[Help] How many are the Tories going to win by?

crodonilson

He/Him

Jan 17, 2005

13,536

Lyme Regis

• Dec 12, 2019

• #1

On a wave of emotional nationalism it looks like the Tories are going to surge to an impressive victory in the general electyion today. Winning the public over with an oven ready Brexit deal ready to pop in the microwave and a series of bold policies to get Britain moving again, but how many do you think they're going to win by?

 

Tim Over Whelmed

Well-known member

NSC Patron

Jul 24, 2007

10,190

Arundel

• Dec 12, 2019

• #2

My estimate is 36 seats, yesterday I was thinking around 20 but today I think it'll be nearer the mid-thirties

 

Weststander

Well-known member

NSC Patron

Aug 25, 2011

64,000

Withdean area

• Dec 12, 2019

• #3

The bookies Smarkets have it at 52. Halving that for over confidence by punters, I’ve gone for 26.

But wouldn’t be shocked by a hung Commons.

 

Beach Hut

Brighton Bhuna Boy

Jul 5, 2003

71,971

Living In a Box

• Dec 12, 2019

• #4

Around 50, General Elections are now turning into a vote for who would do least damage as opposed to any positivity that something good will happen

 

Guinness Boy

Tofu eating wokerati

Helpful Moderator

NSC Patron

Jul 23, 2003

34,201

Up and Coming Sunny Portslade

• Dec 12, 2019

• #5

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

Bozza

You can change this

Helpful Moderator

Jul 4, 2003

55,749

Back in Sussex

• Dec 12, 2019

• #6

I've added the "no majority" option that was missing.

It depends on how you determine "win by" - presumably you mean majority, but are you factoring in speaker seats and Sinn Fein in that?

326 seats is the lowest for a majority, giving 326 v 324, but there is the speaker and three (I think) deputies and, for now at least, seven Sinn Fein MPs who won't sit, which effectively lowers the target by a few.

 

bluenitsuj

Listen to me!!!

Feb 26, 2011

4,359

Willingdon

• Dec 12, 2019

• #7

50 - 60

 

Wellesley

Well-known member

Jul 24, 2013

4,973

• Dec 12, 2019

• #8

Full House, a clean sweep. (I've no idea)

 

B

Brovion

Well-known member

NSC Patron

Jul 6, 2003

19,374

• Dec 12, 2019

• #9

They're not. JC will be declared PM by this time tomorrow! You heard it here first!

 

lawros left foot

Glory hunting since 1969

Jun 11, 2011

13,726

Worthing

• Dec 12, 2019

• #10

Tim Over Whelmed said:

My estimate is 36 seats, yesterday I was thinking around 20 but today I think it'll be nearer the mid-thirties

Click to expand...

How did he find another 15 seats in that fridge?

 

Icy Gull

Back on the rollercoaster

Jul 5, 2003

72,015

• Dec 12, 2019

• #11

Brovion said:

They're not. JC will be declared PM by this time tomorrow! You heard it here first!

Click to expand...

Having watched the Brexit vote unfold and Trump’s election that would not be that big a surprise to me.

 

lawros left foot

Glory hunting since 1969

Jun 11, 2011

13,726

Worthing

• Dec 12, 2019

• #12

My prediction, Tory 10-15 seat majority, unfortunately.

 

Weststander

Well-known member

NSC Patron

Aug 25, 2011

64,000

Withdean area

• Dec 12, 2019

• #13

Brovion said:

They're not. JC will be declared PM by this time tomorrow! You heard it here first!

Click to expand...

You’ll get 3/1 on Corbyn being PM (by January).

 

Tim Over Whelmed

Well-known member

NSC Patron

Jul 24, 2007

10,190

Arundel

• Dec 12, 2019

• #14

lawros left foot said:

How did he find another 15 seats in that fridge?

Click to expand...

No, his minder went out and politely spoke to some locals!

 

Blue Valkyrie

Not seen such Bravery!

Sep 1, 2012

32,165

Valhalla

• Dec 12, 2019

• #15

60+ majority for the Prime Liar.

Announced just after 10pm when the BBC reveals its exit poll.


Corbyn gone by Saturday.

 

B

blue-shifted

Banned

Feb 20, 2004

7,645

a galaxy far far away

• Dec 12, 2019

• #16

Self fulfilling prophesies can be dangerous things OP

 

A1X

Well-known member

NSC Patron

Sep 1, 2017

17,830

Deepest, darkest Sussex

• Dec 12, 2019

• #17

33 is my prediction

 

Bob!

Coffee Buyer

Jul 5, 2003

11,136

• Dec 12, 2019

• #18

Hung Parliament.

tactical voting will have a big part to play this time.

 

Eeyore

Colonel Hee-Haw of Queen's Park

NSC Patron

Apr 5, 2014

23,583

• Dec 12, 2019

• #19

The Tories won't get a majority as they will get less than 50% of the vote.

Oh...

 

Live by the sea

Well-known member

Oct 21, 2016

4,718

• Dec 12, 2019

• #20

@%1;

Hopefully enough to ensure Corbyn resigns and takes his extremist Marxist mates with him. This will empower the decent moderate labour mp’s to restore the Labour Party to the way it was under Blair and brown and make labour much more electable in the future.