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[Football] Relegation points total 2018/19...?



erkan

Well-known member
Dec 9, 2004
896
Eastbourne
Current table is pretty remarkable.

There are 8 teams on target for 31pts or fewer. The bottom two are both on target for tiny 12pt totals and the next two for only 19pts.

They can't all "pick up" and improve on their current point gathering rates...

It would be quite surprising now if 31pts weren't enough to stay up this season.
 

Seasider78

Well-known member
Nov 14, 2004
5,926
It’s the goal difference of the bottom 4 that is so poor this season Fulham have only conceded less than 2 goals in one game and 3 of bottom 4 have conceded more than 14 goals from their opening 10 games.

This season have a feeling there will be fewer teams in the mix come the end of the season than we usually see
 

dazzer6666

Well-known member
NSC Licker Extraordinaire
Mar 27, 2013
51,892
Burgess Hill
Could be as low as 32/33 I reckon. Can’t see Hudds or Cardiff getting to that number, and likely at least one other (Saints, Fulham or Newcastle on current form) won’t make it.

Won’t be anywhere near 40 needed.
 

Machiavelli

Well-known member
Oct 11, 2013
16,523
Fiveways
Current table is pretty remarkable.

There are 8 teams on target for 31pts or fewer. The bottom two are both on target for tiny 12pt totals and the next two for only 19pts.

They can't all "pick up" and improve on their current point gathering rates...

It would be quite surprising now if 31pts weren't enough to stay up this season.

Wow. I was expecting this thread to be full of the misery-guts who insists that we'll need 40 points to stay up. Purely on the basis that it's a round figure, and ignoring the fact that the average for staying up is around 36 points over the past decade. I suspect the figure will be a tad lower than that average, on the basis that the top six are so strong that they will take more points off the remainder. But 31 looks as though things have swung in the other direction. For some, at least. I'll have a flutter with you that survival will require more than 31, with REMF taking the winnings. You name a price, and if it's in my range, I'll match it.
 

CaptainDaveUK

Well-known member
Oct 18, 2010
1,505
Another reason to be optimistic, in the last three games we've accumulated over 1/4 of the points needed for survival. In terms of ensuring our Premier League status, that is a massive achievement.
 


crookie

Well-known member
Jun 14, 2013
3,303
Back in Sussex
Another reason to be optimistic, in the last three games we've accumulated over 1/4 of the points needed for survival. In terms of ensuring our Premier League status, that is a massive achievement.
Indeed, the bottom 4 would bite your hand off for a run of 3 1-0 hard fought wins. This run of results is absolutely massive in the scheme of things

Sent from my SM-G930F using Tapatalk
 

Perkino

Well-known member
Dec 11, 2009
5,978
There are several very poor sides one league this season. I'd like to see Southampton, Crystal Palace and Newcastle get relegated as that would leave Huddersfield, Cardiff and Fulham in the premier league and I think they'll struggle to recruit and improve compared to the others
 


erkan

Well-known member
Dec 9, 2004
896
Eastbourne
Wow. I was expecting this thread to be full of the misery-guts who insists that we'll need 40 points to stay up. Purely on the basis that it's a round figure, and ignoring the fact that the average for staying up is around 36 points over the past decade. I suspect the figure will be a tad lower than that average, on the basis that the top six are so strong that they will take more points off the remainder. But 31 looks as though things have swung in the other direction. For some, at least. I'll have a flutter with you that survival will require more than 31, with REMF taking the winnings. You name a price, and if it's in my range, I'll match it.
Sorry I can't take on your bet (an avenue of "pleasure" that closed many years ago for me...)...

Sporting Index agree with you that 4th bottom will probably be a tad higher than 31pts.

I'm not sure they're right. I can't see much downside to selling Cardiff + Huddersfield at 54.5pts with them...
 
D

Deleted member 18477

Guest
I'm usually cautious when it comes to predictions as a few injuries here and there can cripple a team, especially say if we lost Murray, Ryan or Duffy/Dunk for an extended period.

However as others have said, it's looking likely that 31 points will be enough. We could easily be safe by Xmas if we pick up another couple of wins and draws beforehand.

FA cup run then?
 


The Maharajah of Sydney

Well-known member
Jul 7, 2003
1,363
Sydney .
Spread Markets have us at around 44pts


Capture 43.PNG



Market after first 2 games - Fulham have crashed, fallen 10pts in 8 games.

Capture 34.PNG
 

Goldstone1976

We Got Calde in!!
Helpful Moderator
NSC Licker Extraordinaire
Apr 30, 2013
13,754
Herts
I think some of the top clubs will start to drop points, leaving City as the clear leaders by around Xmas. Then, in Jan-Mar some of the current top clubs will start dropping points to the bottom clubs as they give up on chasing City. Thus - 35 points to be 17th.

:shrug:
 


nwgull

Well-known member
Jul 25, 2003
13,632
Manchester
I think some of the top clubs will start to drop points, leaving City as the clear leaders by around Xmas. Then, in Jan-Mar some of the current top clubs will start dropping points to the bottom clubs as they give up on chasing City. Thus - 35 points to be 17th.

:shrug:

I don't think it'll be that much. 34 points (or 33 and a respectable GD) would've been enough for 17th last season, and at the same stage the bottom four clubs had 8, 8, 7 and 4 points. This year there are eight teams with 8 points or fewer, and the bottom four have only 5, 5, 3 and 3 points. Out of those 4, the only team I can see averaging over a point a game for the next 28 would be Newcastle, and even that's going to take some turn around.

I wouldn't bet against the bottom three all finishing on <30.
 

Tim Over Whelmed

Well-known member
NSC Licker Extraordinaire
Jul 24, 2007
10,160
Arundel
Last season I felt 36 would be enough, this season I feel 32 will be the magic number, and the number we hit away at Palace on the 9th March!
 

Tim Over Whelmed

Well-known member
NSC Licker Extraordinaire
Jul 24, 2007
10,160
Arundel
Agreed, when we've just missed out on the Europa League (joke). Yes, let's not shout too loud until we've got safe(r)
 


spence

British and Proud
Oct 15, 2014
9,809
Crawley

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