[News] The Coronavirus Good News thread

dazzer6666 said:

Daily data is out :

Positive tests - yesterdays big drop doesn’t appear to be an anomaly, as it’s similar today with 20,089 positive tests reported (reminder again this was 70k+ 3 weeks ago at the peak). 7 day rolling total now down over 26%

Hospitalisations also down again, rolling 7 days down 7.2% for new admissions

Vaccinations - 279k first doses (over 70k higher than last Monday)

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Hotchilidog said:

Next milestone get that number below 20,000 new cases. Still high but the trajectory is very good at the moment.

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dazzer6666 said:

Daily data is out :

Positive tests - yesterdays big drop doesn’t appear to be an anomaly, as it’s similar today with 20,089 positive tests reported (reminder again this was 70k+ 3 weeks ago at the peak). 7 day rolling total now down over 26%

Hospitalisations also down again, rolling 7 days down 7.2% for new admissions

Vaccinations - 279k first doses (over 70k higher than last Monday)

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Gazwag said:

This graph is looking good, I always look at the 7 day average as a guide and the line looks nice and steep

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timbha said:

Keep these positive posts coming, it’s the best thread on NSC atm.

I understand that those being vaccinated at the Brighton Centre can park free in Churchill Square car park for one hour. I love these little touches and the thought that has gone into them. Also a taxi firm (can’t remember which) is offering free travel to/from vaccine centres for those who can’t afford it.

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dazzer6666 said:

It’s dropped to 20k from over 30k two days ago so I don’t see 20k as a milestone - looking more towards 10k and 5k now.......but more interested in seeing a corresponding drop in hospitalisations next, then we know we’re heading for the sun.

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Poojah said:

There has been some quite negative stuff in the press lately alluding to this latest, tough lockdown persisting for many months to come, but let’s just look at it pragmatically. We are more or less on target to have the 15m most vulnerable people vaccinated (first dose) by the middle of February, so allowing the extra two weeks for the effects to kick in for those at the back of the queue, we have a point at the beginning of March where those most likely to become seriously ill have a good level of protection.

We’re currently seeing a roughly 25% week-on-week drop in cases, with the latest figures hovering just above 20k. Provided there is no drastic change or new development, I’d expect us to be in the low single digit thousands of daily cases by the start of March, which is incredible based on where we were just a few weeks ago.

So there we have two very important things - a relatively low prevalence of virus, and widespread levels of protection in the most vulnerable. We should also have a third, and equally crucial factor by this point. With Israel set to cross the 50% mark for first doses imminently, we should have a much more robust idea of what vaccine induced immunity does in terms of transmission. There of course remain many ‘ifs’ in this respect, but the early signs look promising.

Things aren’t going to be ‘normal by Easter’, but I can see something resembling tier 2 life sometime in March, with something similar to what we enjoyed from late June through to the end of August last year, by May. More importantly, my expectation is that we’ll have a very clear and definitive roadmap out. And genuine hope and optimism are two vital commodities right now!

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dazzer6666 said:

Precisely. There is an awful lot of negativity around at the moment (including on NSC) but objective analysis of the emerging data paints a potentially far more optimistic picture. Tier 2 or similar in a few weeks, with lighter nights and better weather, will seem like a different world.

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dazzer6666 said:

Precisely. There is an awful lot of negativity around at the moment (including on NSC) but objective analysis of the emerging data paints a potentially far more optimistic picture. Tier 2 or similar in a few weeks, with lighter nights and better weather, will seem like a different world.

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shingle said:

That's fantastic, hats off to NCP and the taxi company, don't know why but the actions of the taxi company particularly have brought a tear to my eye

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Charity Shield 1910 said:

There has also been negative press comparing UK deaths to other countries. But they have no idea or any interest in finding out how other countries are recording deaths. Are they "with" covid or "of" covid. UK deaths are "with" covid. They also make no account for different types of countries, the most weird comparison trotted out is the UK to New Zealand, as if they are remotely comparable. They also genuinely seem to think that many totalitarian countries will actually be recording statistics properly. It's just bizarre. There is then not in the press coverage any warning that they might not be comparing like for like and perhaps the time to compare is when excess deaths figures can be reviewed. The press then seem to be genuinely confused when people lose confidence in them. They really do need to up their game. This thread seems far better than pretty much all covid in the press that I have seen or heard.

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dazzer6666 said:

The local picture in terms of infection rates...........

View attachment 133037

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Notters said:

I know this is the good news thread but I wouldn't want to credit ncp, as it's not run by ncp. Someone correct me if I'm wrong.

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Norman Potting said:

Thank you for your reports from or very close to the front line. I suspect that you don't wear a stethoscope but that those who do rely on your support behind the scenes.

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