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[Football] 40pts Might Not Be Enough This Season



The Maharajah of Sydney

The Maharajah of Sydney

Well-known member
Jul 7, 2003
1,366
Sydney .
Spread Markets expectations show that 40pts might not necessarily be enough to avoid the drop this season.
Cardiff & Huddersfield tailed off, then 5 teams (which include us) all within a point of the 40pt threshold.

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M

Machiavelli

Well-known member
Oct 11, 2013
16,643
Fiveways
The Maharajah of Sydney said:
Spread Markets expectations show that 40pts might not necessarily be enough to avoid the drop this season.
Cardiff & Huddersfield tailed off, then 5 teams (which include us) all within a point of the 40pt threshold.

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I think that principle that if the bottom two end up with an historically low number of points, it is far more likely that this elevates the points requirement to avoid falling into that final relegation place is sound. I really doubt it'll leave that third-to-bottom team needing 40 points. Is there a spread on points required for survival?
 














Brok

Brok

😐
Dec 26, 2011
4,330
Off topic a bit, but are we really 18/1 to win tomorrow?
If so I'm having a fiver on that.
 




The Maharajah of Sydney

The Maharajah of Sydney

Well-known member
Jul 7, 2003
1,366
Sydney .
Machiavelli said:
I think that principle that if the bottom two end up with an historically low number of points, it is far more likely that this elevates the points requirement to avoid falling into that final relegation place is sound. I really doubt it'll leave that third-to-bottom team needing 40 points. Is there a spread on points required for survival?
Click to expand...

Not as such, there is a Relegation Index though.

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T

TimWatt

Active member
Feb 13, 2011
166
Richmond
Surely these points ranges aren't probabilistic numbers but market making numbers? So designed to incentivise betting and leave in a margin of error guaranteed to favour the house (on average).
 




















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