[Albion] Crucial phase of the season.... the next four matches - how many points?

Titanic

Super Moderator

Helpful Moderator

Jul 5, 2003

39,056

West Sussex

• Jan 14, 2020

• #1

The next four matches are clearly a crucial point in our season.

Two at home and two away - and all against teams currently below us in the table.



Sat 18th Jan Aston Villa (H)
Tue 21st Jan Bournemouth (A)
Sat 1st Feb West Ham (A)
Sat 8th Feb Watford (H)

How many point will we get?

 

R

raymondo

Well-known member

Apr 26, 2017

5,581

Wiltshire

• Jan 14, 2020

• #2

Only 4

 

One Teddy Maybank

Well-known member

NSC Patron

Aug 4, 2006

21,595

Worthing

• Jan 14, 2020

• #3

6


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

Napier

Well-known member

Jan 27, 2009

2,123

Devon

• Jan 14, 2020

• #4

I will go for an optimistic 8. Anything less and we are in big trouble.

 

Blue Valkyrie

Not seen such Bravery!

Sep 1, 2012

32,165

Valhalla

• Jan 14, 2020

• #5

We are bound to cock up once and lose, probably draw at least 1 other, so... 7

 

Beach Hut

Brighton Bhuna Boy

Jul 5, 2003

71,953

Living In a Box

• Jan 14, 2020

• #6

Blue Valkyrie said:

We are bound to cock up once and lose, probably draw at least 1 other, so... 7

Click to expand...

My take as well, cannot see us beating West Ham or Watford

 

Titanic

Super Moderator

Helpful Moderator

Jul 5, 2003

39,056

West Sussex

• Jan 14, 2020

• Thread starter
• #7

I am hoping for 7, expecting 4.

 

Bob!

Coffee Buyer

Jul 5, 2003

11,112

• Jan 14, 2020

• #8

10, but as 11 was on option...
;-)

 

Titanic

Super Moderator

Helpful Moderator

Jul 5, 2003

39,056

West Sussex

• Jan 14, 2020

• Thread starter
• #9

Bob! said:

10, but as 11 was on option...
;-)

Click to expand...

 

Bold Seagull

strong and stable with me, or...

Mar 18, 2010

29,773

Hove

• Jan 14, 2020

• #10

1 win, 3 draws wouldn't be the end of the world. So I'd be reasonably happy with 6 points, putting us on 30 with 12 to play. I clicked 8 points because 2 wins 2 draws would be perfect, and really set us on our way to a strong finish. More than 8 and we will be flying.

 

Trufflehound

Re-enfranchised

Aug 5, 2003

14,105

The democratic and free EU

• Jan 14, 2020

• #11

Bob! said:

10, but as 11 was on option...
;-)

Click to expand...

It did seem rude not to.

 

Tim Over Whelmed

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Jul 24, 2007

10,183

Arundel

• Jan 14, 2020

• #12

7 points, win against Villa, win away at Muff (signals Smug Eddie's departure), nowt against the 'ammers and a point against Twatford

 

Bozza

You can change this

Helpful Moderator

Jul 4, 2003

55,703

Back in Sussex

• Jan 14, 2020

• #13

WLLD for 4 (four) points.

 

T

TheJasperCo

Well-known member

Jan 20, 2012

4,590

Exeter

• Jan 14, 2020

• #14

I think 8 points is achievable. We've been inconsistent at times this season, but if Potter gets his tictacs right, then I see us winning the home fixtures and drawing with WHU and Bournemouth.

 

Swansman

Pro-peace

May 13, 2019

22,320

Sweden

• Jan 14, 2020

• #15

Anything less than 6 points is not good enough (unless circumstances royally **** it up, that is). Anything more than 6 points is pretty good.

 

Is it PotG?

Thrifty non-licker

Feb 20, 2017

23,270

Sussex by the Sea

• Jan 14, 2020

• #16

5.

I REALLY don't get these odds.

Down -

Up -

 

nicko31

Well-known member

Jan 7, 2010

17,562

Gods country fortnightly

• Jan 14, 2020

• #17

Going for 5, but really would do with 6, a win for any of these 4 is bad news for us. We must beat Villa, Watford and West Ham I think will stay up now regardless..

 

Bozza

You can change this

Helpful Moderator

Jul 4, 2003

55,703

Back in Sussex

• Jan 14, 2020

• #18

Is it PotG? said:

5.

I REALLY don't get these odds.

Down - View attachment 119127

Up - View attachment 119128

Click to expand...

9/1 - 10% chance (of going down)
1/33 - 97% chance (of staying up)

107% is how a bookie makes its money.

 

A1X

Well-known member

NSC Patron

Sep 1, 2017

17,720

Deepest, darkest Sussex

• Jan 14, 2020

• #19

Going pessimistic. Five. Would love to be proven wrong (in a good direction).

 

Is it PotG?

Thrifty non-licker

Feb 20, 2017

23,270

Sussex by the Sea

• Jan 14, 2020

• #20

Bozza said:

9/1 - 10% chance (of going down)
1/33 - 97% chance (of staying up)

107% is how a bookie makes its money.

Click to expand...

I didn't mean the %, i was more referring to the assessment/liability to offer such odds when you look at the prices of teams around us.

After these 4 games, points are going to be tough for some time during March/April. Even Norwich is not a given.