrastructure is all ready.......just need the increased supplies which are on the way. Everyone getting jabbed now is saying how fantastically efficient the process has become.

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