[Albion] Odds to win at home

Muzzy · Dec 31, 2018

Bet 365 are offering 10/1 for us to beat Liverpool on Saturday.

Could these be the longest odds we have ever been for a home league fixture?

I can fully understand why we would be long priced to beat the likely champions but 10/1 is MASSIVE!

Anyone going to be tempted?

Is it PotG? · Dec 31, 2018

Bozza · Dec 31, 2018

11/1 in last season's opener against Manchester City by all accounts...

Steve Foster said:
Manchester City are currently 4/11 to win this fixture & we are 11/1 - that is crazy odds! Okay City are much fancied to win the title 15/8 whilst we are rank outsiders 750/1 (though Burnley, Watford & Huddersfield) are longer odds - but really it's 11v11 - anything can happen?

http://www.northstandchat.com/showt...ERSHIP-SCORE-PREDICTOR-Now-in-its-7th-SEASON-

Stat Brother · Dec 31, 2018

I really hope we lose v West Ham.

I'm beginning to get somewhat, and very out of character, excited about the game and even a little confident about catching Liverpool cold.

I need bringing back down to earth before I start looking at how we match up against them and what weaknesses we can exploit. :lolol:

blue-shifted · Dec 31, 2018

We're more likely to beat Liverpool than we were to beat that Man City team. We've improved hugely since then and the opposition standard is broadly comparable.

Just how good would the post game beer taste knowing it was fully bookie funded. OK I'll do a fiver

LowKarate · Dec 31, 2018

Bozza said:
11/1 in last season's opener against Manchester City by all accounts...

http://www.northstandchat.com/showt...ERSHIP-SCORE-PREDICTOR-Now-in-its-7th-SEASON-

Great value that was. Until they stuck 2 in our net and rightfully won the game.

10-1 against us is long, but still probably the right call for this game too. A draw is a much more realistic ambition.

Sussex Nomad · Dec 31, 2018

They were the best team I watched at the Amex last season and they weren't even in the title race.

Birdie Boy · Dec 31, 2018

10/1 suggests that if we play them 10 times we will win one of those games. We have played them 3 times in the last 2 seasons and lost all 3. So, we should be able to beat them once in the next 7 games and that game might be imminent.

Either that or the odds should be 20/1 or more...

Sussex Nomad · Dec 31, 2018

Birdie Boy said:
10/1 suggests that if we play them 10 times we will win one of those games. We have played them 3 times in the last 2 seasons and lost all 3. So, we should be able to beat them once in the next 7 games and that game might be imminent.

Either that or the odds should be 20/1 or more...

The Chase threw up a good question the other day. I remember it well, went and watched it. Only team to score three own goals in FA Cup history. We actually won 4-3.

Icy Gull · Dec 31, 2018

Sussex Nomad said:
They were the best team I watched at the Amex last season and they weren't even in the title race.

Yeah but they’ve lost the best player to ever grace the Amex...Coutinho. I’ll be having a small wager, this is exactly the type of game in which the Albion can surprise...having said that my last bet was 20/1 to beat City away earlier this season

Bob! · Dec 31, 2018

Muzzy said:
Bet 365 are offering 10/1 for us to beat Liverpool on Saturday.

.........

I wouldn't take that bet.

We're playing Bournemouth on Saturday.

Juan Albion · Dec 31, 2018

The chances of beating Liverpool are about zero. They are the one team that have consistently taken us apart, although I must admit that we did much better at Anfield than I expected. But they are absolutely flying right now.

lawros left foot · Dec 31, 2018

When we played them at Anfield in the 83 Cup game, Shirley our odds would have been longer.

Luke93 · Dec 31, 2018

Birdie Boy said:
10/1 suggests that if we play them 10 times we will win one of those games. We have played them 3 times in the last 2 seasons and lost all 3. So, we should be able to beat them once in the next 7 games and that game might be imminent.

Either that or the odds should be 20/1 or more...

That’s not how maths works.

If you roll a dice and land a 6, that doesn’t make rolling 1 to 5 more likely on your next throw.

Birdie Boy · Dec 31, 2018

I realise that which is why I said suggests.

My Albion mojo is high at the moment and trying to keep it that way by thinking that we might beat both sets of scousers! &#55357;&#56832; after we beaten wet sham and bournemuff. &#55357;&#56841;

Nixonator · Dec 31, 2018

Bindippers to walk away with nothing.

dwayne · Dec 31, 2018

Icy Gull said:
Yeah but they’ve lost the best player to ever grace the Amex...Coutinho. I’ll be having a small wager, this is exactly the type of game in which the Albion can surprise...having said that my last bet was 20/1 to beat City away earlier this season

Haha you're living in dream world.

Everton and arsenal are frankly awful at the moment. Great to compete with overrated teams like that but Liverpool are on another stratosphere.

Sent from my SM-G950F using Tapatalk

Icy Gull · Dec 31, 2018

dwayne said:
Haha you're living in dream world.

Everton and arsenal are frankly awful at the moment. Great to compete with overrated teams like that but Liverpool are on another stratosphere.

Sent from my SM-G950F using Tapatalk

I support the Albion of course I live in dreamland. We ARE living the dream aren’t we?

Harry Wilson's tackle · Dec 31, 2018

Luke93 said:
That’s not how maths works.

If you roll a dice and land a 6, that doesn’t make rolling 1 to 5 more likely on your next throw.

Exactly.

If you have 6 throws, the odds of getting any one of the numbers overall is 6/6. If you have 5 throws, the odds are 5/6. If you have 6 throws, the odds of getting a 6 with the first throw is 1/6. Same with the second to sixth throw. Regardless of whether you throw a 6 or not with your first throw, the odds of throwing a 6 with your second throw is still 1/6.

Its amazing how many eejits just can't see this. Some actually 'think' that if you throw a die 5 times and the 6 hasn't come up, the odds of it coming up next throw is evens. If gambling were that easy we'd all be minted. You have to bet on all 6 throws, from before the first throw, to get the evens odds, and not wait till 5 'no 6s' have been thrown then pile in.

And if you do bet on 'at least one 6 in 6 throws' the odds of winning your bet diminish with each throw that fails to get a 6 - they don't increase. With your last throw the odds overall will have fallen from 6/6 to 1/6.

ps, also the odds given for the results of an individual football match reflect how confident the bookmaker is that you will lose your money, not the actual odds of a particular outcome. And finally, you should always factor in the following. Ahem:

Football is a Funny Old Game.

Harry Wilson's tackle · Dec 31, 2018

Icy Gull said:
I support the Albion of course I live in dreamland. We ARE living the dream aren’t we?

That's more like it! :lolol:

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