[Football] FA Cup odds

Normal Rob

Well-known member

Jul 8, 2003

5,653

Somerset

• Mar 18, 2019

• #1

William Hill had us at 14/1 to win the competition outright last week. Now, having reached the semi, we are 16/1.

I appreciate we have drawn the strong favourites, but it still a bit wierd is it not?

 

M

MattBackHome

Well-known member

Jul 7, 2003

11,719

• Mar 18, 2019

• #2

Normal Rob said:

William Hill had us at 14/1 to win the competition outright last week. Now, having reached the semi, we are 16/1.

I appreciate we have drawn the strong favourites, but it still a bit wierd is it not?

Click to expand...

I reckon 16s is too short to be honest. I'd have us around 25-1. (Win 1 in 10 vs City, then slightly worse than evens in the final).

But yeah that's what the draw can do to a price. Weird innit.

 

crodonilson

He/Him

Jan 17, 2005

13,514

Lyme Regis

• Mar 18, 2019

• #3

We've got more chance of beating Man C in a Semi than a final for me and if we got to the final I'd have us as favourites against Wolves and 50/50 against Watford.

 

brakespear

Doctor Worm

Feb 24, 2009

12,326

Sleeping on the roof

• Mar 18, 2019

• #4

crodonilson said:

We've got more chance of beating Man C in a Semi than a final for me and if we got to the final I'd have us as favourites against Wolves and 50/50 against Watford.

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you didn't see Wolves on Saturday night, then?

 

Bozza

You can change this

Helpful Moderator

Jul 4, 2003

55,703

Back in Sussex

• Mar 18, 2019

• #5

MattBackHome said:

I reckon 16s is too short to be honest. I'd have us around 25-1. (Win 1 in 10 vs City, then slightly worse than evens in the final).

But yeah that's what the draw can do to a price. Weird innit.

Click to expand...

18-1 with Paddy and Betfair Sportsbook.

We're exactly the same odds to beat City in the semi.

Which can only mean if we beat City we've won the Cup.

 

Tom Hark Preston Park

Will Post For Cash

Jul 6, 2003

70,136

• Mar 18, 2019

• #6

Bozza said:

18-1 with Paddy and Betfair Sportsbook.

We're exactly the same odds to beat City in the semi.

Which can only mean if we beat City we've won the Cup.

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Got to be some tasty no-lose Betfair betting strategy to be had there shirley - if we progress to the final that is

 

The Kid Frankie

New member

Sep 5, 2012

2,082

• Mar 18, 2019

• #7

crodonilson said:

We've got more chance of beating Man C in a Semi than a final for me and if we got to the final I'd have us as favourites against Wolves and 50/50 against Watford.

Click to expand...

 

Iggle Piggle

Well-known member

Sep 3, 2010

5,313

• Mar 18, 2019

• #8

Normal Rob said:

William Hill had us at 14/1 to win the competition outright last week. Now, having reached the semi, we are 16/1.

I appreciate we have drawn the strong favourites, but it still a bit wierd is it not?

Click to expand...

Man City are 2/5 or approximately 70% win chance of the whole FA Cup. Just imagine what our odds would be if Swansea had got through?

 

crodonilson

He/Him

Jan 17, 2005

13,514

Lyme Regis

• Mar 18, 2019

• #9

brakespear said:

you didn't see Wolves on Saturday night, then?

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I did, thewy were more than a touch lucky, but it's the same team that have been beaten twice by Huddersfield, they're good against the top teams, the way they play suits them but they're pretty average against the likes of us. If we play at our best we beat them.

 

swindonseagull

Well-known member

Aug 6, 2003

9,262

Swindon, but used to be Manila

• Mar 18, 2019

• #10

Put it this way
The pikeys from the slum up the road beat City at the Etihad
We have beaten the pikey slum dwellers home and away this year so we should obviously be favourites.

 

A

ArfurW8

Active member

May 22, 2009

725

Fort Neef

• Mar 18, 2019

• #11

Backed you at 33/1 on 8th Jan to win the thing hoping I could lay the bet off for a small profit if you progressed.
You seem to have been around 16/1 after every round, no point in laying it off so got to let it ride now.
So will soften the blow if the unthinkable does happen.

 

Jesus Gul

Well-known member

Feb 23, 2004

5,468

• Mar 18, 2019

• #12

Iggle Piggle said:

Man City are 2/5 or approximately 70% win chance of the whole FA Cup. Just imagine what our odds would be if Swansea had got through?

Click to expand...

Free money!

 

Blue3

Well-known member

Jan 27, 2014

5,567

Lancing

• Mar 18, 2019

• #13

736 teams entered the 2019 FA Cup making it to the last 4 that's a position 733 other teams wished they had right now

On the day it's 11 v 11 they might just might be thinking more about the Champions league game a few days after playing us while hopfully we will have secured our league safety and as such it can be our cup final until then we can all dream